NEWBURY - JUNE 30
Last year’s corresponding toteplacepot dividend:
2015: £2,373.90 (7 favourites: 1 winner - 1 placed - 5 unplaced)
Thursday's Placepot permutation at Newbury:
Leg 1 (5.55): 2 (Pharoh Jake) & 1 (Angel Way)
Leg 2 (6.25): 5 (Coral Sea), 10 (Oh So Terrible) & 4 (Company)
Leg 3 (7.00): 10 (Mutawatheb), 9 (Mutawakked) & 6 (Good Craic)
Leg 4 (7.30): 1 (Corinthian) & 6 (Nadachi)
Leg 5 (8.05): 6 (Very Honest), 5 (Elusive Ellen) & 7 (Little Voice)
Leg 6 (8.35): 4 (Fort Jefferson) & 8 (Betsalottie)
Suggested stake: 216 bets to 10p stakes
Overview for Thursday - please scroll down to the bottom of the page
5.55: John Bridger has been enjoying a wonderful run of success of late and I'm taking the trainer to continue the trend with PHAROH JAKE who has gained four of his five successes on turf when plenty of moisture has been in the ground. ANGEL WAY is expected to offer most resistance at the business end of proceedings with LADY MCGUFFY completing my trio against the other five contenders in this dead eight opening contest.
Favourite factor: Last year's pair of inaugural 11/4 joint favourites occupied the last two places behind horses which filled the 'short field' frame at 9/1 & 8/1. New readers might wish to know that the term 'short field' relates to 5/6/7 runner races in which only the first two horses home 'qualify' from each way/Placepot perspectives.
Record of the course winner in the opening race (the only course winner on the Placepot card):
1/2--Pharoh Jake (soft)
6.25: I have not singled out a newcomer at a big price since a 14/1 chance in the trade press scored for us, albeit Andrew Balding's winner was a 7/4 chance at the off! I have another outsider to consider here in CORAL SEA who looks sure to need cut in the ground to bring out the best in her, notwithstanding that an extra furlong or two will be required soon rather than later. There is also the fact that Charlie Hills has declared three runners in the contest, although that that could be a smokescreen to cover up this Excelebration raider who was well touted during a spring visit to the Lambourn yard. Win. lose or draw, 25/1 looks to big from my viewpoint and I will definitely make an each way play on the March foal. The entry of OH SO TERRIBLE will inflate the price of many rivals here and there is no doubting that Wesley Ward's representative should figure prominently at the very least, possibly along COMPANY.
Favourite factor: Due to the 'new' BHA initiative relating to 'Novice events', this is a new two-year-old race on the Newbury programme.
7.00: Although a seventh furlong would have been ideal in my eyes for MUTAWATHEB, there is no doubting that this stiffer six furlong trip will be more suitable than was the case at Goodwood for Richard Hannon's representative on debut. This looks a warm heat however with MUTAWAKKED and John Gosden's newcomer GOOD CRAIC also having been declared and whatever else you do on Thursday, you should have your recording device primed for this contest.
Favourite factor: This is another new juvenile event at Newbury on Thursday.
7.30: All eight winners have carried weights of 8-12 or more and with just one horse loitering under the 'superior' weight barrier, the trend should certainly be extended. The pick of the six 'qualifiers' on this occasion should prove to be CORINTHIAN and NADACHI, with the first named Roger Varian scoring in impressive style at Haydock at the first time of asking having looked to be in trouble some way from home. It will be interesting to see how Roger's Sea The Stars raider copes with these softer conditions.
Favourite factor: Just one favourite has obliged via eight renewals during the last eleven, though the last seven gold medallists have scored at a top price of 7/1.
8.05: LITTLE VOICE has to overcome eleven months off the track which tends to point me in the direction of VERY HONEST and (possibly) ELUSIVE ELLEN for which Ryan Moore is an interest booking. Ryan has ridden one winner from three opportunities when riding for Brendan Powell during the last five years and there is every chance that the duo can team up successfully again, especially with LITTLE VOICE probably the run.
Favourite factor: This is another new race on the Newbury card.
8.35: A facile (eleven length) winner on heavy ground at Leicester last time out, FORT JEFFERSON must have a great chance of 'following up' with the south west of the country drenched from endless 'showers' at this moment in time, producing sodden turf at so many venues. BETSALOTTIE appears to be a half decent each way alternative option if you don't like taking short prices about horses, especially with the possibility of heavy ground being in place. TOTALLY COMMITTED is the other horse to consider from my viewpoint.
Favourite factor: The toteplacepot finale is yet another new event for potential investors to unravel.
All place details offered on my pages relate to an 'exact science', whereby horses that finish third in 5/6/7 runner races (and other such scenarios) are not 'placed' regarding my statistics.
Trainers with their relevant number of runners on the Newbury card on Thursday:
6--Charlie Hills (0/11 at Newbury this season)
5--Richard Hannon (3/21 - winners at 20/1-7/1-3/1)
3--Mick Channon (0/11)
3--Clive Cox (0/5)
3--David Evans (0/8)
3--Sylvester Kirk (0/11)
2--Andrew Balding (1/13 - winner at 9/2)
2--John Bridger (1/4 - winner at 5/1)
2--Henry Candy (1/3 - winner at 25/1)
2--Luke Dace (---)
2--Eve Johnson Houghton (1/3 - winner at 25/1)
2--Richard Hughes (0/1)
2--Alan King (1/5 - winner at 5/1)
2--Brian Meehan (2/10 - winners at 20/1 & 8/1)
2--Jonathan Portman (0/6)
2--Marcus Tregoning (0/2)
+ 27 different trainers who each saddle just one runner on the card
70 declared runners
General overview - Corresponding Placepot dividends from last year:
Epsom: £199.40 - 7 favourites - 1 winner - 1 placed - 5 unplaced
Haydock: £11.80 - 6 favourites - 4 winners - 1 placed - 1 unplaced
(13/1 double for Richard Fahey) - 17/2 double for Mark Johnston - both at Haydock)
Perth: £20.90 - 7 favourites - 5 winners - 1 placed - 1 unplaced
(72/1 four timer at Perth - Gordon Elliott)
Yarmouth: No meeting last year
Five year record of represented trainers in the two juvenile events on Thursday evening:
5/75--Charlie Hills (Angel Of Darkness - Coral Sea - Sukiwarrior)
3/29--Jonathon Portman (Ashazuri)
1/19--Marcus Tregoning (Cheeky Fox & Diva Power)
14/123--Richard Hannon (Company)
2/28--Eve Johnson Houghton (Dusty Berry)
7/91--Mick Channon (Iconic Belle)
0/0--Richard Hughes (In The Spotlight)
0/0--Wesley A Ward (Oh So Terrible)
1/30--Hughie Morrison (Poet's Princess)
0/0--Simon Crisford (Sky Ballerina)
5/20--Henry Candy (Angel Down)
14/123--Richard Hannon (Control Centre - Monoshka - Mutawatheb)
0/0--Richard Hughes (Curve Ball)
7/91--Mick Channon (Devilish Guest)
5/75--Charlie Hills (Glorious Artist)
7/36--John Gosden (Good Craic)
0/25--David Evans (Makemerichjohn)
5/71--Brian Meehan (Mutawakked)
2/37--Sylvester Kirk (Salouen)
1/5--Alan King (Singula)
3/40--Clive Cox (Tis Marvellous)
0/8--William Muir (Wearethepeople)