WETHERBY – MARCH 29
Last year’s corresponding toteplacepot dividend:
2017: £49.50 (6 favourites – 2 winners & 4 unplaced)
Breakdown of the percentage of successful units in each Placepot race last year and the prices of the horses which finished in the frame – favourites which finished out of the Placepot positions are offered in brackets:
Race 1: 64.7% units went through – 11/4, 11/4 & 8/1 (5/2)
Race 2: 33.9% of the remaining units when through – 4/1, 14/1 & 5/1 (5/6)
Race 3: 44.8% of the remaining units went through – 11/1 & 9/4 (15/8)
Race 4: 33.3% of the remaining units went through – 11/4 & 4/1 (5/2)
Race 5: 70.1% of the remaining units went through – 7/2*, 13/2 & 10/1
Race 6: 64.1% of the units secured the dividend – 8/11* (Win only contest)
Thursday's Placepot permutation at Wetherby:
Leg 1 (2.00): 4 (Pirate Look) & 2 (Cosy Club)
Leg 2 (2.30): 1 (Away For Slates) & 2 (Rock Of Leon)
Leg 3 (3.05): 1 (Caraline), 5 (Uno Valeroso) & 7 (Glance Back)
Leg 4 (3.40): 3 (Isle Of Ewe), 10 (Cash To Ash) & 14 (Allfredandnobell)
Leg 5 (4.15): 1 (Bob Mahler) & 3 (Rhaegar)
Leg 6 (4.45): 6 (Goodtoknow), 1 (Blakemount) & 3 (Silver Hassle)
Suggested stake: 216 bets to 10p stakes
2.00: A poor start to the meeting, suffice to say that two ‘ordinary’ looking horses such as PIRATE LOOK and COSY CLUB should be able to dominate at the business end of proceedings. Those comments about the opening race should tell you all you need to know, especially as the exchange ‘betting’ suggests that it is 25/1 bar the market leaders at the time of writing.
Favourite factor: Last year’s inaugural (5/2) favourite missed out on a Placepot position by finishing fourth behind runners which filled the frame at 11/4 (twice) and 8/1.
2.30: Another two horse race in the offing with AWAY FOR SLATES and ROCK OF LEON seemingly having little (or nothing) to fear from their rivals. The pair are just about listed in order of preference, though whether the differential of (best) prices at the time of writing should be in place in open to debate, namely 2/5 and 5/2 respectively.
Favourite factor: I am a little surprised that the Placepot ‘only’ paid £49.50 last year as four of the favourites (see details above) finished out of the money, including the inaugural 5/6 market leader in this event.
3.05: Canny trainer Micky Hammond saddles three of the ‘dead eight’ declarations and bookmakers are already trying to protect their each way liabilities having cut stable representative CARALINE to 5/1 in places, with 9/2 possibly in the offing soon I’ll wager, just to stop punters having their ‘bets to nothing’ when ignoring the win perspective. Dual course winner CARALINE has finished ‘in the three’ in four of his five starts at the venue for good measure. Others of interest include UNO VALEROSO and GLANCE BACK.
Favourite factor: Last year’s 15/8 market leader finished out with the washing following the victory of the inaugural favourite at odds of 5/4.
Record of the two course winners in the third race:
2/5—Caraline (soft & heavy)
3.40: Wake up trainers because although six-year-olds have won four of the seven renewals thus far (including two of the last three with a representation of 32%), vintage representatives are only conspicuous by their absence this time around! Upwards and onward by suggesting that ISLE OF EWE should take the beating in this grade/company, especially as Tom Lacey’s runners are enjoying a great run of form just now with five of his last six raiders having won! The each way threat to Tom and his team here is CASH TO ASH from my viewpoint, whilst connections of ALLFREDANDNOBELL will point to the fact that his only victory from 24 assignments thus far was posted at this venue.
Favourite factor: One clear and one joint favourite have prevailed via seven contests thus far, whilst just three of the eight market leaders in total have claimed Placepot positions.
Record of the three course winners in the fourth event:
2/6—Lough Salt (good & good to soft)
1/9—Forty Crown (soft)
1/3—Allfredandnobell (good to soft)
4.15: The betting movements of BOB MAHLER this morning make for interesting reading because although the projected favourite is as short as 4/6 on some boards, Richard Johnson’s mount is almost an even money chance on the exchanges at the time of writing. Whichever way you interpret those conflicting odds, I’m adding RHAEGAR into the equation, especially with Kim Bailey and David Bass having teamed up to such fine effect this season.
Favourite factor: Last year’s inaugural 8/11 market duly obliged in what was the Placepot finale twelve months ago.
4.45: GOOD TO KNOW will be staying on when others have cried enough from my viewpoint, especially with Richard Johnson in the saddle. SILVER TASSLE and BLAKEMOUNT are others to put into the melting pot in a race which could be contested in poor conditions by the time that the starter drops his flag. More rain is expected to reach the Wetherby area before racing has finished this afternoon.
Favourite factor: The two (7/2 and 3/1) favourites have both secured Placepot positions thus far by gaining gold and silver medals respectively.
Record of the two course winners in the Placepot finale:
1/3—Blakemount (good to soft)
All place details offered on my pages relate to an 'exact science', whereby horses that finish third in 5/6/7 runner races (and other such scenarios) are not 'placed' regarding my statistics.