LEICESTER – FEBRUARY 16
Last year’s corresponding toteplacepot dividend:
2016: £356.70 (6 favourites: 2 winners--1 placed--3 unplaced)
Thursday's Placepot permutation at Leicester:
Leg 1 (2.05): 3 (Barton Rose), 2 (Edgar) & 4 (Triple Chief)
Leg 2 (2.35): 4 (Storming Strumpet), 5 (Crown Hill) & 6 (Texas Forever)
Leg 3 (3.10): 7 (Morning Reggie) & 6 (Crosspark)
Leg 4 (3.45): 4 (Un Prophete) & 2 (Winner Massagot)
Leg 5 (4.20): 3 (Song Saa), 2 (Timon’s Tara) & 5 (Money Maid)
Leg 6 (4.50): 3 (Samarnni) & 2 (Olofi)
Suggested stake: 216 bets to 10p stakes
Overview for Thursday - please scroll down to the bottom of the page
2.05: Only Charlie Longsdon is turning out ‘regular’ winners of the seven represented trainers of late, whereby BARTON ROSE is the first name on the team sheet. Charlie’s beaten favourite is worth another chance in this company/grade, with connections probably having most to fear from the recent Towcester winner EDGAR and TRIPLE CHIEF,
Favourite factor: This is a new race with which to start proceedings.
Record of the course winner in the opening event on the card – the only horse at the track on Thursday to have won at Leicester:
2/5—Some Finish (2 x heavy)
2.35: Tom George saddles the first of his four runners at Leicester on Thursday, boasting a 57% strike rate at the track this season. STORMING STRUMPET is obviously not one of the leading lights in the yard but with 33 stable winners having emerged since the end of October, the Kayf Tara mare is the first hose to consider according to the gospel of yours truly. That said, the handicapper has been very lenient with CROWN HILL of late, Johnny Farrellly’s raider having run off just about the same mark on each of his last four assignments (winning one of them) despite finishing in front of 29 horses in the process, with just eight beating him home. TEXAS FOREVER is the other potential winner in the field.
Favourite factor: Two of the four favourites have claimed Placepot positions via three renewals, though we still await the first successful market leader from a win perspective.
3.10: The three winners to date have carried a maximum burden of 11-6 whereby the bottom two horses in the weights make the most appeal, namely MORNING REGGIE and CROSSPARK, the pair being listed in marginal order of preference. Sitting just two pounds above the ‘superior’ weight barrier is ALWAYS ON THE RUN from the Tom George yard.
Favourite factor: Two of the three market leaders have claimed Placepot positions, statistics which include one (7/4) winner.
3.45: Five time winner UN PROPHETE seeks a hat trick here in this ‘win only’ contest and with Charlie Deutsch continuing to offer great value for his three pound claim, the Venetia Williams raider should complete the treble. WINNER MASSAGOT is feared most. Champagne At Tara is proving to be very disappointing of late.
Favourite factor: The three runners in the inaugural contest last year finished in reverse order in terms of their starting prices at 5/2, 2/1 & 5/4.
4.20: SONG SAA was a nice (well backed 4/1) winner for us at Huntingdon recently, proving what a strong hand Tom George has on this card on Thursday. Daniel Sansom has yet to ride a winner over fences following 15 attempts (three hurdle successes to his name to be fair) but until that victory comes along, I will swerve his mount Kentford Myth here, preferring to nominate TIMON’S TARA and MONEY MAID as the main dangers on this occasion.
Favourite factor: This is another new race on the Leicester programme.
4.50: Having ridden the thick end of 50 winners under rules, Gina Andrews is always worth a length or three in these amateur events, as is the case again here aboard SAMARNNI. Beaten favourite OLOFI is the obvious danger at the overnight stage in my book.
Favourite factor: Last year’s inaugural 8/11 market leader duly obliged.
All place details offered on my pages relate to an 'exact science', whereby horses that finish third in 5/6/7 runner races (and other such scenarios) are not 'placed' regarding my statistics.
Trainers with their relevant number of runners on the Leicester card on Thursday – followed by their five year ratio at the track + profits/losses accrued:
4 runners—Tom George (4/7 – Profit of 9 points)
3—David Bridgwater (0/4)
2—Caroline Bailey (1/5 – Profit of 1 point)
2—Robin Dickin (1/6 – slight loss)
2—Jonjo O’Neill (3/12 – loss of 3 points)
+ 25 different trainers who each saddle just one runner on the card
38 declared runners
General overview - Corresponding Placepot dividends from last year:
Kelso: £34.10 – 7 favourites – 4 winners – 2 placed – 1 unplaced
Chelmsford: £12.00 – 2 winners – 3 placed – 1 unplaced
Lingfield: £18.40 – 4 winners – 1 placed – 2 unplaced