CHELMSFORD – JANUARY 5
No corresponding meeting last year
Thursday's Placepot permutation at Chelmsford:
Leg 1 (5.45): 6 (Jimenez), 4 (One Pekan) & 2 (Loyalty)
Leg 2 (6.15): 3 (Modernism), 8 (Free Bounty) & 5 (Aldreth)
Leg 3 (6.45): 5 (Upavon), 2 (Bosham) & 6 (Top Boy)
Leg 4 (7.15): 2 (Secret Bird) & 4 (Yisty)
Leg 5 (7.45): 1 (Draw Swords) & 2 (Keswick)
Leg 6 (8.15): 6 (Shypen), 5 (Take The Helm) & 7 (Ballylare)
Suggested stake: 324 bets to 10p stakes
Overview for Thursday - please scroll down to the bottom of the page
5.45: Only a 10/1 in a Class 2 York Handicap on his penultimate start, JIMENEZ contests a Class 4 event here on his first A/W assignment, whereby it could be worth chancing Brian Meehan’s raider at the first time of asking. ONE PEKAN is getting a little long in the tooth now but boasts obvious claims if on his game, whilst the chance of triple course and distance winner LOYALTY cannot be ignored.
Record of course winners in the opening event on the card:
6.15: Ian Williams has been saddling winners for fun under both codes of late and MODERNISM is fancied to figure prominently on behalf of the yard in this grade/company. FREE BOUNTY receives plenty of weight from all seven rivals, an edge which is compounded by Holly Doyle’s five pound claim. ALDRETH completes my trio against the other contenders in this ‘dead eight’ contest.
Record of course winners in the second race:
6.45: UPAVON needs to start getting away on level terms as his last assignment advertised perfectly. Despite only finishing eighth of eleven, UPAVON was beaten just four lengths, a deficit which would be drastically reduced if not giving at least half of that distance away at the start. UPAVON is trained by Stuart Williams who saddled five winners at the course last January, including those returned at 14/1 & 12/1. Others of interest include ten time winner BOSHAM (great course stats below) and dual course and distance winner TOP BOY who is taken to outrun his odds.
Record of course winners in the third contest:
1/1—Lancelot Du Lac
7.15: SECRET BIRD will benefit from Lulu Stanford’s five pound claim, taking the five-year-old to a mark which is four spots below the top rating he has won at before. Dean Ivory’s Arcano representative might have most to fear from two horses which have been absent from the racecourse for some time, namely YISTA and NAME THAT TOON. The other horse that could outrun the relevant odds is Justice Rock.
Record of course winners in the fourth race:
1/4—Name That Toon
7.45: Upgrade is consistent enough whilst Marco Botti’s Galileo newcomer Star General is one to keep an eye on for the future. That said, the penultimate leg of our favourite wager can be left to the John Gosden pair, namely DRAW SWORDS and KESWICK. John’s first runner this year was contesting a race at Newcastle on Wednesday after this analysis was written, though his 6/17 ratio in December suggests that John is taking this ‘close season’ seriously in terms of saddling winners.
8.15: The last race presents the sternest test of potential investors, even though just nine runners are set to face the starter. Godolphin complicate matters by declaring Strong Challenge, though more obvious types to invest in from a Placepot perspective might prove to be SHYPEN, TAKE THE HELM and BALLYLARE, who has only finished ‘out of the two’ once via his last seven sorties.
Record of course winners in the Placepot finale:
1/2—Out Of The Ashes
All place details offered on my pages relate to an 'exact science', whereby horses that finish third in 5/6/7 runner races (and other such scenarios) are not 'placed' regarding my statistics.
Trainers with their relevant number of runners on the Chelmsford card on Thursday – followed by their seasonal at the track + profits/losses accrued (‘new season’ started on October 27):
4 winners—Derek Shaw (0/13)
3—Dean Ivory (2/14 – loss of 2 points)
2—Mick Appleby (0/20)
2—Mick Easterby (4/16 – Profit of 1 point)
2—John Gosden (2/8 – Slight Profit)
2—Mark Johnston (1/19 – loss of 16 points)
2—Brian Meehan (No runners)
2—Ian Williams (0/7)
+ 27 different trainers who each saddle just one runner on the card
46 declared runners
General overview - Corresponding Placepot dividends from last year:
Wolverhampton: £579.10 – 7 favourites – 1 winner & 6 unplaced
The meetings at Lingfield and Southwell (like Chelmsford) are new fixtures on the calendar