EXETER - DECEMBER 15
Last year’s corresponding toteplacepot dividend:
2015: £107.70 (6 favourites - 4 winners - 1 placed - 1 unplaced)
Thursday's Placepot permutation at Exeter:
Leg 1 (12.30): 10 (Lamanver Odyssey), 1 (Cajun Fiddle) & 17 (Which One Is Which)
Leg 2 (1.00): 6 (Space Oddity), 1 (Rocklander) & 3 (Lord Of The Island)
Leg 3 (1.30): 1 (Tagrita) & 5 (Sainte Ladylime)
Leg 4 (2.00): 2 (Le Prezien) & 1 (L’Ami Serge)
Leg 5 (2.35): 7 (Coco Des Champs), 2 (Benzel) & 1 (Ballinvarrig)
Leg 6 (3.10): 9 (Give Me A Copper) & 3 (Big Meadow)
Suggested stake: 216 bets to 10p stakes
Overview for Thursday - please scroll down to the bottom of the page
12.30: Five-year-olds have won four of the last seven renewals, whilst Harry Fry has secured two of the last three contests. LAMANVER ODYSSEY is one of just two raiders on the card for Harry, with CAJUN FIDDLE and WHICH ONE IS WHICH possibly being the pick of the eight vintage representatives. ARCTIC LADY is nominated as the alternative option.
Favourite factor: Six of the nine favourites have secured toteplacepot positions, statistics which include two (15/8 & 8/11) gold medallist.
1.00: Seven of the nine renewals have been won by horses carrying a minimum burden of 10-11, statistics which unfortunately eliminates just three runners on this occasion. Harry Fry’s representative SPACE ODDITY should be ready to run another big race now, whilst recent winners ROCKLANDER and LORD OF THE ISLAND cannot be ruled out of the equation as the handicapper battles to keep them under his thumb.
Favourite factor: Only two of the 10 favourites (3/1 & 4/11 winners of their respective events) have obliged to date.
Record of the course winner in the field:
1/2—Derwins Theory (heavy)
1.30: TAGRITA returns to defend his crown, with the Paul Nicholls raider seemingly having frightened off most the worthwhile opposition since the penultimate entry stage. That said, Kim Bailey is keen to take on the favourite with SAINTE LADYLIME who was going as well as TAGRITA when coming down in the second half of the race at Huntingdon last time out.
Favourite factor: Last year’s inaugural 4/9 favourite (Bitofapuzzle) duly obliged.
Record of the course winner in the field:
2.00: OSCAR SUNSET is not entirely ignored in this disappointing three runner event though primarily, this should concern LE PREZIEN and L’AMI SERGE. I’m inclined to believe that race fitness could be the difference between the pair and in receipt of four pounds as well, LE PREZIEN is fancied to continue the good run of the Nicholls yard.
Favourite factor: Four of the nine favourites have won, though the other five market leaders all finished out of the frame. The 2013 event was a particularly galling experience for favourite backers as the 4/9 favourite simply refused to race.
2.35: Six-year-olds have won four of the six contests to date, whilst five of the six gold medallists carried a minimum burden of 11-1. No six-year-olds were involved last year which makes the vintage trends more impressive, though only Kim Bailey (COCO DES CHAMPS) is (seemingly) aware of the edge this time around. BENZEL and BALLINVARRIG could outrun their odds to reward each way/Placepot enthusiasts.
Favourite factor: Five of the eight favourites which managed to yield toteplacepot position thus far did so by securing two gold, two silver medals and one of the bronze variety via six renewals.
Record of the course winners in the fifth race on the card:
1/5—Long John (heavy)
3.10: Neil King boasts impressive figures at Exeter in recent years as four of his eight runners have won, results which have secured 22 points of level stake profits. It’s worth noting that the trainer has booked Richard Johnson to ride BIG MEADOW, the champion jockey having won on three of the eight hurdlers he has ridden for the trainer during the study period. That said, GIVE ME A COPPER could be one of the better Irish imports this season from what we have witnessed to date.
Favourite factor: The three favourites have snared one gold and two silver medals in the toteplacepot finale.
All place details offered on my pages relate to an 'exact science', whereby horses that finish third in 5/6/7 runner races (and other such scenarios) are not 'placed' regarding my statistics.
Trainers with their relevant number of runners on the Exeter card on Thursday – followed by their five year ratio at the track + profits/losses accrued:
5 runners—Jonjo O’Neill (8/79 – loss of 27 points)
3—Kim Bailey (5/44 – loss of 25 points)
3—Nikki Evans (No runners)
3—Tom George (8/39 – Profit of 14 points)
3—Philip Hobbs (40/202 – loss of 48 points)
3—Graeme McPherson (3/18 – slight loss)
3—Neil Mulholland (3/53 – loss of 40 points)
3—Paul Nicholls (36/124 (loss of 15 points)
3—Jeremy Scott (7/115 – loss of 66 points)
3—Laura Young (1/45 – loss of 38 points)
2—Jimmy Frost (2/79 – loss of 59 points)
2—Harry Fry (18/49 – Profit of 36 points)
2—Sue Gardner (12/109 (loss of 6 points)
2—Nicky Henderson (5/20 – loss of 2 points)
2—Anthony Honeyball (7/42 (Profit of 19 points)
2—Alan King (14/74 – loss of 14 points)
2—Neil King (4/8 – Profit of 22 points)
2—Nick Mitchell (0/21)
2—Jamie Snowden (4/26 – loss of 6 points)
2—Colin Tizzard (21/138 – loss of 37 points)
2—Jess Westwood (0/2)
2—Evan Williams (7/40—slight loss)
2—Venetia Williams (16/78 – Profit of 26 points)
2—Richard Woollacott (4/67 – loss of 42 points)
+ 19 different trainers who each saddle just one runner on the card
79 declared runners
General overview - Corresponding Placepot dividends from last year:
Towcester: £167.90 – 7 favourites – 3 winners – 2 placed – 2 unplaced
Chelmsford: £6.50 – 2 winners & 4 placed
Newcastle (A/W) – This is a new meeting