Placepot pointers – Thursday August 11

BEVERLEY - AUGUST 11

 

Last year’s corresponding toteplacepot dividend:

2015: £36.40 (7 favourites - 2 winners - 3 placed - 2 unplaced)

 

Thursday's Placepot permutation at Beverley: 

Leg 1 (1.50): 6 (One Too Many) & 4 (Loving Clarets)

Leg 2 (2.20): 5 (See The City), 4 (Alfie's Angel) & 1 (Muirsheen Durkin)

Leg 3 (2.50): 11 (Ryan The Giant), 9 (Judicial Enquiry) & 10 (Top Of The Rocks)

Leg 4 (3.20): 9 (Showbizzy), 8 (Showdaisy) & 1 (Etienne Gerard)

Leg 5 (3.50): 4 (Air Squadron) & 5 (Full Day)

Leg 6 (4.20): 4 (Beverley Bullet) & 8 (Ginger Charlie)

Suggested stake: 216 bets to 10p stakes

 

Overview for Thursday - please scroll down to the bottom of the page

 

1.50: Richard Fahey has claimed two of the last six renewals of the opening event and though his Mayson raider LOVING CLARETS showed little on debut, we can expect a great deal of improvement with that experience behind him I'll wager.  ONE TOO MANY might prove to be the horse to beat however, whilst Mark Johnston's Exceed And Excel newcomer QUEEN IN WAITING is an interesting declaration.

Favourite factor: Although only three favourites have won during the last eleven years, nine gold medallists have scored at a top price of 4/1.  Nine of the eleven market leaders have claimed toteplacepot positions.

2.20: Mark Johnston has won three of the last six renewals when represented, whereby the chance of his recent Nottingham winner SEE THE CITY is fully respected following his facile two length victory.  Joe Fanning's mount should go on from here to better things, though ALFIE'S ANGEL and course and distance winner MUIRSHEEN DURKIN are unlikely to go down without a fight.

Favourite factor: Two of the last four favourite have obliged, albeit they are the only successful favourites to be recorded during the last eleven years.  That said, the biggest priced winner during the study period was sent off at 9/1.  Over half of the favourites (7/13) secured toteplacepot positions via eleven renewals during the period.

Record of the course winner in the second race:

1/2--Muirsheen Durkin (good to soft)

2.50: Three-year-olds have won four of the last six renewals with RYAN THE GIANT, JUDICIAL ENQUIRY and TOP OF THE ROCKS making most appeal from the relevant entries this time around.  These are not strong contenders however and it would come as no surprise if the 'trend' went base over apex from a win perspective, with PENCAITLAND arguably being the pick of the older contenders.

Favourite factor: Eight renewals have slipped by since the last (3/1) favourite obliged, though all eight contests to date have been won by horses returned at 9/1 or less.  Seven of the ten market leaders have finished in the frame (exact science).

3.20: Although Richard Fahey (SHOWBIZZY) has saddled three more winners during the last fortnight compared to Keith Dalgleish (SHOWDAISY), Richard has needed 6% more runners to achieve that 'edge'.  These are the only two represented trainers who are consistently firing in winners at this moment in time, though I am mindful that before Richard saddled gold medallists on Saturday, his previous 33 runners had all been beaten.  ETIENNE GERARD completes my trio against the other nine contenders.  Rachel Richardson should get a decent tune out of MININGGOLD whereby Tim Easterby's raider is the reserve nomination.

Favourite factor: This handicap event for 'lady jockeys' is a new race on the Beverley card.

Record of course winners in the fourth contest on the card:

1/3--Burtonwood (good to firm)

4/16--Noodles Blue Boy (2 x good to firm - good - good to soft)

1/12--Bronze Beau (good to firm)

1/6--Poppy In The Wind (soft)

1/16--Tinsill (good)

3.50: Five three-year-olds have prevailed via the last ten contests, though trainers seem to have taken leave of their senses on this occasion as no vintage representatives have been declared this year.  Upwards and onward however by suggesting that Ralph Beckett does not waste diesel on an everyday basis whereby the long haul endured by AIR SQUADRON should pay for expenses at the very least in this grade/company, though course winner FULL DAY should also figure prominently in this 'short field' event.  New readers might like to know that the term 'short field' relates to 5/6/7 runners races in which only the first two horses home 'qualify' from each way/Placepot perspectives.

