SANDOWN - JULY 21
Last year’s corresponding toteplacepot dividend:
2015: £8.50 (6 favourites - 5 winners & 1 placed)
Thursday's Placepot permutation at Sandown:
Leg 1 (2.00): 6 (Her Terms), 4 (Halinka) & 5 (Heart Of Gold)
Leg 2 (2.30): 2 (Parliamentarian) & 3 (St Michel)
Leg 3 (3.05): 1 (Calare), 2 (Grizzel) & 7 (Paulownia)
Leg 4 (3.40): 6 (Natural Scenery) & 8 (Paling)
Leg 5 (4.10): 2 (Cliffhanger) & 10 (Cooperess)
Leg 6 (4.45): 6 (False ID), 2 (Sarangoo) & 1 (The Big Lad)
Suggested stake: 216 bets to 10p stakes
Overview for Thursday - please scroll down to the bottom of the page
2.00: Roger Varian (HALINKA) landed the first running of this contest twelve months ago, though this looks to be a hot little contest, particularly with the William Haggas raider HER TERMS having also been declared. With Richard Hannon and Andrew Balding also having entered the fray, the race will take some winning from my viewpoint. There will be worse outsiders on the Sandown card than HEART OF GOLD I'll wager, knowing that William Muir rates his newcomer highly. Sandown has rewarded the trainer with many big priced winners down the years.
Favourite factor: Last year's inaugural 7/4 favourite duly obliged.
2.30: Five favourites have won during the last 14 years, and if the Sandown punters start showering their money on PARLIAMENTARIAN, I expect the ratio to improve following this year's renewal. There was a lot to like about his win at Hamilton on only his second start, albeit supporters of the odds on favourite endured a few anxious moments before the Dubawi raider picked his way out of a pocket close home. This longer distance can only aid and abet his cause from my viewpoint, expecting ST MICHEL to offer most resistance at the business end of proceedings.
Favourite factor: Six clear market leaders and two joint favourites have won during the last 19 years. 17 of the 25 market leaders have secured toteplacepot positions during the study period.
3.05: Charlie Appleby (Parliamentarian in the previous race) could be set for a good afternoon, with CALARE attempting to improve upon his impressive juvenile ratio of 5/16 at the track. Charlie's Dubawi filly has to overcome different ground compared to the good to soft going on Town Moor at the first time of asking. Add the fact that Richard Hannon's pair GRIZZEL and PAULOWNIA have been declared and you can see that this will be anything but an easy task. This 'Star Stakes' has always taken some winning however and I get the impression that this year's winner will be setting a decent marker for the rest of the two-year-old season.
Favourite factor: Seven clear market leaders and one joint favourite have prevailed in the last 19 years, whilst 16 of the 23 favourites have claimed toteplacepot positions during the study period.
Record of the course winner in the third race:
3.40: Three-year-olds come to the gig on a eight timer and yet just three trainers are live to the potential advantage relating to this contest. The handlers in question are Saeed Bin Suroor (NATURAL SCENERY), Roger Charlton (PALING) and Mark Johnston (JUSTE POR NOUS). Just as an aside, it's worth noting That Jonjo O'Neill secured a 1,125/1 four timer on this day last year at Worcester where he has four runners this time around. Jonjo's only other runner on the day is STANLEY who contests this event. Surely Jonjo could not steal the thunder form his peers on the level - could he?
Favourite factor: Just four clear market leaders and one joint favourite have scored during the last 19 years, whilst 12 of the 21 market leaders have secured toteplacepot positions. 17 of the last 18 winners were returned at 8/1 or less.
Record of the course winners in the fourth contest on the card:
1/6--Croquembouche (good to firm)
1/1--Daisy Boy (good to firm)
4.10: Paul Cole's runners have been running well for some time now, particularly from an each way perspective. Four winners have also been recorded during the last fortnight whereby CLIFFHANGER makes some appeal here, especially as after her debut effort, she has been competitive in every race she has contested. Course winner COOPERESS did not win like a 33/1 chance here last time out, winning with plenty to spare at the line, whilst believing that this additional furlong will present few, if any, problems. FURIANT completes my trio against the other seven contenders.
Favourite factor: This is a new race on the Sandown card.
Record of the course winner in the fifth contest:
4.45: Five of the six winners have carried a maximum weight of 9-2 and Brighton winner FALSE ID might prove to be the pick of the four relevant declarations this time around. Sandown is a completely different track of course but I'm hoping that winning can become a habit for Robert Eddery's Aqlaam colt. Further up the handicap, the likes of SARANGOO and ABLE JACK should figure prominently, possible alongside THE BIG LAD who represents the in form yard of Richard Hughes.
Favourite factor: All four favourites had finished out with the washing before the 11/4 market leader scored in 2013, as the previous nine available win and place positions had been secured by horses starting at 33/1 (winner)--28/1 (winner)--25/1 (winner)--16/1--12/1--12/1--8/1--8/1--5/1. That said, the last three market leaders have now prevailed.
All place details offered on my pages relate to an 'exact science', whereby horses that finish third in 5/6/7 runner races (and other such scenarios) are not 'placed' regarding my statistics.
Trainers with their relevant number of runners on the Sandown card on Thursday:
4--Richard Hannon (5/24 at Sandown this season - before Wednesday's results - winners at 20/1-8/1-6/1-5/1-7/2)
3--Andrew Balding (1/19 - winner at 11/4*)
2--Charlie Appleby (1/6 - winner at 6/1)
2--Michael Bell (0/2)
2--Robert Eddery (0/1)
2--Jeremy Gask (---)
2--William Haggas (0/7)
2--Mark Johnston (2/17 - winners at 5/2 & 10/11*)
2--Brian Meehan (0/8)
+ 27 different trainers who each saddle just one runner on the card
48 declared runners
General overview - corresponding Placepot dividends from last year:
Doncaster: £16.30 - 6 favourites - 3 winners - 2 placed - 1 unplaced
Newbury: £271.50 - 7 favourites - 2 winners - 1 placed - 4 unplaced
Worcester: £114.50 - 6 favourites - 3 winners - 1 placed - 2 unplaced (Jonjo O'Neill secured a 1,125/1 4 timer on last year's card - 4 runners declared for Thursday)
Yarmouth - meeting abandoned
Sandown overview - Five year juvenile record of represented trainers in the relevant events at 2.00 & 3.05 (stats as they stood before Wednesday's sport was contested at the Esher venue):
12/61--Richard Hannon (Blue Suede)
2/15--Clive Cox (Darkroom Angel)
2/12--Roger Varian (Halinka)
0/3--William Muir (Heart Of Gold)
2/11--William Haggas (Her Terms)
No runners--Mick Quinn (Newz Watch)
3/39--Andrew Balding (Night Law)
2/8--Hugo Palmer (Zumran)
5/16--Charlie Appleby (Calare)
12/61--Richard Hannon (Grizzel & Paulownia)
4/52--Rod Millman (Hellofahaste)
No runners--Charlie Fellowes (High On Love)
0/2--David Evans (Mia Cara)
2/11--William Haggas (On Her Toes)
0/9--James Tate (Urban Fox)