Placepot Pointers

Placepot pointers – Thursday 4th February

WINCANTON 

 

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Last year’s corresponding toteplacepot dividend:
2015: £213.80 (6 favourites: 2 winners - 1 placed - 3 unplaced)
 
 
1.30: Six-year-olds have won five of the last seven renewals and this year's two vintage representatives LIFEBOAT MONA and KENTFORD MYTH are offered chances, both horses having won here at Wincanton .  The overnight reserve nomination is awarded to the only five-year-old in the field BRISE VENDEENNE, relevant vintage raiders having won the other three contests during the last decade.   
Favourite factor: Market leaders have won six of the last nine contests, whilst favourites come to the gig on a five timer this time around.  That said, only one of the other three jollies (at 2/11) secured an additional toteplacepot position.
 
Wincanton record of course winners in the opening event on the card:
1/1--Lifeboat Mona (C&D winner)
1/3--Kentford Myth
 
 
2.00: Seven-year-olds have won three of the last seven contests, though vintage representatives are only conspicuous by their absence this time around.  THE BROCK AGAIN is an interesting entry on his chasing debut, albeit PRESSUREIZE and GINO TRAIL should put their experience over the larger obstacles to better effect.  In receipt of up to 17 points from GINO TRAIL (if the claiming jockey foregoes breakfast), whereby PRESSURIZE should prevail under the terms and conditions of the contest. 
Favourite factor: Three of the eight favourites have secured toteplacepot positions, statistics which include two (Evens & 10/11) winners. 
 
 
2.30: CRIN AU VENT looks to have this race at his mercy, following in the hoofprints of the previous odds on winners via just two renewals thus far.  A winner on very soft ground at Auteuil last time out, the french import has been found an obvious chance by trainer Paul Nicholls. That french form worked out well at Cheltenham last weekend which points to this being a non event unless jumping errors bring about the downfall of the four-year-old.  UNISON is an interesting newcomer from Jeremy Scott's yard, though the official top rating on the level of 77 was awarded the thick end of 18 months ago, with nine subsequent efforts failing to live up to that reputation.  CLOSER TO HOME could be booked for third spot.
Favourite factor: The two (odds on) favourites have previaled thus far at odds of 1/4 & 8/11.
 
3.05: SHAMMICK BOY is back to retain his crown off a 10 pound higher mark, albeit a five pound claimer potentially negates half of the additional burden.  An eight time winner, SHAMMICK BOY is hardly going to improve at 11 years of age but that said, a follow up victory cannot be discounted in this grade/company, especially as a return to timber will boost confidence to a horse which has simply not taken to steeplechasing.  DOLORES DELIGHTFUL was a winner on this card twelve months ago, whereby the Nick Williams raider is nominated as the chief threat ahead of SPACE WALKER.
Favourite factor: The inaugural 10/3 market leader (frustratingly) finished fourth, missing out on a toteplacepot position in the process as did last year's 15/8 favourite.
Wincanton record of course winners in the fourth race:
1/1--Shammick Boy (C&D winner)
1/1--Delores Delightful
3.40: SAINT RAPH is another horse on the card who won here last year, though an additional seven pounds has to be overcome if a follow up is on the cards.  I wouldn't be one to trust As De Fer if a short price is in the offing about the recent Warwick winner, albeit the victory was impressive to say the least.  It's five years since the 10-year-old but back to back successes together and there might be better value to be had with QUITE BY CHANCE (good record at the track) and UNIQUE DE COTTE, who faces only his second assignment over fences.
Favourite factor: Two of the four favourites (via three renewals) have finished in the three (exact science) to date.
Wincanton record of course winners in the fifth contest on the card:
3/7--Quite By Chance (Dual C&D winner)
1/2--Gores Island
1/1--Saint Raph (C&D winner)
 
4.15: I have made the point several times before that Hunter Chase events have the best record in terms of winning favourite under either code of the sport and those with definite chances here (probably heading the market accordingly) are JOIN TOGETHER and CHARTREUX, the pair being listed in order of preference. PARKAM JACK is hiked up in trip again despite a win last time out, though a more extreme test of stamina has been previously undertaken to reasonable effect.

Favourite factor: We still await the first successful favourite from a win perspective following four renewals (despite the claim in the analysis above), with two of the relevant market leaders securing toteplacepot positions.

 
Wincanton record of course winners in the toteplacepot finale:
1/1--Chartreux
1/1--Parkam Jack
 
 
All references to placed horses on these pages are based on an exact science regarding general place terms offered by bookmakers and totepool.com
 
 
Trainers with their relevant number of runners on the Wincanton card on Thursday:
5--Paul Nicholls
4--Venetia Williams
3--Anthony Honeyball
3--David Pipe
2--Harry Fry
2--Philip Hobbs
2--Neil Mulholland
2--Helen Nelmes
2--Colin Tizzard
2--Robert Walford
2--Nick Williams
1--Linda Blackford
1--David Bridgwater
1--Dean Coleman
1--Vic Dartnall
1--David Dennis
1--Jimmy Frost
1--Sue Gardner
1--Tom George
1--Chris Gordon
1--J H Henderson
1--Paul Henderson
1--Gail Heywood
1--Natalie Lloyd-Beavis
1--Mrs Rose Loxton
1--Mrs Julie Marles
1--Gary Moore
1--Seamus Mullins
1--Ben Pauling
1--J M Ridley
1--Jeremy Scott
1--Robert Stephens
1--Mrs H M Tory
1--Jess Westwood
1--Mrs Kayley Woollacott
52 declared runners
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