Placepot Pointers – Thursday December 22

BANGOR – DECEMBER 22

 

There was no racing on this day last year

 

Thursday's Placepot permutation at Bangor: 

Leg 1 (12.35): 1 (Supreme Asset), 4 (Last Shot) & 2 (Double Treasure)

Leg 2 (1.05): 3 (Millicent Silver), 2 (Beauboreen) & 7 (Barton Gift)

Leg 3 (1.35): 3 (Chalonnial) & 1 (Go For Broke)

Leg 4 (2.10): 2 (Marvellous Monty) & 4 (Miss Mash)

Leg 5 (2.40): 8 (Follow The Bear) & 1 (Scotchtown)

Leg 6 (3.10): 3 (Drive On Locky), 1 (Sutter’s Mill) & 8 (Diego Suarez)

Suggested stake: 216 bets to 10p stakes

 

12.35: The only course winner in the field (Detour Ahead) looks to have the least chance in the field, especially with DOUBLE TREASURE, LAST SHOT and SUPREME ASSET having been declared in this potential ’dead eight’ event.  The latter named Donald McCain raider deserves to record his fourth victory after some consistent efforts this term.  Donald averages over 10 winners a season at this venue and the trainer is only one short of that total already this term.

Record of the course winner in the opening race:

1/6—Detour Ahead (Soft)

1.05: With seven of the ten runners having won here at Bangor, this looks a 3/1 the field job if ever I have seen one, with MILLICENT SILVER, BEAUBOREEN and each way option BARTON GIFT offered against the field at the overnight stage.  Andrew Thornton (BARTON GIFT) is just three away from riding 1000 winners and it would be most appropriate if the popular pilot was to reach the milestone over the Christmas period.  For the record, Andrew enjoyed his best season with 86 winners thirteen years ago.

Record of the course winner in the opening race:

2/7—Beauboreen (soft & heavy)

1/1—Millicent Silver (heavy)

2/3—Valleyofmilan (good & good to firm)

1/2—Rocky Bender (heavy)

1/3—Barton Gift (soft)

1/1—Kilcullen Flem (soft)

1/4—Wellforth (good to soft)

1.35: Only 5/17 runners seemingly have a chance from a win perspective, with CHALONNIAL looking a bit too big at the 4/1 quote I have just witnessed.  Harry Fry’s runners can rarely (if ever) be ignored and his debut Wincanton winner looks booked to go very close, especially if the anticipated showers arrive.  GOING FOR BROKE is the obvious danger following back to back victories at Utooxeter and Worcester, albeit those successes were recorded back in May whereby opposite (good) ground would be preferable for the penalised Rebecca Curtis raider.

2.10: Bet365 were the layers offering 4/1 at the time of writing regarding Chalonnial in the previous race and once again, their stand out 11/8 quote about MARVELLOUS MONTY looks a tad on the generous side.  Connections might have most to fear from MISS MASH who should take full advantage of the weight received from Lyme Park to offer most resistance at the business end of proceedings.

2.40: Nicky Henderson won with three of his four runners on Wednesday to record a 26/1 treble and FOLLOW THE BEAR is one of the two horses that should dominate in the penultimate leg of our favourite wager.  The alternative option is SCOTCHTOWN who will be saddled by Nigel Twiston-Davies who landed a 30/1 treble himself on Wednesday, albeit via seven runners on the day.  FOLLOW THE BEAR is marginally preferred in receipt of eight pounds.

3.10: DRIVE ON LOCKY and SUTTER’S MILL should land the Placepot dividend between them if we are live going into the last leg, though I would not be tempted to have a wager from a win perspective. The each way overnight alternative option is offered to DIEGO SUAREZ.  It only leaves me to wish you a wonderful (and prosperous) Christmas but hey, I'll be back in no time at all to offer my Kempton analysis for Boxing Day - take care.

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Record of the course winner in the Placepot finale:

1/1—Mezendore (soft)

 

All place details offered on my pages relate to an 'exact science', whereby horses that finish third in 5/6/7 runner races (and other such scenarios) are not 'placed' regarding my statistics.

 

Trainers with their relevant number of runners on the Newbury card on Wednesday – followed by their ratios at the track this season + profits/losses accrued:

6 runners—Donald McCain (9/41 – Profit of 31 points)

4—Dan Skelton (Dan Skelton (3/10 – slight loss)

3—Rebecca Curtis (0/7)

3—Night Hawke – (No runners)

3—Nicky Henderson (2/7 – loss of 4 points)

3—Michael Mullineux (0/3)

3—Nigel Twiston-Davies (4/7—Profit of 7 points)

3—Venetia Williams (0/8)

2—Peter Bowen (3/9 – Profit of 18 points)

2—Henry Daly (1/5 – loss of 1 point)

2—Clare Ellam (1/3 – Profit of 5 points)

2—Johnny Farrelly (0/2)

2—Harry Fry (2/8 – Profit of 7 points)

2—Oliver Greenall (0/6)

2—Kerry Lee (0/3)

2—Bernard Llewellyn (0/2)

2—John Needham (No runners)

2—Jamie Snowden (0/4)

+ 30 different trainers who each saddle just one runner on the card

84 declared runners

 

 

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