Favourite factor: Just two market leaders have won via the last ten contests though to paint the full picture, it's only right to tell you that ten of the last eleven gold medallists have scored at a top price of 13/2.  Seven of the eleven favourites have secured toteplacepot positions.

Record of the course winner in the fifth event:

1/4--Full Day (good to firm)

4.20: Les Eyre has been greeting winners of late and the appropriately named BEVERLEY BULLET can go close in the last leg of our favourite wager.  David Allan's mount has been dropped a couple of pounds by the handicap despite being beaten by a maximum of four lengths in three of his last four assignments.  Indeed, those three defeats were 'only' recorded via an aggregate of eight and a half lengths. GINGER CHARLIE is preferred to the recent Leicester winner PACIFIC SALT as the main danger.

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Favourite factor: All four favourites have finished in the frame via three renewals, all of which were won by market leaders.

Record of the course winner in the Placepot finale:

2/8--Arcane Dancer (good & good to firm)

 

All place details offered on my pages relate to an 'exact science', whereby horses that finish third in 5/6/7 runner races (and other such scenarios) are not 'placed' regarding my statistics.

 

Trainers with their relevant number of runners on the Beverley card on Thursday - Stats complied before the Wednesday meeting was contested:

4--Richard Fahey (6/43 at Beverley this season - winners at 5/1-3/1-3/1-9/4***-5/4-11/10*)

4--Nigel Tinkler (0/17)

3--Mark Johnston (7/42 - winners at 11/1-5/1-3/1-11/4-9/4-2/1*-11/8*)

2--Alan Brown (1/6 - winner at 15/2)

2--Ruth Carr (1/18 - winner at 7/2*)

2--Tony Coyle (0/16)

2--Keith Dalgleish (2/11 - winners at 12/1 & Evens*)

2--Tom Dascombe (2/12 - winners at 5/1 & 4/1)

2--Tim Easterby (2/44 - winners at 20/1 & 5/2*)

2--Brian Ellison (4/16 - winners at 10/1-2/1*-7/4*-4/9*)

2--Ollie Pears (3/17 - winners at 15/2-7/1-3/1)

2--Bryan Smart (1/12 - winner at 7/2)

2--John Wainwright (0/8)

2--Richard Whitaker (0/5)

+ 34 different trainers who each saddle just one runner on the card

67 declared runners

 

General overview - corresponding Placepot dividends from last year:

Salisbury: £80.20 - 7 favourites - 3 winners - 2 placed - 2 unplaced

The meetings at Stratford & Worcester are new fixtures

Last year's Yarmouth meeting was abandoned

 

Beverley overview - Juvenile record of represented trainers in the relevant events - stats do not include the races which were contested on Wednesday

1.50:

0/2--David Nicholls (Bay Station)

0/2--Hugo Palmer (Bithynia)

1/22--Paul Midgley (La Haule Lady)

19/104--Richard Fahey (Loving Clarets)

2/24--Tony Coyle (Newgate Sioux)

2/6--David Brown (One Too Many)

13/69--Mark Johnston (Queen In Waiting)

7/46--Kevin Ryan (Red Savina)

0/1--James Given (Street Jazz)

2/33--Bryan Smart (Tivra)

2.20: 

2/12--Tom Dascombe (Muirsheen Durkin)

No runners--Slyvester Kirk (Misetr Blue Sky)

9/67--Ann Duffield (Miss Bates)

2/33--Brian Smart (Alfie's Angel)

13/69--Mark Johnston (See The City)

3/51--Nigel Tinkler (Kilbara Lady)

2/14--Richard Whitaker (Pontecarlo Boy)

19/104--Richard Fahey (Vatican Hill)

 

 

 

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