BATH - SEPTEMBER 13
Last year’s corresponding toteplacepot dividend:
2015: £339.80 (8 favourites - 2 winners - 2 placed - 4 unplaced)
Sunday's Placepot permutation at Bath:
Leg 1 (2.05): 8 (Secretfact), 4 (David's Beauty) & 3 (Dominance)
Leg 2 (2.04): 4 (Charlie Wells), 9 (See And Be Seen) & 11 (Kleitomachos)
Leg 3 (3.15): 3 (Babyfact), 12 (Captain Ryan), 13 (Go Amber Go) & 4 (Showmwethewayaverilo)
Leg 4 (3.45): 2 (Celestial Path) & 2 (Here Comes When)
Leg 5 (4.20): 7 (Berkeley Vale) & 9 (Panko)
Leg 6 (4.55): 5 (Zamadance) & 4 (Devilish Guest)
Suggested stake: 288 bets to 10p stakes
Overview for Sunday - please scroll down to the bottom of the page
2.05: Malcolm Saunders is invariably a trainer to keep on your side at these west country flat tracks (Salisbury and Bath especially) and with three winners recorded via his last nine runners at the time of writing, Malcolm's beaten favourite SECRETFACT is entitled to plenty of respect, particularly with leading light weight jockey Jimmy Quinn in the saddle. Others to consider include DAVID'S BEAUTY and DOMINANCE who is running off a more realisitc mark now.
Favourite factor: Last year's inaugural 7/4 favourite claimed a Placepot position when finishing second, flanked by horses which were returned at 17/2 & 10/1.
2.40: My selection last year (Saint Lucy) won by 'three parts' at 25/1 when I suggested that she would plod on when others had cried enough and the same comment applies to CHARLIE WELLS this time around. If rain gets into the ground following Saturday's meeting at Bath, Eve Johnson Houghton's raider would be a more confident call in a race that will not take a great deal of winning. Course and distance winner SEE AND BE SEEN is added into the overnight mix alongside KLEITOMCHOS with 'SDS' in the plate.
Favourite factor: The two favourites to date had secured gold and silver medals (alongside toteplacepot positions) before last year's 11/8 market leader finished nearer last than first.
Record of course winners in the second race:
4/23--Sunny Future (3 x firm + good)
2/7--See And Be Seen (both wins on good ground)
3.15: Silvestre De Sousa has another chance on the card here with hat trick seeker BABYFACT having finished 'in the two' via her last six assignments. So many horses are proven on fast ground (including BABYFACT) however, whereby CAPTAIN RYAN could surprise punters having scored at Bath on good to soft ground in the past. GO AMBER GO completes my trio against the remaining fourteen contenders, with SHOWMETHEWAYAVERILO being a danger to the trio if the ground goes pear shaped.
Favourite factor: This is a new race on the card.
Record of course winners in the third contest:
3/9--Babyfact (3 x firm)
1/2--Cherry Kool (good to firm)
5/24--Dreams Of Glory (2 x firm - 2 x good to firm + good)
1/1--Showbizzy (good to firm)
2/5--Dusty Blue (good to firm & good to soft)
5/16--Captain Ryan (3 x firm + good to firm & good to soft)
1/3--Go Amber Go (good)
3/25--Catalinas Diamond (2 x good to firm & good to soft)
4/14--Molly Jones (4 x firm)
1/2--Topsoil (good to soft)
3.45: Eleven assignments have come and gone since CELESTIAL PATH won his first two races but Sir Mark Prescott has certainly found a decent opportunity for his four-year-old to regain the winning thread. HERE COMES WHEN and MASTER CARPENTER are expected to offer most resistance at the business end of the contest.
Favourite factor: The inaugural 8/11 favourite was beaten by a 7/1 chance two years ago, though Marcus Tregoning's odds on market leader at least secured a toteplacepot position. The following even money market leader finished second in a 'win only' four runner event, before last year's 2/1 market leader obliged.
4.20: Three of the four winners have carried a minimum weight of 9-5 to date. Ed de Giles has saddled two of the last three winners of this event (albeit via the same horse) whereby plenty of respect is offered to PANKO who is chosen representative on this occasion. Panko is the 'bottom qualifier' via the weight stats though that said, Callum Shepherd's mount will drop into the 'inferior' sector of the handicap via his useful five pound claim. Further up the list, BERKELEY VALE will appreciate some moisture in the ground more than most and hailing from Roger Teal's in form stable, Robert Winston's mount is feared most.
Favourite factor: Only two of the seven favourites (via four renewals) have finished in the frame (one winner).
Record of course winners in the fifth event:
1/8--Mister Musicmaster (firm)
1/1--Totally Committed (firm)
4.55: DELVILISH GUEST enters my last chance saloon, whilst ZAMADANCE carries the most famous (Jeff Smith) colours in the contest. I cannot pretend to be overly confident in the Placepot finale but I felt I needed more runners in some of the earlier races. Using this strategy, we can lay off in the last leg if the dividend looks worth winning, providing we have been successful in the opening five legs!
Favourite factor: Two of the three favourites snared Placepot position by winning their respective event at odds of 5/2.
All place details offered on my pages relate to an 'exact science', whereby horses that finish third in 5/6/7 runner races (and other such scenarios) are not 'placed' regarding my statistics.
Trainers with their relevant number of runners on the Bath card on Sunday:
4--Tony Carroll (2/27 at Bath this season - winners at 12/1 & 3/1)
4--Rod Millman (6/28 - winners at 25/1-6/1-5/1-9/2***-4/1-7/2)
4--Malcolm Saunders (6/25 - winners at 11/2-7/2**-7/2**-3/1*-2/1*-15/8)
3--Andrew Balding (5/29 - winners at 20/1-5/1-7/2-7/2-10/11*)
3--Mick Channon (5/29 - winners at 9/1-8/1-5/1-11/4*-5/2)
3--David Evans (1/22 - winner at 10/3*)
3--Richard Hannon (4/40 - winners at 12/1-5/4*-8/13*-1/2*)
3--Eve Johnson Johnson (1/18 - winner at 7/4)
3--Sylvester Kirk (2/13 - winners at 18/1 & 14/1)
3--Stan Moore (0/10)
2--Paul Cole (1/8 - winner at Evens*)
2--Grace Harris (0/9)
2--Ron Harris (2/20 - winners at 16/1 & 8/1)
2--Ron Hodges (0/7)
2--Brendan Powell (0/8)
+ 34 different trainers who each saddle just one runner on the card
77 declared runners
General overview - corresponding Placepot dividends from last year:
Ffos Las: £40.00 - 6 favourites - 4 winners - 1 placed - 1 unplaced
Chelmsford: This is a new meeting on the calendar
Bath overview - 5 year juvenile record of represented trainers in the relevant event at 4.55:
2/6--Paul Cole (Count Calabash)
0/4--Richard Hughes (Jumping Jack)
5/40--David Evans (Ok By Me)
6/61--Mick Channon (Devilish Guest)
2/9--Sylvester Kik (Zamadance)
8/51--Richard Hannon (Ludamf)
1/27--Stan Moore (Hot N Sassy)