Placepot Pointers

Placepot pointers – Thursday 28th January

WARWICK 

 

Last year’s corresponding toteplacepot dividend:

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2015: £12.40 (6 favourites: 2 winners--3 placed--1 unplaced)

 


1.50: FIXE LE KAP made a successful to his start in this country at Newbury on soft ground, delighting Nicky Henderson and the Seven Barrows team at the time.  A decent horse in the making for sure, it would be disappointing if Daryl Jacob's mount failed to build on his length victory at the Berkshire venue.  MYSTERY CODE receives seven pounds from the selection which could make things interesting I guess, but Nicky winner was value for a bigger margin of victory on the day.  THREE COLOURS RED looks booked for the bronze gong from my viewpoint. 

Favourite factor: The inaugural 5/4 market leader was pulled up, the race going to the 6/4 second favourite.  Last year's 13/8 favourite also missed out on a Placepot position.</p>
 
 
2.20: Five of the last six winners of this event have carried a minimum burden of 11-3 which eliminates Bears Rails if we take the stats seriously, with Colin Tizzard's Fakenham winner likely to be a popular order among other pundits.  I will adhere to my self confessed 'anorak tendencies' however by naming NEWTON THISTLE, CASTARNIE and SMART EXIT against their seven rivals on this occasion, albeit the latter named raider could slip a pound below the 'weight barrier' if the relevant jockey utilises the full claim.  Venetia Williams come to the gig on a hat trick, though it would take a leap of faith to support Tidal Dance, albeit the trainer has pulled many rabbits from hats down the years.
Favourite factor: Seven of the 13 favourites have finished in the frame, statistics which include three successful market leaders.
 
Warwick record of course winners in the second event:
1/1--Willoughby Hedge
1/3--Paddy The Oscar
 
 
2.55: A difficult race to assess and no mistake, not helped by the fact that there is little history/no edge to lean on.  PRINCESS TARA could emerge as the each way bet in the contest, though minimal stakes are advised whichever name your pin falls on.  One of the youngest horses in the field, Peter Bowen's raider has at least put back to back wins together in the past, a sign I invariably look for when trends are only conspicuous by their absence.  But for the negative effort at Plumpton last time out, I would have been really sweet on her chance in this grade/company.  Others for the overnight mix include TAMBURA, KNIGHT OFTHE REALM and BATTLE DUST.
Favourite factor: Last year's inaugural 7/2 market leader snared the bronze medal alongside a toteplacepot position.
 
Warwick record of course winners in the third contest:
1/2--Vice Et Vertu
 
 
3.30: MIA'S STORM ran well enough when thrown in at the deep end on her 'Listed' debut at Huntingdon at the first time of asking, a sure sign that Alan King holds his representative in decent regard.  Course winner SURTEE DU BERLAIS could find it tough going conceding plenty of weight to the selection accordingly, despite a claimer in the plate negating some of the burden.  Venetia Williams does better with her chasers as we know, but BUTTERCUP has shown enough ability to suggest the she should figure prominently, maybe until the taps are fully turned on by the afore mentioned pair at least.
Favourite factor: Last year's inaugural favourite duly obliged.
 
Warwick record of course winners in the fourth race:
1/2--Surtee Du Berlais
 
 
4.00: RICHMOND looks a likely type to give supporters a good run for their collective monies though that said, MENDIP EXPRESS is a class act on his day and he should make serious inroads in the Hunter Chase sector this term.  Philip Hobbs is no stranger to stringing together plenty of winners in the grade for the thick end of two months or so and MENDIP EXPRESS could achieve some notable victories over the coming weeks.  KALMONTO looks booked for third spot.
Favourite factor: All three favourites have obliged in this Hunter Chase event at odds of 11/10-5/4-9/4.
 
Warwick record of course winners in the fifth contest:
1/1--Mendip Express
1/5--Bally Sands
 
 
4.00: Five-year-olds have won eight of the last nine renewals of the toteplacepot finale and with point to points winners in the relevant ranks this time around, SHREWD TACTICS, BALKLYCASH ans STOWAWAY MAGIC should secure a Placepot position or two between them in the 'lucky last'.
Favourite factor: Three clear market leaders and one joint favourites have won via 10 renewals during the last 11 years.  Nine of the 11 favourites have secured toteplacepot positions during the study period.
 
 
All references to placed horses on these pages are based on an exact science regarding general place terms offered by bookmakers and totepool.com
 
Trainers with their relevant number of runners on the Warwick card on Thursday:  
4--Venetia Williams
3--Alan King
2--Stuart Edmunds
2--Warren Greatrex
2--Nicky Henderson
2--Philip Hobbs
2--Jonjo O'Neill
2--Ben Pauling
2--Colin Tizzard
2--Nigel Twiston-Davies
2--Evan Williams
1--R A Alford
1--Miss Louise Allen
1--Kim Bailey
1--Kevin Bishop
1--Peter Bowen
1--Ben Case
1--Henry Daly
1--Miss B Eckley
1--Kevin Frost
1--Grace Harris
1--Martin Hill
1--Anthony Honeyball
1--Linda Jewell
1--Caroline Keevil
1--Neil King
1--Sophie Leech
1--Natalie Lloyd-Beavis
1--Robin Matthew
1--Godfrey Maundrell
1--P R M Phillips
1--David Pipe
1--Brendan Powell
1--Richard Price
1--Peter Pritchard
1--Philip Rowley
1--Michael Scudamore
1--Oliver Sherwood
1--P P C Turner
1--Robert Walford
1--Chris Williams
1--Ian Williams
56 declared runners
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