BEVERLEY – APRIL 21
Last year’s corresponding toteplacepot dividend:
2015: £46.60 (6 favourites: 2 winners - 2 placed - 2 unplaced)
Thursday's Placepot permutation at Beverley:
Leg 1 (): 9 (Zig Zag Girl), 2 (Clem Fandango) & 1 (Accladora)
Leg 2 (): 3 (Canford Crossing), 4 (Billy Roberts) & 6 (Specialv)
Leg 3 (): 4 (Arab Poet) & 1 (Kings Pavillion)
Leg 4 (): 5 (Alphabetical Order) & 3 (Donna Speciosa)
Leg 5 (): 4 (Shabbah) & 1 (The Major)
Leg 6 (): 7 (Jacbequick), 8 (Briardale) & 5 (Chilworth Bells)
Suggested stake: 216 bets to 10p stakes
Overview for Thursday - please scroll down to the bottom of the page
1.50: Five of the seven winners on the opening meeting of the season at Beverley scored at a top price of 5/1, whilst the other two gold medallists were returned at 8/1 and 10/1, whereby a lot of racegoers would have gone home happy enough, with two successful favourites added for good measure. Throw in the fact that six northern stables were victorious, to conclude that all was well 'north of Watford' that day! Five of the ten favourites finished in the frame (exact science) to produce a Placepot dividend of £227.00. Upwards and onward by informing that Keith Dalgleish saddled a (2/1) winner on the corresponding card last year and given his decent record with juveniles at the track (see stats immediately below), CLEM FANDANGO could be given a chance, especially from a Placepot perspective. Keith's March foal would not have to be overly precocious to win this event I'll wager, though the experience gained by ZIG ZAG GIRL on Monday at Windsor will hold her in good stead, if she reappears so quickly. ACCLADORA is a half sister to a couple of winners and she ran well enough on debut at Wolverhampton to suggest that a small race could be within reach.
Favourite factor: This is a new race on the Beverley card with which to open proceedings.
Trainer records relating to two-year-olds at Beverley during the last five years:
Mark Johnston (Accladora) - 12/55
Keith Dalgleish (Clem Fandango) - 2/5
Nigel Tinkler (Kilbaha Lady) - 3/45
Ollie Pears (Melaniemillie) - 1/21
Tim Easterby (Poet's Time) - 4/99
Tom Dascombe (Red Shanghai) - 1/8
James Tate (Seafront) - 3/16
Bryan Smart (Whiteandgold) - 2/27
Mick Channon (Zig Zag Girl) - 1/18
2.20: Six of the nine toteplacepot positions have been secured by horses carrying a minimum burden of 9-1, statistics which include all three (7/1-4/1-2/1*) winners. Three horses are eliminated from my thoughts accordingly and CANFORD CROSSING could prove be the pick of the relevant entries, albeit Paul Quinn's mount has contested eight of his nine assignments on all weather surfaces thus far. David Nicholls secured a (10/3) winner on the card last year and has saddled two of his last four runners to winning effect at the time of writing. CANFORD CROSSING was far from disgrace on his only turf sortie on debut when snaring the silver medal at Haydock under fast conditions. With the weather set fair for the next day or two, the predicted soft ground could change quickly whereby David's only runner on the card could outrun his odds. Others to consider include unbeaten course and distance winner BILLY ROBERTS and SPECIALV, who is the mount of the vastly underrated pilot Ben Curtis. Aside from our favourite wager, I would not begin to be interested in a bet from a win perspective.
Favourite factor: Two of the four favourites have claimed toteplaepot positions via three renewals thus far, statistics which include one (2/1) winner.
Beverley record of course winners in the second race:
2.50: Mark Johnston secured the first two renewals and the stable is represented by KINGS PAVILLION on this occasion. Mark's King's Best colt will appreciate the ground becoming quicker if the forecasters have got their respective acts together this week, with Joe Fanning's mount having finished 'in the three' in all ten assignments thus far, statistics which include two victories. The only negative factor concerns last year stable representative which is outlined in the 'favourite factor' below. ARAB POET demands plenty of attention, with Sir Michael Stoute's raider having got off the mark at Lingfield last back end at the fourth time of asking. It should not be forgotten, that Ryan Moore's mount only found Massaat too good for him on his previous assignment at Leicester, the winner going on to finish second in the Group 1 'Dewhurst' next time up.
