Placepot pointers – Thursday August 18



Last year’s corresponding toteplacepot dividend:</p>

2015: £276.90 (6 favourites - 2 winners - 2 placed - 2 unplaced)


Thursday's Placepot permutation at York: 

Leg 1 (1.55): 2 (Angel Down), 7 (Hemingway) & 10 (Mr Hobbs)

Leg 2 (2.30): 3 (Fair Eva) & 8 (Queen Kindly)

Leg 3 (3.05): 18 (Mustashry), 17 (Red Napolean) & 13 (Azraff)

Leg 4 (3.40): 2 (Found) & 1 (Endless Time)

Leg 5 (4.20): 8 (Tiptree), 5 (Abingdon) & 6 (Glamorous Approach)

Leg 6 (4.55): 10 (Jadaayil), 5 (Dawaa) & 2 (Light Music)

Suggested stake: 324 bets to 10p stakes


Overview for Thursday - please scroll down to the bottom of the page


1.55: It’s worth mentioning to ‘novice punters’ that although 20 runners go to post in Thursday’s opening event (even with some bookmakers offering a fourth place from an each way perspective), toteplacepot investors only have three chances of gaining a position if they are to successfully make it through to the second leg of our favourite wager.  Kevin Ryan (HEMINGWAY could be the call via his four declarations) has secured two of the last five prizes whilst saddling the fourth placed horse three years ago alongside last year's runner up at 20/1.  The last seven winners have been drawn in double figure stall numbers, as have twelve of the last fourteen gold medallists. That said, low number appeared to have an edge on the opening day whereby I have runners in my Placepot mix across the track, namely ANGEL DOWN, HEMINGWAY and MR HOBBS.

Favourite factor: Six of the last thirteen favourites have prevailed, whilst ten of the nineteen market leaders to date have secured toteplacepot positions.  A real toteplacepot buster of an event if ever there was one, five of the last seven favourites having failed to figure, whilst recent winners included those returned at 25/1-12/1-18/1-12/1-10/1-9/1 during the last eleven years.

Draw factor (six furlongs):

14-12-8 (18 ran-good to soft

13-3-8 (19 ran-good)

17-2-7 (19 ran-good to firm)

17-4-9 (19 ran-good to firm)

19-11-2 (20 ran-good to soft)

15-10-5 (18 ran-good)

13-8-7 (10 ran-good to firm)

2-11-6 (20 ran-good)

11-9-16 (19 ran-soft)

10-18-15 (22 ran-good to firm)

12-17-19 (22 ran-good)

5-15-13 (22 ran-good)

17-18-21 (21 ran-good)

22-20-17(22 ran-good to firm)

4-10-3 (22 ran-good)

6-1-18 (21 ran-good to firm)

11-4-20 (22 ran-good)


2.30: Richard Hannon (the team have secured three of the last eight contests) has declared NATIONS ALEXANDER with win and place claims, whilst the same an be said of Richard Fahey's Catterick winner QUEEN KINDLY from my viewpoint.  I made the point last year that Richard Hannon did not fancy taking on the eventual 11/4 winner Besharah (how did she win at that price?) who represented William Haggas.  In turn, William has declined to opportunity of opposing FAIR EVA who burned up the track at Ascot last time out when disposing of Kilmah with the minimum of fuss.  This event is surely hers for taking en route to even better prizes in the autumn.

Favourite factor: 16 of the last 18 renewals have been won by horses starting at 15/2 or less, stats which includes eight winning favourites.  11 of the market leaders during the study period have claimed toteplacepot positions.

Draw factor (six furlongs):

7-2-3 (9 ran-good to soft)

2-1-5 (9 ran-good)

9-3-5 (9 ran-good to firm)

3-2-4 (10 ran-good to firm)

10-8-9 (11 ran-good to soft)

5-7-4 (8 ran-good)

8-4-10 (12 ran-good to firm)

4-6-9 (10 ran-good)

4-1 (7 ran-soft)

2-3 (6 ran-good to firm)

8-4-2 (8 ran-soft)

9-6-5 (9 ran-good to firm)

4-5 (5 ran-good to firm)

4-6-2 (8 ran-good)

6-3 (7 ran-good)

6-9-3 (9 ran-good)

1-5-9 (10 ran-firm)

10-6-1 (9 ran-good)


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3.05: Three and four-year-olds have claimed 12 of the last 14 renewals between them, with the older horses leading 8-4 during the period.  Sit Michael Stoute (MUSTASHRY) saddles the only junior representative, whilst the pick of the six four-year-old's should prove to be RED NAPOLEAN and AZRAFF.  The overnight reserve nomination is last year's winner CHIL THE KITE.  David O'Meara saddles five runners though don't be misled by that statement of fact, as all eight of his entries last year finished out of the frame!

Favourite factor: Favourites have a fair record in this event, given the nature of the contest.  11 market leaders have secured toteplacepot positions during the last 18 years, statistics which include three winners.

