5 Minute Placepot

Placepot Pointers – Thursday 12th November 2015

Placepot pointers – Main meeting - Ludlow – Thursday 12th November 2015

 

(When I refer to placed/unplaced horses – an exact science is used relating to terms and conditions generally used by bookmakers – win and one place only in 5-6-7 runner races and 1-2-3-4 in handicap races with 16+ runners)

 

This season’s Placepot dividends at Ludlow:

10th May: £136.40 (6 favourites: 1 winner – 2 placed – 3 unplaced)

7th October: £138.40 (8 favourites: 3 winners & 3 unplaced)

22nd October: £2,234.80 (6 favourites: 3 winner – 2 placed – 3 unplaced)

2nd November: £116.50 (7 favourites: No winners – 4 placed – 3 unplaced)

Average Placepot dividend this season: £656.52

The best dividend (October 22nd) revolved around the three unplaced favourites which were sent off at 8/13 – 7/4 – 2/1.  Horses filled the ‘short field’ frame at 16/1 and 33/1 in the contest which witnessed the demise of the odds on market leader and that result set the tone for the meeting, given that the ‘Placepot horses’ in the other two races in which the favourite was unplaced were returned at 12/1 – 8/1 – 7/1 – 6/1 – 5/2.

This season’s leading trainers at Ludlow:

4/15: Evan Williams (5/1 – 11/2 – 8/1 – 16/1)

2/6: Fergal O’Brien (8/1 & 14/1)

2/7: Kim Bailey (8/11* & 9/2)

2/7: Charlie Longsdon (8/1 & 14/1)

Trainers who have saddled the most beaten favourites at Ludlow this season:

Two each for Dan Skelton (5/4 & 7/4) & Tim Vaughan (7/4 & 3/1)

Three of the four odds on chances have won at 8/11 (Kim Bailey) – 4/11 (Dr Richard Newland) – 4/9 (Harry Whittington).  The 8/13 beaten favourite was saddled by Nicky Henderson.

Corresponding Placepot dividends for the last five years relating to this fixture:

2010: £5.30 (6 favourites: 4 winners & 2 placed)

2011: £21.20 (6 favourites: 4 winners – 1 placed – 1 unplaced)

2012: £24.40 (6 favourites: 1 winner – 2 placed – 3 unplaced)

2013: £192.90 (7 favourites: 1 winner – 3 placed - 3 unplaced)

2014: £5.90 (6 favourites: 2 winners & 4 placed)

Average Placepot dividend during the five year period: £49.94

Trainers with the most winners at this fixture during the five year study period:

7—Nicky Henderson (4/9* - 1/2* - Evs * - 11/10* - 6/5* - 5/2 – 3/1*)

Your first 30 days for just £1

4—Evan Williams (5/4* - 11/4 – 4/1 – 9/2)

Two each for Kim Bailey (9/4* & 14/1) – Henry Daly (5/1 & 7/1) – Tom George (4/9* & 9/2) – Venetia Williams (5/2 & 7/1)

 

Placepot stats and other facts at Thursday’s other three meetings

 

Taunton NH:

This is the first meeting of the season at Taunton – Popular trainer records from last season

Contrasting figures! (Total – Hurdles – Chases – Bumpers):

14/38—Paul Nicholls (8/26 – 5/9 – 1/3)

8/51—David Pipe (8/47 – 0/3 – 0/1)

4/14—Evan Williams (3/7 – 1/6 – 0/1)

4/17—Colin Tizzard (3/14 – 1/3 – N/A)

3/10—Dan Skelton (3/8 – 0/1 – 0/1)

2/13—Venetia Williams (2/8 – 0/5 – N/A)

2/21—Philip Hobbs (1/14 – 0/4 – 1/3)

1/7—Nicky Henderson (1/7 – N/A – N/A)

1/16—Harry Fry (1/13 – N/A – 0/3)

0/12—Alan King (0/10 – 0/2 – N/A)

 

Chelmsford A/W:

Three meetings in November to date:

Thursday 5th: £19.80 (7 favourites – 4 winners – 2 placed – 1 unplaced)

Friday 6th: £32.60 (6 favourites: 3 winners – 2 placed – 1 unplaced)

Saturday 7th: £130.90 (6 favourites: 1 winner – 2 placed – 3 unplaced)

Average Placepot dividned during the period: £61.10

 

Trainer with more than one winner this month at Chelmsford:

Eve Johnson Houghton (3/1 & 6/1)

Favourite stats:

21 races thus far in November – 9 winning favourites – 18 winners at 9/1 or less

 

Southwell A/W:

Only four meetings have been staged since the end of April – Placepot dividends:

May 18th: £454.50 (6 favourites – 2 winners – 2 placed – 2 unplaced)

July 27th: £303.00 (6 favourites: 1 winner – 3 placed – 2 unplaced)

August 6th: £52.40 (6 favourites: 4 winners & 2 unplaced)

November 3rd: £313.80 (6 favourites – 2 winners – 2 placed – 2 unplaced)

Average Placepot dividend during the period: £281.37

Favourite stats in all races (beyond Placepot events) at the four meetings:

29 favourites: 11 winners – 8 placed – 10 unplaced

Your first 30 days for just £1