BEVERLEY – APRIL 26
Last year’s corresponding toteplacepot dividend:
2017: £606.57 (8 favourites – 1 winner – 2 placed – 5 unplaced)
Breakdown of the percentage of successful units in each Placepot race last year and the prices of the horses which finished in the frame – favourites which finished out of the Placepot positions are offered in brackets:
Race 1: 25.3% units went through – 13/2 – 8/1 – 8/1 (11/4)
Race 2: 86.0% of the remaining units when through – 4/9* - 50/1 – 8/1
Race 3: 57.9% of the remaining units went through – 6/1 & 5/2** (5/2**)
Race 4: 25.1% of the remaining units went through – 4/1 – 18/1 – 14/1 (10/3)
Race 5: 40.5% of the remaining units went through – 6/1 – 5/1 – 8/1 (2 x 9/2**)
Race 6: 74.7% of the units secured the dividend – 8/1 & 6/4*
Thursday's Placepot permutation at Beverley:
Leg 1 (1.30): 6 (Acclaim The Nation), 14 (Crosse Fire) & 15 (Cameo Star)
Leg 2 (2.00): 6 (Jensue), 11 (Shumookhi) & 12 (Signora Cabello)
Leg 3 (2.35): 4 (Shazzab) & 2 (Exhort)
Leg 4 (3.10): 8 (Song Of Summer), 10 (Onefootinparadise) & 2 (Scenic River)
Leg 5 (3.45): 5 (Rita’s Man), 1 (Liquid Gold) & 8 (Bollin Ted)
Leg 6 (4.20): 8 (Inflexiaball) & 5 (Vigee Le Brun)
Suggested stake: 324 bets to 10p stakes
1.30: The last nine winners have carried nine stones or more to victory, though the stat is not all that impressive as all bar one of the fifteen runners this time around qualify via the weight trend. You’ll note that one runner has already defected whereby we ‘Potters’ are denied a fourth place, by way of a change! Upwards and onward by suggesting that ACCLAIM THE NATION, CROSSE FIRE and CAMEO STAR should get us safely through to the second leg of our favourite wager. The reserve nomination is awarded to Grandad’s World.
Favourite factor: Five of the last eleven favourites have prevailed, whilst eight of the last twelve market leaders have secured Placepot positions. All twelve winners during the last fourteen years scored at a top price of 8/1.
Record of the five course winners in the opening contest:
1/2—Jacob’s Pillow (good to firm)
1/2—Acclaim The Nation (good to soft)
1/5—Crosse Fire (good to firm)
1/1—Cameo Star (good to firm)
2/9—Pearl Noir (good & good to firm)
2.00: Of the horses I short listed overnight, only JENSUE has remained ‘in positive mode’ on the exchanges, with the likes of SHUMOOKHI and SIGNORA CABELLO proving easy to back. It’s bad enough trying to fathom between two or more Richard Fahey horses in any race, but particularly so in an event for juveniles! Either way, Piccothepack and Immokolee are not going to offer value for money anyway (particularly from a Placepot perspective) so I will stick to my original thoughts.
Favourite factor: Both favourites have prevailed at odds of 4/9 and Evens to date.
2.35: I talked about two runners in a race in the previous event for Richard Fahey as usually proving to be a tough ask and this race is no different, even though his horses are split at either end of the market at the time of writing. To make matters worse, there was more interest is Richard’s outsider SHAZZAB than for EXHORT overnight, the potential favourite for the contest. Either way, Richard is on a hat trick in the contest and with recent showers having gone against Alfa McGuire (2/2 at the track on fast ground), I’ll opt for Richard’s pair against the other four contenders in this ‘short field’ event. New readers might like to know that the term short field relates to 5/6/7 runner races in which only the first two horses home qualify from each way and Placepot perspectives.
Favourite factor: Five of the eight market leaders have claimed Placepot positions via five renewals, statistics which include three winners at 13/8, 2/1 & 9/4***.
Record of the course winner in the third race:
2/2—Alfa McGuire (2 x good to fim)
3.10: Eleven of the fifteen toteplacepot positions have been secured by horses carrying a minimum burden of nine stones, statistics which include all five (7/1-13/2-4/1-4/1-2/1*) winners. Unfortunately just the one horse is eliminated from my Placepot thoughts via the weight trend, leaving SONG OF SUMMER (my each way call in the contest), ONEFOOTINPARADISE and SCENIC RIVER to carry my Placepot cash.
Favourite factor: Two of the six favourites have claimed Placepot positions via five renewals thus far, statistics which include one (2/1) winner.
3.45: Four-year-olds come into the contest on a four-timer and the pick of this year’s quartet of vintage representatives appear to be RITA’S MAN, LIQUID GOLD and BOLLIN TED. The trio is listed in order of preference at the time of writing.
Favourite factor: The terms and conditions of this ‘Rapid Lad’ handicap have changed whereby the contest as it stands now has just five renewals to consider, with three of the seven market leaders finishing in the frame (exact science) – no winners. Rapid Lad (the race is named after the grand servant) won 12 races at Beverley between 1983 and 1989 during an unbeaten record at the venue. Strange but true for such a prolific scorer, is the fact that Rapid Lad failed to win anywhere else, other than at Beverley.
Record of the five course winners in field:
1/2—Liquid Gold (good to firm)
3/6—Bollin Ted (2 x good to firm)
1/2—Paddy’s Rock (good)
2/10—John Caesar (2 x soft)
4.20: This is the second division of the previous race on the card. Call me cynical by all means but I find it ‘strange’ that all five course winners have been drawn against each other in the first division of this event, or is my comment ‘unworthy’? The pick of the four-year-olds in the second heat could prove to be VIGEE LE BRUN according to the gospel of yours truly, though money for INFLEXIBALL overnight suggests that John Mackie’s raider could bring an end to the four-year-old domination of this event in recent years.
Favourite factor: Three of the seven market leaders have finished in the frame (no winners).
All place details offered on my pages relate to an 'exact science', whereby horses that finish third in 5/6/7 runner races (and other such scenarios) are not 'placed' regarding my statistics.