Favourite factor: Both (2/1 & 13/8) favourites had obliged before last year's when Mark Johnston's 2/1 favourite finished last in a 'short field' event. New readers might like to know that the term 'short field' relates to 5/6/7 races in which only the first two horses home qualify from each way and Placepot perspectives.
3.20: The last five winners of this contest have carried a minimum burden of 8-13 and with the top two horses in the handicap having to re-establish their positive credentials at this moment in time, I am left with just three runners to assess if I take the recent weight trend seriously. The trio are listed in order of preference at the time of writing as ALPHABETICAL ORDER (winner of five of his last nine races), dual course and distance winner DONNA GRACIOSA and BUSY STREET, who only has four miles on his racing clock thus far.
Favourite factor: Two of the six market leaders to secure a toteplacepot position thus far won their respective races at odds of 7/4 and 3/1.
Beverley record of course winners in the four event on the card:
3.50: The last seven winners have carried nine stones or more to victory. You will find positive statistics relating to Sir Michael Stoute's runners in the 'trainer runners' list below, though I should add that all six of Michael's representatives here at Beverley last year were beaten. That said, his raider SHABBAH could hardly have been presented with a better chance of opening his account. Connections might have most to fear from the likes of THE MAJOR and NIETZSCHE at the business end of the contest. Both horses will benefit from jockey claims (likely as not) which is worth taking into account in such a low grade contest.
Favourite factor: Four of the last nine favourites have prevailed, whilst seven of the last ten market leaders have secured toteplacepot positions. All ten winners during the last twelve years scored at a top price of 8/1.
4.20: Horses carrying 9-2 or more have secured five of the eight available toteplacepot positions thus far, statistics which include (14/1 & 7/1) winners. Nine of the twelve entries 'qualify' via the weight trend, whilst one five-year-old raider been declared in the 'superior' sector of the handicap, vintage raiders having won both contests when represented to date. The relevant declaration is JACBEQUICK who has won three times here at Beverley which is another positive factor to digest. BRIARDALE is the other course winner in the field, James Bethell's Arcano gelding having won at the first time of asking (his only success) to date, albeit just four subsequent races have been contested. CHILWORTH BELLS completes my trio against the other nine contenders.
Favourite factor: The terms and conditions of this ‘Rapid Lad’ handicap have changed whereby the contest as it stands now has just three renewals to consider, with one of the three market leaders finishing in the frame (exact science) - no winners. Rapid Lad (the race is named after the grand servant) won 12 races at Beverley between 1983 and 1989 during an unbeaten record at the venue. Strange but true for such a prolific scorer, is the fact that Rapid Lad failed to win anywhere else, other than at Beverley.
Beverley record of course winners in the toteplacepot finale:
Trainers with their relevant number of runners on the Beverley card on Thursday:
5--Mark Johnston (1/4 at Beverly this season)
4--Tim Easterby (0/2)
3--Mick Easterby (--)
3--Richard Fahey (1/4)
2--Michael Appleby (--)
2--Mick Channon (0/1)
2--Brian Ellison (1/2)
2--Lawrence Mullaney (--)
2--David O'Meara (0/2)
2--Sir Michael Stoute (--) -- 5/19 during the last five years
2--Alan Swinbank (1/2)
+ 26 different trainers who each saddle just one runner on the card
55 declared runners
General overview - Last year's corresponding Placepot dividends at Thursday's other meetings + trainer stats:
Perth: £258.10 (7 favourites - 3 winners - 2 placed - 2 unplaced)
Warwick: £46.50 (6 favourites (3 winners - 2 placed - 1 unplaced) - 9/1 double for Jonjo O'Neill on last year's card -4 runners on Thursday: She's Late (2.40), Mustmeetalady (3.10), Cloudy Copper (4.10) and Yewlands 4.40)
Meetings with no history - latest Placepot dividend:
Exeter (12th April): £111.30 (8 favourites - 2 winners - 4 placed - 2 unplaced)
Market Rasen (10th April): £86.50 (6 favourites - 4 winner & 2 unplaced)
Trainers who saddled winners at last year's meeting with runners today:
Nigel Tinkler (4/1) - 1 runner at Beverley on Thursday (Kilbaha Lady - 1.50)
Keith Dalgleish (2/1*) - 1 runner (Clem Fandango - 1.50)
David Nicholls (10/3) - 1 runner (Canford Crossing - 2.20)