LUDLOW – JANUARY 19
Last year’s corresponding toteplacepot dividend:
Thursday's Placepot permutation at Ludlow:
Leg 1 (1.20): 4 (Boagrius) & 1 (Amour De Nuit)
Leg 2 (1.50): 3 (Land Of Vic) & 5 (Pemba)
Leg 3 (2.25): 3 (Un Anjou), 2 (Upsanddowns) & 4 (Vital Evidence)
Leg 4 (3.00): 1 (Grape Tree Flame), 4 (Millicent Silver) & 3 (Theatre Goer)
Leg 5 (3.35): 1 (Port Melon), 6 (Still Believing) & 7 (I Am Colin)
Leg 6 (4.10): 1 (River Wylde) & 13 (The Blue Bomber)
Suggested stake: 216 bets to 10p stakes
Overview for Thursday - please scroll down to the bottom of the page
1.20: This is not the luckiest track in the country for Warren Greatrex but with the team in form, Warren’s impressive (December) Catterick winner BOAGRIUS who hosed up by a dozen lengths is expected to follow up, chiefly as the expense of AMOUR DE NUIT. The alternative each way option is Shanroe In Milan.
Favourite factor: The six races on the card are all new events.
1.50: Peter Bowen was intimating that he expected a winner or two at this meeting when interviewed on Wednesday after saddling a gold medallist, with LAND OF VIC being his raider in the second contest on the card. A winner of all three races at the venue, ‘Vic’ should take the beating, albeit PEMBA looks sure to make a race of it as the business end of proceedings.
Record of the course winners in the second race:
3/3—Land Of Vic (2 x heavy + good)
1/4—Timon’s Tiara (soft)
2.25: Only one of the last 37 runners has won for David Dennis, though the Worcestershire based trainer is far too good for the run to last much longer, whereby UN ANJOU is given a somewhat speculative vote in a race which should not take a great deal of winning. Only Evan Williams (UPSANDDOWNS) can be classed as being in half decent form via the represented handlers, whereby his nine-year-old is rated as the main threat to the selection, just ahead of VITAL EVIDENCE.
Record of the course winners in the third race on the card:
1/3—Truckers Highway (soft)
3.00: GRAPE TREE FLAME has to be of interest in this grade/company, especially being touted as the ‘rag’ in the field according to the betting forecast in the trade press. I doubt that position in the eventual market personally though either way, MILLICENT SILVER and THEATRE GOER could emerge as the main dangers.
Record of the course winner in the fourth race:
1/4—Midnight Target (good)
3.35: As a winner of just two of his twelve races (under rules) to date, PORT MELON is the not the brightest light in the Paul Nicholls yard though that said, his best form would be enough to dismiss these opponents with something to spare I’ll wager. STILL BELIEVING and I AM COLIN are feared most.
Record of the course winners in the fifth event:
2/5—Gallery Exhibition (2 x good to soft)
1/3—Royal Palladium (good to soft)
3/11—Still Believing (2 x heavy + good)
4.10: RIVER WYLDE should not be hard pressed to a third win in four starts en route to better things to come in the spring. THE BLUE BOMBER would become a live threat should the ground cut up badly during the course of the day, whatever the reason. Frost melting, passing showers or any other reason would give Mick Channon’s representative a chance of turning over the selection.
Record of the course winner in the Placepot finale:
1/1—River Wylde (good to soft)
All place details offered on my pages relate to an 'exact science', whereby horses that finish third in 5/6/7 runner races (and other such scenarios) are not 'placed' regarding my statistics.
Trainers with their relevant number of runners on the Ludlow card on Thursday – followed by their five year ratio at the track + profits/losses accrued:
4 runners—John Groucott (3/22 – Profit of 11 points)
3—Peter Brown (5/46 – loss of 11 points)
3—Donald McCain (2/58 – loss of 41 points)
3—Jonjo O’Neill (9/77 – loss of 38 points)
3—Evan Williams (41/253 – loss of 47 points)
2—Kim Bailey (10/77 – loss of 8 points)
2—David Dennis (4/37 – loss of 9 points)
2—Nicky Henderson (24/88 – loss of 32 points)
2—Paul Nicholls (6/31 – loss of 13 points)
2—Fergal O’Brien (7/54 – slight loss)
2—Nigel Twiston-Davies (19/142 – loss of 60 points)
2—Venetia Williams (17/137 (loss of 58 points)
+ 23 different trainers who each saddle just one runner on the card
53 declared runners
General overview - Corresponding Placepot dividends from last year:
Wincanton: £95.40 – 6 favourites – No winners – 5 placed – 1 unplaced
Chelmsford: £185.30 – 9 favourites – 2 winners – 3 placed – 1 unplaced
Southwell: £664.30 – 6 favourites – 2 winners – 3 placed – 1 unplaced