NEWBURY – JUNE 9
Last year’s corresponding toteplacepot dividend:
2015: £861.30 (6 favourites: No winners - 1 placed - 5 placed)
Thursday's Placepot permutation at Newbury:
Leg 1 (2.00): 2 (Asass), 14 (South Seas) & 13 (Sfumato)
Leg 2 (2.30): 12 (Side Hill) & 8 (Entsar)
Leg 3 (3.05): 7 (Snow Moon) & 1 (Abingdon)
Leg 4 (3.40): 11 (Ataman), 10 (Harlequin Striker) & 13 (Bunbury)
Leg 5 (4.10): 4 (Izmar) & 7 (Generalship)
Leg 6 (4.45): 7 (Gimlet), 13 (Sixties Idol) & 6 (Zubeida)
Suggested stake: 216 bets to 10p stakes
Overview for Thursday - please scroll down to the bottom of the page
2.00: The three Richard Hannon horses could obviously go well as they tend to do here at Newbury, but I have also heard and read very good reports about ASASS (Roger Varian), SOUTH SEAS (Andrew Balding) and SFUMATO (Roger Charlton), whilst Michael Bell also singled out RONALD R for particular praise earlier this year via a stable tour. Set your video to record this event as I believe many winners will emerge throughout the coming weeks and months.
Favourite factor: This is a new race with which to open proceedings at Newbury on Thursday.
2.30: This is another informative race (three-year-olds instead of juveniles this time around) on the Newbury card, whereby that video should be set for longer than I thought initially. It's impossible to pin myself down to two of three options at the time of writing, though suffice to say that the likes of SIDE HILL, VOLITION, ENTSAR and CORELLA are on the extended 'short' list.
Favourite factor: This is the second (and last) of the new events on the programme.
3.05: 15 of the 18 gold medallists (in as many years) were returned at odds of 11/2 or less, whilst there are only four 'spots’ between the highest four rated horses in this Listed event according to the official assessor. John Gosden has won with two of the last three horses he has saddled in this event, with John opting for his fast ground Nottingham winner SNOW MOON. Others to consider on a fascinating card include 'recent' winners ABINGDON and ROCAVERDE.
Favourite factor: Eight favourites have won during the last eighteen contests, whilst 13 market leaders have claimed toteplacepot positions during the study period.
3.40: ATAMAN is the first name on the team sheet, given Chris Wall's current run of form, something I predicted on Monday. James Doyle's mount gets in off a decent mark here because although the four-year-old remains a maiden after five starts, the Sholokhov representative was consistent last year whilst his comeback run was perfectly acceptable with the stable 'finding its feet' at the time. An alternative option is HARLEQUIN STRIKER with Dean Ivory also saddling winners for fun at present, with BUNBURY and DUTCH LAW added into the overnight equation.
Favourite factor: Last year's inaugural 2/1 favourites failed to secure a Placepot position.
Newbury record of course winners in the fourth event on the card:
1/2--Harlequin Striker (soft)
1/3--Cricklewood Green (good)
4.10: Nine of the last ten winners have carried a minimum burden of 9-2 whereby we can reduce this field from fourteen down to seven if like yours truly, you follow the trends. Thankfully, two of my original 'selections' before looking up the weight stats qualify, namely IZMAR and GENERALSHIP. Brian Meehan is slowly 'turning the corner' with his runners this terms whereby KITAABY completes my trio against the field.
Favourite factor: Just four of the eleven market leaders secured toteplacepot positions in as many years, statistics which include two winners, albeit one those gold medallists dead heated for the major honour.
4.45: I have been reporting for over twenty years now that Newbury consistently produces the highest average Placepot dividend under this code of racing and I fully expect Thursday's divi to reward successful investors abundantly, given the make up of the contests to unravel. The finale of our favourite wager is just as tough as the majority of the other relevant events, whereby my tentative 'selections' include GIMLET, SIXTIES IDOL, ZUBEIDA and (possibly) DUCK A L'ORANGE.
Favourite factor: Four of the last eight renewals of the toteplacepot finale have been won by market leaders, as have five of the last eleven contests.
All place details offered on my pages relate to an 'exact science', whereby horses that finish third in 5/6/7 runner races (and other such scenarios) are not 'placed' regarding my statistics.
Trainers with their relevant number of runners on the Newbury card on Thursday:
5--Hughie Morrison (4/90 at Newbury during the last five years and then the 2016 ratio: 0/4)
4--John Gosden (30/160 - 1/11)
4--Richard Hannon (26/239 - 2/13)
4--Brian Meehan (12/127 - 1/3)
4--Jonathan Portman (10/76 - 0/1)
4--Brenda Powell (3/31 - 1st runners at Newbury this season)
3--Andrew Balding (16/137 - 0/8)
3--Michael Bell (5/50 - 0/1)
3--Mick Channon (11/196 - 0/5)
3--David Evans (5/51 - 0/5)
3--Charlie Hills (11/160 - 0/8)
3--Roger Varian (11/74 - 1/5)
2--Henry Candy (7/57 - 0/1)
2--Tony Carroll (1/33 - 1st runners)
2--Clive Cox (12/123 - 0/3)
2--Simon Crisford (1st runners at Newbury)
2--Warren Greatrex (0/2 - 1st runners)
2--William Haggas (26/120 - 1st runners)
2--Mark Johnston (10/81 - 0/2)
2--William Knight (2/31 - 0/3)
2--Sir Michael Stoute (9/75 - 1/3)
2--Roger Teal (1/18 - 0/1)
+ 33 different trainers who each saddle just one runner on the card
96 declared runners
Corresponding Placepot dividends from last year:
Haydock: £123.10 (7 favourites - 2 winners - 2 placed - 3 unplaced)
Nottingham: £1,143.90 (6 favourites - No winners - 3 placed - 3 unplaced)
Uttoxeter: £ 159.50 (9 favourites - 1 winner - 4 placed - 4 unplaced)
Other meeting: Yarmouth (no racing last year because of unsafe track)
Five year records of represented trainers of juveniles at Newbury relating to the 2.00 event:
Only Richard Hannon (1/3) has saddled a two-year-old winner at the track this term
6/34--Mark Johnston (Aardwolf)
4/20--Roger Varian (Asaas)
5/67--Brian Meehan (Bacchus)
14/118--Richard Hannon (Dourado-Opening Time-Pillar Of Society)
5/74 (Charlie Hills (Hurricane Rush)
0/3--Daniel Kubler (Permanent)
0/6--Brendan Powell (Pheonix Dawn)
3/27--Jonathan Portman (Poetic Force)
1/15--Michael Bell (Ronald R)
0/24--David Evans (Sea Fox)
4/45--Roger Charlton (Sfumato)
3/40--Andrew Balding (South Seas)