Placepot Pointers

Placepot Pointers – Thursday 11th January

CHELMSFORD – JANUARY 11

 

Last year’s corresponding toteplacepot dividend:

2017: Meeting abandoned

 

Thursday's Placepot permutation at Chelmsford: 

Leg 1 (5.55): 1 (Titan Goddess), 4 (Nature Boy) & 7 (Ted’s Brother)

Leg 2 (6.30): 4 (Arnarson) & 7 (Murdanova)

Leg 3 (7.00): 3 (Tangramm) & 4 (Wimpole Hall)

Leg 4 (7.30): 1 (Western Way), 5 (Caracas) & 3 (Spiritoftomintoul)

Leg 5 (8.00): 3 (Arcadian Sea) & 1 (With Hindsight)

Leg 6 (8.30): 4 (Mercury), 1 (Spare Parts) & 3 (Kyllach Me)

Suggested stake: 324 bets to 10p stakes

 

Overview for Thursday - please scroll down to the bottom of the page

 

5.55: NATURE BOY would only have to ‘settle’ a little better than the last day to go very close on this grade/company.  As a six time winner however (notwithstanding five silver medal efforts), triple course winner TITAN GODDESS looks a more obvious call though the 5/4 quote (in a place) looks far too skinny to have a bet from a win perspective.  TED’S BROTHER (12/1 with Ladbrokes at the time of writing) represents some each way value if you are seeking an alternative option.

Record of the course winners in the opening event:

3/11—Titan Goddess

1/8—Spirited Star

1/11—Plucky Dip

1/2—Ted’s Brother

 

6.30: Ed Dunlop has won with the four of his last eight runners, stats which includes yesterday’s 10/1 loser which was beaten by less than lengths at Kempton.  We are clinging on to eight of the original nine runners at the time of writing though either way, Ed’s raider ANARSON should secure a Placepot position at the very least.  MURDANOVA is offered up as the alternative each way option.

Record of the course winners in the second race:

1/4—Cainhoe Star

1/7—Out Of The Ashes

 

7.00: I’m a little surprised that TANGRAMM was not put up a few ounces by the official assessor when running a good race (despite defeat) the last day.  Boasting 2/2 stats at this venue, Dean Ivory has found another half decent opportunity for his Sakhee’s Secret gelding who has won eight times on all weather surfaces.  From a value for money (Placepot) perspective, WIMPOLE HALL is preferred to Hairdryer as the main threat.

Record of the course winners in the third contest on the card:

1/5—Van Huysen

2/2—Tangramm

1/2—Wimpole Hill

2/5—Graceful James

1/3--Hairdryer

 

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7.30: A dead eight event which is not for the feint hearted I’ll wager, with WESTERN WAY, CARACAS and SPIRITOFTOMINTOUL entrusted with the task of getting us through to the fifth leg of our favourite wager.  The horses are not listed in order of preference as there is no order of preference, with yours truly being quite content with just one of the trio securing a position if that’s the way things pan out.

 

8.00: ARCADIAN SEA looks the safest Placepot option in the penultimate leg but for those of you looking to back the William Jarvis representative to actually win the race, you should look away now. William has saddled ten horses during the month of January in the last two years without saddling a winner whilst according to my records, all 20 of William’s runners since September have failed to score!  Given the stats/circumstances, the aptly named WITH HINDSIGHT makes a little more appeal, though not enough to reach for my wallet and/or online account.

Record of the course winner in the fifth event:

1/5—Arcadian Sea

 

8.30: Much depends on whether SPARE PARTS turns up for the gig having won at Kempton last night.  Either way, the drop back in trio is not sure to suit perfectly given that these last two back-to-back victories were gained over what is often referred to as a ‘specialist seven furlong’ distance.  You are in a far better position than yours truly in terms of whether Phil McEntee’s Choisir gelding is turned out quickly again.  The positive course stats demand respect for MERCURY but not wishing to place all my eggs in the one basket should SPARE PARTS remain back at the ranch, I’m adding KYLLACH ME into the Placepot mix.

Favourite factor: This is the only race on the Placepot card which has any (limited) history.  The inaugural 2/1 favourite (two years ago) sneaked into the frame via a bronze medal effort.

Record of the course winners in the Placepot finale:

2/3—Mercury

2/7--Firesnake

 

All place details offered on my pages relate to an 'exact science', whereby horses that finish third in 5/6/7 runner races (and other such scenarios) are not 'placed' regarding my statistics.

 

Trainers with their relevant number of runners (two or more) on the Chelmsford card on Thursday – followed by their career ratios at the track + profits/losses accrued:

2—Andrew Balding (19/144 – loss of 53 points)

2—Tony Carroll (14/115 – loss of 25)

2—Keith Dalgleish (4/27 – loss of 12)

2—Mark Gillard (0/5)

2—Richard Guest (10/61 +28)

2—William Jarvis (5/56 – loss of 16)

2—Phil McEntee (18/256 – loss of 67)

2—Bryan Smart (0/15)

2—Henry Spiller (3/36 + 11)

2—M Tompkins (14/132 – loss of 42)

2—Nark Usher (0/15)

+ 36 different trainers who each saddle just one runner on the card

58 declared runners

 

General overview - Corresponding Placepot dividends from last year:

Catterick: £24.00 – 6 favourites – 4 winners – 1 placed – 1 unplaced

Leicester: 891.20 – 6 favourites – 1 winner – 2 placed – 3 unplaced

Newcastle (A/W): £434.80 – 7 favourites – 3 winners – 3 placed – 2 unplaced

 

 

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