Draw factor (eight furlongs):

9-13-10-4 (18 ran-good to soft)

18-9-5-12 (19 ran-good)

13-3-15-9 (16 ran-good to firm)

1-12-9-11 (20 ran-good to firm)

16-17-1-20 (18 ran-good to soft)

1-10-3-2 (17 ran-good)

14-5-11-7 (19 ran-good to firm)

11-12-5-4 (18 ran-good)

12-19-3-17 (17 ran-soft)

1-8-5-3 (19 ran-good to firm)

4-12-3 (15 ran-soft)

6-5-3 (15 ran-good to firm)

4-18-20-3 (18 ran-good to firm)

2-4-1-3 (17 ran-good)

3-4-5-2 (16 ran-good)

11-9-6-5 (20 ran-good)

11-2-10 (14 ran-firm)


3.40: Three-year-olds have won ten of the last seventeen renewals, statistics which include six of the last ten contests.  That said, four-year-olds have won four of the last seven contests. There are few more consistent runners at Group 1 level than FOUND, albeit that value for money will not be there for the taking I'll wager after the victory of Idaho on Wednesday.  One of only two horses to beat Golden Horn, FOUND looks the answer, with ENDLESS TIME being the pick of the home based runners from my viewpoint.

Favourite factor: Nine favourites have prevailed in the last nineteen years, though just five of the other ten market leaders secured additional toteplacepot positions.


4.20: Three-year-olds have claimed 14 of the last 18 renewals of this event, statistics which include 12 of the last 15 contests. Luca Cumani won four of the first six renewals of this Listed 'Galtres Stakes', though his 1999 winner Innuendo was the last of his gold medallists to date.  That said, Luca saddled the 6/1 runner up twelve months ago and the popular trainer has declared TIPTREE on this occasion,.  Other three-year-olds to attract the eye include ABINGDON and GLAMOROUS APPROACH.

Favourite factor: Four clear market leaders and one joint favourite have won during the study period.  12 of the 20 market leaders have secured toteplacepot positions via the last 17 renewals.


4.55: Three-year-olds have won four of the five contests, whilst vintage representatives have secured ten of the seventeen available toteplacepot positions.  Three-year-old's are 1/12 to extend the trend in the toteplacepot finale and I have every reason to believe that JADAAYIL, course and distance winner DAWAA and LIGHT MUSIC will be there or thereabouts at the business end of the contest.

Favourite factor: Four of the five favourites have secured toteplacepot positions thus far, statistics which include three (5/1-10/3-5/2) winners.


All place details offered on my pages relate to an 'exact science', whereby horses that finish third in 5/6/7 runner races (and other such scenarios) are not 'placed' regarding my statistics.


Trainers with their relevant number of runners on the York card on Thursday (stats compiled before Wednesday's meeting):

9--David O'Meara (1/65 at York this season - winner at 8/1)

8--Mark Johnston (2/34 - winners at 9/1 & 5/1)

6--Kevin Ryan (4/28 - winners at 5/1-9/2-3/1-13/8*)

5--Aidan O'Brien (0/4)

3--Luca Cumani (0/5)

3--Tim Easterby (3/35 - winners at 11/1-9/1-5/1)

3--Richard Fahey (5/75 - winners at 33/1-20/1-10/1-5/1-4/1)

3--Richard Hannon (2/16 - winners at 14/1 & 12/1)

3--Sir Michael Stoute (3/7 - winners at 6/1-11/4-9/4**)

2--Jim Bolger (---)

2--Marco Botti (0/1)

2--Karl Burke (2/20 - winners at 11/2 & 3/1)

2--Henry Candy (0/4)

2--Mick Channon (0/11)

2--Keith Dalgleish (0/2)

2--Ed Dunlop (0/4)

2--John Gosden (3/11 - winners at 8/1-9/2*-4/5*)

2--Brian Meehan (---)

+ 22 different trainers who each saddle just one runner on the card

83 declared runners


General overview - corresponding Placepot dividends from last year:

Chepstow: £119.70 - 6 favourites - 2 winners - 1 placed - 3 unplaced

Hamilton: £47.70 - 6 favourites - 3 winners - 2 placed 1 unplaced

Fontwell: £409.40 - 7 favourites - No winners - 1 placed - 6 unplaced

Stratford: £26.10 - 6 favourites - 3 winenrs - 1 placed - 2 unplaced


York overview - 5 year juvenile record of represented trainers in the relevant events at 1.55 & 2.30 (stats relevant before Wednesday's sport was contested):


3/42--Richard Hannon (Legendary Lunch & Stormy Clouds)

1/1--Henry Candy (Angel Down)

4/65--Tim Easterby (Computable)

4/23--David Barron (Danielsflyer)

0/1--Joseph Tuite (Dark Destroyer)

18/96--Kevin Ryan (Heir Of Excitement-Hemingway-Perfect Syphony-Perfect Madge)

2/20--Karl Burke (Man About Town)

5/88--Mark Johnston (Miss Infinity & Rusumaat)

0/1--Sylvester Kirk (Mr Hobbs)

2/11--Ann Duffield (Rainbow Mist)

No runners--George Baker (Tap Tap Boom)

0/4--Michael Appleby (Our Greta)

1/23--David O'Meara (Savannnah's Dream)

0/7--Brian Meehan (Stop The Wages)

1/20--David Brown (Wedding Dress)


0/4--Aidan O'Brien (Roly Poly)

1/8--Keith Dalgleish (Clem Fandango)

1/4--Roger Charlton (Fair Eva)

1/23--David O'Meara (Fashion Queen)

5/88--Mark Johnston (Kilmatt)

No runners--M D O'Callaghan (Magical Fire)

3/42--Richard Hannon (Nations Alexander)

15/181--Richard Fahey (Queen Kindly)



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