BEVERLEY – AUGUST 17
Last year’s corresponding toteplacepot dividend:
2015: £2,984.20 (6 favourites - No winners - 1 placed - 5 unplaced)
Thursday's Placepot permutation at Beverley:
Leg 1 (2.10): 3 (Elnadim Star) & 9 (Zip Along)
Leg 2 (2.40): 6 (Gold Stone), 7 (La Belle Mayson) & 4 (Dandy’s Beano)
Leg 3 (3.10): 7 (Go Now Go Now), 10 (Arabian Jazz) & 2 (Poet’s Dawn)
Leg 4 (3.40): 11 (Knightbridge Liam), 4 (Sakhalin Star) & 3 (Scruffy McGuffy)
Leg 5 (4.10): 9 (Pearl Noir), 6 (Noah Amor) & 7 (Roaring Rory)
Leg 6 (4.40): 5 (Maghfoor) & 9 (Cray)
Suggested stake: 324 bets to 10p stakes
Overview for Thursday - please scroll down to the bottom of the page
2.10: It can only be hoped that Kevin Ryan’s raider ELNADIM STAR will run better than Dandy’s Beano in the opening event here at Beverley yesterday who was too green to do himself justice on behalf of the stable. Up until that Point, Kevin has saddled twelve two-year-old winners this season and we hope the experience gained by Elnadim Star will help to give us a better run for our money today. Should that not be the case, connections of ZIP ALONG will probably land the spoils.
Favourite factor: As was the case on Wednesday, the first race at Beverley is a new race via the ‘Novice factor’.
Record of the course winner in the opening contest:
1/2—Our Little Pony (good to firm)
2.40: Kevin Ryan again takes centre stage having declared his course and distance runner up GOLD STONE who should go one better with the experience gained at the track last month. 24 days sounds like the right amount of time between first and second runs on the juvenile front and I would be a tad disappointed should Kevin’s Havana Gold filly fails to snare the swag. Kevin has also declared yesterday’s ‘flop’ DANDY’S BEANO which makes for interesting reading. Kevin Stott’s mount did not help herself by hanging towards the rail and if able to keep a straighter line today, who knows what the outcome could be. LA BELLE MAYSON is the other potential winner in the field according to the gospel of yours truly.
Favourite factor: As was the case on Wednesday, the second race is the second division of the opening event on the card. Am I repeating myself?
3.10: Mark Johnston has won three of the last seven renewals when represented, whereby the chance of Mark’s narrow recent Catterick winner GO NOW GO NOW is respected. ARABIAN JAZZ has attracted win and place money overnight by the look of things at the time of writing, whilst course and distance winner POET’S DAWN cannot be left out of the equation in this grade/company.
Favourite factor: Two of the last five favourites have obliged, albeit they are the only successful favourites to be recorded during the last twelve years. That said, the biggest priced winner during the study period was sent off at 9/1. Half of the favourites (7/14) secured toteplacepot positions via twelve renewals during the period.
Record of the course winner in the third race:
1/5—Poet’s Dawn (good to firm)
3.40: Three-year-olds have won five of the last seven renewals with KNIGHTSBRIDGE LIAM being the only relevant declaration on this occasion. I doubt that Mick Easterby would be overly into ‘trends’ though either way, my self-confessed ‘anorak’ tendencies demand that I include Mick’s Lilbourne Lad gelding in the mix. If ever KNIGHTEBRIDGE LIAM is going to get this kind of (twelve furlong) trip, it will be under today’s projected conditions I’ll wager. SAKHALIN STAR and SCRUFFY MCGUFFY are two other each way options to consider.
Favourite factor: Nine renewals have slipped by since the last (3/1) favourite obliged, though all nine contests to date have been won by horses returned at 9/1 or less. Eight of the eleven market leaders have finished in the frame (exact science).
Record of the course winner in the third race:
3/9—Lean On Pete (2 x good + good to firm)
1/5—Cool Music (good to firm)
2/9—Tin Pan Alley (good & good to firm)
1/2—Chauvelin (good to firm)
4.10: The withdrawal of Fujin has hopefully left the way clear for my trio against the field to gain a couple of Placepot positions between them, namely PEARL NOAH, NOAH AMOR and ROARING RORY. Horses grabbing the far rail were well to the fore yesterday, as were horses ‘on the pace’ in the majority of races whereby the respective stall positions of 4-6-1 (12 runners remain) should aid and abet our chances.
Favourite factor: This is another new race on the Beverley programme.
Record of the course winner in the fifth contest:
1/4—First Bombardment (good)
1/5—Crosse Fire (good to firm)
1/3—Fujin (good to firm)
1/2—Astrophysics (good to firm)
1/1—Noah Amor (good)
2/6—Roaring Rory (2 x good to firm)
3/8—Bond Bombshell (3 x good to firm)
2/8—Pearl Noir (good & good to firm)
4.40: Five three-year-olds have prevailed via the last eleven contests, though trainers seemingly took leave of their senses last year as no vintage representatives were declared. Upwards and onward however by suggesting that MAGHFOOR and CRAY should land the pot between them if were are live going into the finale. ATTENTION SEEKER is the obvious danger to the junior representatives this time around.
Favourite factor: Just two market leaders have won via the last eleven contests though to paint the full picture, it's only right to tell you that eleven of the last twelve gold medallists have scored at a top price of 13/2. Seven of the twelve favourites have secured toteplacepot positions.
Record of the course winner in the Placepot finale:
1/1—Attention Seeker (good to firm)
All place details offered on my pages relate to an 'exact science', whereby horses that finish third in 5/6/7 runner races (and other such scenarios) are not 'placed' regarding my statistics.
Trainers who have saddled more than one winner on the corresponding Beverley card on Wednesday during the last five years – alongside the starting prices of their gold medallists and number of runners today:
5 winners—Mark Johnston (7/2, 31/, 5/2, 7/4* & 1/2*) – 2 runners
3 winners—Tim Easterby (16/1, 14/1 & 7/1) – 6 runners
3 winners—Richard Fahey (11/2, 2/1* & 7/4*) – 7 runners
2 winners—Brian Ellison (11/2 & 4/1) – 2 runners
2 winners—David O’Meara (13/2 & 7/2) – 8 runners
2 winners—Tracey Waggott (15/2 & 6/1) – 2 runners
General overview - Corresponding Placepot dividends from last year:
Chepstow: This is basically a new fixture, aside from a couple of transferred races
Salisbury: £33.50 – 6 favourites – 4 winners – 1 placed – 1 unplaced
Yarmouth: £175.90 – 7 favourites – 3 winners – 1 placed – 3 unplaced
Fontwell: This is basically a new fixture, aside from a couple of transferred races