Placepot Pointers

Placepot pointers – Thursday 21st January

LUDLOW

Last year’s corresponding toteplacepot dividend:
2015: £91.60 (6 favourites: 3 winners--1 placed--2 unplaced)

 

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12.50: I heard a media commentator suggesting the other day that Harry Fry was not having many runners, posing a thought that perhaps all was not well in the yard.  23 of the last 77 runners saddled by Harry have won since the end of October, boasting a strike rate of 29.9%, offering level stake profits along the way.  If that is the definition of a "quiet yard" I'm not sure I know much about the game any more though suffice to say, that with four runners on the Ludlow card, I expect Harry to saddle at least one winner if the meeting gets the green light following an eight o'clock inspection.  Harry has declared AIR HORSE ONE in the opening race on the card, with connections probably having most to from the likes of PERFECT SUMMER and BANYU.
Favourite factor: The two favourites have won their respective events at odds of 11/8 and 3/1 thus far.

 
Ludlow record of course winners in the opening event:
1/1--Banyu (C&D winner)
 
 
1.20: BITOFAPUZZLE was running all over her field at Thurles recent before unshipping Noel Fehily but compensation surely awaits here as the terms and conditions put the race at the mercy of Harry Fry's talented mare.  A winner of three of her last seven races, KALANE is a talented individual and no mistake, but BITOFAPUZZLE is in a different league.  The other two entries are way out of their depth unless something dramatic unfolds.   
Favourite factor: All three (2/1-7/4-1/6) market leaders have prevailed to date.  
 
 
1.55: All four horses to have secured Placepot positions to date have carried 11-2 or more which eliminates the bottom two horses in the list in this seven strong field.  Tambura would also slip into the 'inferior' sector of the handicap if the pilot calls on all seven pounds of his claim.  BRISE VENDEENNE is preferred to STILL BELIEVING and DOLORES DELIGHTFUL via the four remaining options.   
Favourite factor: The two 9/4 favourites have snared gold and silver medals alongside toteplacepot positions.  
 
Ludlow record of course winners in the third contest on the card:
3/9--Still Believing (C&D winner)
2/4--Midnight Belle
1/3--Bobble Boru
 
 
2.30: All seven winners have carried a maximum weight of 11-6 which (taking jockey claims into account) essentially eliminates the top two horses in the handicap.  Eight and nine-year-olds have (equally) shared the last six renewals, whilst Evan Williams (IT'S A STEAL) is the only trainer to have saddled two winners thus far. WINGED CRUSADER and BOB TUCKER are added to the the overnight mix, whilst the overnight reserve nomination is awarded to KINGS APOLLO.
Favourite factor: Four of the eight favourites have finished in the frame to date, though we still await the first successful market leader from a win perspective.
 
Ludlow record of course winners in the fourth race:
2/4--Gorsky Island
1/1--Kilbree Kid
1/4--It's A Steal
2/5--Drumshambo
1/4--Kings Apollo
 
 
3.05: The two fully experienced horses in the line up have failed to pull up many trees to date, whereby 'newcomers' DERKSEN, NOBLE TED and KK LEXION should not be hard pressed to finish in front of the top pair in the list, the trio being listed in order of preference.  That said, Nicky Henderson (DERKSEN) held a well fancied option last year at the overnight stage, though the drifter in the market failed to make the frame.  The betting should give us a clue but if money fails to arrive for DERKSEN, I would swap sides and support NOBLE TED.   
Favourite factor: Last year's inaugural 9/4 market leader duly obliged.
 
3.40:  SMOKING JACK represents Tom George who has won with three of his last six runners whereby Wayne Hutchinson's mount is the first name on the overnight team sheet.  ZAMA ZAMA and LORD LIR are the obvious candidates as dangers to the selection.  This 'dead eight' event could offer one or two options from an each way perspective but that said, the bottom five horses in the handicap appear to have a lot do on paper.   
Favourite factor: The toteplacepot finale is a new race on the Ludlow programme.  
 
Ludlow record of course winners in the sixth race:
1/4--Zama Zama
 
 
All references to placed horses on these pages are based on an exact science regarding general place terms offered by bookmakers and totepool.com
 
Trainers with their relevant number of runners on the Ludlow card on Thursday:  
6--Evan Williams
5--Tom George
4--Harry Fry
3--Charlie Longsdon
3--Venetia Williams
2--Lady Susan Brooke
2--Brian Eckley
2--Nicky Henderson
2--Philip Hobbs
2--Tom Symonds
2--Nigel Twiston-Davies
2--Nick Williams
1--Kim Bailey
1--Dai Burchell
1--Zoe Davison
1--Steve Flook
1--Warren Greatrex
1--William Kinsey
1--Barry Leavy
1--Kerry Lee
1--Sopie Leech
1--Godfrey Maundrell
1--Graeme McPherson
1--Michael Mullineaux
1--Ben Pauling
1--Aytach Sadik
1--Mark Shears
1--Jamie Snowden
1--Sam Thomas
1--Tim Vaughan
1--Paul Webber
1--Ian Williams
 
55 declared runners
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