LEICESTER - DECEMBER 28
Last year’s corresponding toteplacepot dividend:
2016: £129.30 (6 favourites – 1 winner – 4 placed – 4 unplaced)
Thursday's Placepot permutation at Leicester:
Leg 1 (12.55): 1 (Master Of Verse), 3 (Gregarious) & 2 (Accord)
Leg 2 (1.25): 10 (The Sweeney), 8 (Mon Eldorado) & 11 (Victarian)
Leg 3 (1.55): 2 (Bekkensfirth), 4 (Allee Bleue) & 5 (Crown Hill)
Leg 4 (2.30): 1 (Arthington) & 2 (Destrier)
Leg 5 (3.05): 2 (Cultivator) & 5 (Three Ways)
Leg 6 (3.40): 1 (Chieftan’s Choice), 4 (Billy Hicks) & 6 (Catchin Time)
Suggested stake: 324 bets to 10p stakes
Overview for Thursday - please scroll down to the bottom of the page
12.55: Just a reminder that there is an 8.00 inspection relating to this meeting. The horses from the Venetia Williams yard seem to improve a stone overnight when the word heavy is mentioned in the going description, whereby MASTER OF VERSE is the first name on the team sheet ahead of GREGARIOUS and ACCORD. There is little wrong with the form figures of Myroundorurs, though good ground is much more suitable for Robin Dickin’s raider.
Favourite factor: Two of the three (15/8 & 9/4) favourites have obliged to date, though last year’s 2/1 market leader was the only runner not to complete the course, when missing out on a Placepot position accordingly.
1.25: I tend to do better with the Emma Lavelle runners at the other end of the market, though there is no denying the Placepot chance of THE SWEENEY in this grade/company. Having scored with just two of her 40 runners between the months over June and October, the popular trainer is working an 18% ratio at present following 11 subsequent winners during the closing two months of the year. Others to consider include MON ELDORADO and VICTARIAN, though supporters of the latter named Philip Hobbs representative should note that the trainer has scored with just one of his last 36 runners.
Favourite factor: This is a new race on the Leicester card.
1.55: Eight-year-olds have won four of the last seven renewals, with seven-year-olds picking up the other three contests during that particular study period. Dan Skelton is live to the ‘edge’ having declared eight-year-old BEKKENSFIRTH who could take this renewal, chiefly at the expense of the heavy ground course winners ALLEE BLEUE and CROWN HILL.
Favourite factor: Market leaders have secured two of the last nine contests during which time, only one of the other seven favourites additionally secured a Placepot position.
Record of the course winners in the third race on the card:
1/1—Bekkensfirth (good to soft)
1/1—Allee Bleue (heavy)
1/1—Crown Hill (heavy)
2.30: Although Alan King saddled a winner at the feature meeting yesterday, only one of his last twelve runners has prevailed, whereby the course winners ARTHINGTON and DESTRIER are preferred to Harefield. None of the three has won under these type of conditions, though the soft ground course victory of ARTHINGTON gives him the edge from my viewpoint.
Favourite factor: This is another new contest on the Leicester programme.
Record of the course winners in the fourth race:
1/1—Destrier (good to soft)
3.05: Potential conditions like those in place at Leicester today can make fools of anyone (particularly yours truly) but on all known evidence, we look to have the prospect of a ‘match event’ here with the likes of CULTIVATOR and THREE WAYS having been declared. Victory for Jamie Snowden’s latter named raider would definitely have more significance back at the ranch compared to the Seven Barrows representative CULTIVATOR but having napped Nicky’s only Kempton runner successfully yesterday, I cannot ignore the claims of his six-year-old Alfora gelding in this weak event, especially as Nicky has saddled four of his last six runners to winning effect, taking his December haul to 24/77, a 31% strike rate which has yielded 16 points of level stake profit.
Favourite factor: The inaugural 1/3 favourite duly obliged, before last year’s 4/6 market leader found one too good, despite securing a Placepot position.
3.40: Seven of the nine winners during the last eleven years carried a minimum of 11-1, stats which bring in the likes of CHIEFTAN’S CHOICE and BILLY HICKS. That said, it would surely be churlish in the extreme to entirely rule out the heavy ground course winner CATCHIN TIME from a Placepot perspective at the very least. Twelve assignments have come and gone since Win Place And Sho scored and whilst James Eustace seems to have placed his raider to good effect, the 6/4 quote does little to attract my attention.
Favourite factor: Market leaders have won the four of the last five renewals of the toteplacepot finale. Six of the nine favourites have finished in the frame (exact science).
Record of the course winner in the Placepot finale:
1/4—Catchin Time (heavy)
All place details offered on my pages relate to an 'exact science', whereby horses that finish third in 5/6/7 runner races (and other such scenarios) are not 'placed' regarding my statistics.
Trainers with their relevant number of runners (two or more) on the Leicester card on Thursday – followed by their ratios at the track this season + profits/losses accrued where relevant:
3 runners—Oliver Greenall (0/1)
2—David Bridgwater (0/1)
2—Philip Hobbs (First runners at Leicester this season)
2—Alan King (First runners at Leicester this season)
2—Seamus Mullins (1/1 +3)
2—Dan Skelton (1/3 +1)
2—Colin Tizzard (0/1)
2—Christian Williams (0/3)
2—Evan Williams (0/5)
+ 26 different trainers who each saddle just one runner on the card
45 declared runners
General overview - Corresponding Placepot dividends from last year:
Catterick: Meeting abandoned
Lingfield: £20.90 (8 favourites – 2 winners – 4 placed – 2 unplaced)