HAYDOCK - AUGUST 4
Last year’s corresponding toteplacepot dividend:
2015: £165.30 (6 favourites - 1 winners - 1 placed - 4 unplaced)
Tuesday's Placepot permutation at Haydock:
Leg 1 (1.50): 4 (Best Boy), 3 (Pike Corner Cross) & 1 (Onda District)
Leg 2 (2.20): 1 (Mubtasim) & 2 (Town Charter)
Leg 3 (2.50): 6 (Round The Island) & 7 (Hamish McGonagain)
Leg 4 (3.20): 2 (Bop It), 8 (Whozthecat) & 4 (Etienne Gerrard)
Leg 5 (3.50): 2 (Trevisani) & 7 (Chebsey Beau)
Leg 6 (4.20): 3 (Lincoln Rocks), 1 (Bush Beauty) & 2 (Bell Heather)
Suggested stake: 216 bets to 10p stakes
Overview for Haydock - please scroll down to the bottom of the page
1.50: Nine of the last eleven winners of the opening race of the three day meeting have carried 9-5 or more, whilst four and five-year-olds have each secured four victories during the last 13 years. The biggest priced winner was returned at 10/1 during the study period before the 2014 gold medallist emerged at 50/1 and hoping results return to type on this occasion, my short list consists of BEST BOY, PIKE CORNER CROSS and ONDA DISTRICT.
Favourite factor: Nine of the last 12 favourites have secured toteplacepot positions, statistics which include three successful market leaders from a win perspective.
Record of the course winner in the opening contest:
1/2--Raven Banner (soft)
2.20: The four newcomers look to be up against it here, with the three winners in the line up looking decidedly decent from what we have witnessed thus far. William Haggas has started the month in August in blinding form (4/6 at the time of writing) which points me in the direction of MUBTASIM over TOWN CHARTER and PRIVATE MATTER who are listed in marginal order of preference. William Haggas was waxing lyrical over MUBTASIM before his Arcano colt had set foot on the racecourse and there was plenty to like about his debut victory at Yarmouth.
Favourite factor: This is a new race on the Haydock card.
2.50: Nine of the last thirteen winners have carried weights of 9-0 or less, though the only two qualifiers this time around slip into the 'superior' sector of the handicap via claiming jockeys, namely ROUND THE ISLAND and HAMISH MCGONAGAIN. The alternative option is PONTY ROYALE from my viewpoint who sits just 48 ounces above the weight barrier.
Favourite factor: Nine of the fourteen favourites to date have finished out of the frame, though two market leaders have won during the study period.
3.20: BOP IT returns to defend his crown and though the seven-year-old has failed to record a subsequent victory after his sixth success, it's worth noting that Daniel Tudhope's mount has not been over-raced with just six attempts during the period. Declan Carroll saddled a 66/1 winner the other which seemed to surprise a lot of people but anyone who keeps stats would not have been outraged at the result, with the trainer boasting a ratio of 5/17 during the period. WHOZTHECAT boasts each way claims on behalf of the stable I'll wager, with ETIENNE GERRARD completing my trio against the remaining eleven contenders.
Favourite factor: Three of the seven favourites have finished in the frame, statistics which include two successful (7/2 & 9/4) market leaders from a win perspective.
Record of course winners in the fourth event on the card:
3/8--Bop It (2 x good + good to soft)
3/13--Cruise Tothelimit (2 x good + good to soft)
1/5--Ryan Style (good to firm)
3.50: Four-year-olds have won five of the last six renewals, though the pair of vintage representatives this time around are 3/1 to extend the ratio before the form book is taken into account. It might be stretching the imagination a little to expect INGLEBY HOLLOW to resume winning ways after running at Catterick on Tuesday when beaten 26 lengths. There are definite hopes for TREVISANI however, with David Lanigan's team having greeted two winners via their last five runners. MOSHE and CHEBSEY BEAU are feared most.
Favourite factor: Although six of the twelve favourites have finished in the frame during the last decade, winning favourites have only been conspicuous by their absence. That said, bookmakers have not had things all their own way as the last six winners have scored odds ranging between 11/4 and 6/1.
4.20: Ten of the eleven toteplacepot positions have been claimed by fillies carrying a minimum weight of 8-13, statistics which include all four winners at 7/1-9/2-4/1-11/4. Just three horses qualify in real terms given the claims of other jockeys and the trio are listed in order of preference as LINCOLN ROCKS, BUSH BEAUTY and BELL HEATHER.
Favourite factor: Three of the four favourites have finished out with the washing thus far (no winners).
All place details offered on my pages relate to an 'exact science', whereby horses that finish third in 5/6/7 runner races (and other such scenarios) are not 'placed' regarding my statistics.
Trainers with their relevant number of runners on the Haydock card on Thursday:
4--Richard Fahey (5/45 at Haydock this season w- winners as 7/2*-11/4*-5/2*-7/4*-6/4*)
4--David O'Meara (4/25 - winners at 16/1-8/1-7/2*-10/3*)
3--Tom Easterby (4/22 - winners at 12/1-17/2-7/1-4/1)
3--Alan Swinbank (0/6)
2--Karl Burke (3/32 - winners at 25/1-11/1-7/1)
2--Julie Camacho (0/1)
2--Tom Dascombe (10/50 - Prices ranging between 13/8* & 50/1)
2--Jeremy Gask (0/3)
2--Patrick Holmes (0/1)
2--Mark Johnston (5/33 - winners at 5/1-4/1-11/4-15/8*-5/4*)
2--Richard Price (0/3)
2--John Quinn (0/6)
2--Lynn Siddall (0/3)
+ 29 different trainers who each saddle just one runner on the card
61 declared runners
General overview - corresponding Placepot dividends from last year:
Brighton: £210.60 - 9 favourites - 1 winner - 2 placed - 3 unplaced
Newcastle (was turf - now an A/W fixture): £26.60 - 8 favourites - 3 winners - 3 placed - 2 unplaced - Kristin Stubbs secured a 21/1 double - 1 entry - only runner since Saturday
Sandown: £13.70 - 7 favourites - 3 winners - 1 placed - 3 unplaced
Wolverhampton: £13.00 - 8 favourites - 4 winners - 3 placed - 1 unplaced
The meeting at Yarmouth last year was abandoned
Haydock overview - 5 year juvenile record of represented trainers in the relevant event at 2.20:
6/17--William Haggas (Mubtasim)
7/78--Mark Johnston (Town Charter)
11/94--Richard Fahey (Private Matter)
0/3--Brian Ellison (Ashurst Beacon)
1/7--Alan Swinbank (Bahkit)
2/37--Tim Easterby (Hamba Kashe & Infatuated)