WOLVERHAMPTON – MARCH 23
Last year’s corresponding toteplacepot dividend:
2016: £988.60 (6 favourites – 1 winner – 1 placed – 4 unplaced)
Thursday's Placepot permutation at Wolverhampton:
Leg 1 (1.50): 10 (Goodwood Crusader), 1 (Powerful Dream) & 9 (Loumarin)
Leg 2 (2.20): 2 (Drago), 4 (Mr Red Clubs) & 1 (Anton Chigurh)
Leg 3 (2.55): 6 (Surround Sound) & 4 (Dunquin)
Leg 4 (3.25): 3 (Bessemer Lady) & 2 (The Last Debutante)
Leg 5 (4.00): 1 (Lord Cooper) & 5 (Derek Duval)
Leg 6 (4.30): 4 (Hidden Charms), 11 (Shift Cross) & 3 (Dusky Maid)
Suggested stake: 216 bets to 10p stakes
Overview for Thursday - please scroll down to the bottom of the page
1.50: The trade press suggests that this is a new race on the card, though the BHA have a different viewpoint on the contest; hence the favourite factor offered below. Only nine horses remain and one market move catches the eye in that GOODWOOD CRUSADER is only offered at a genuine each way price in one place this morning, as opposed to plenty of 6/1 available at the overnight stage. Others to consider include POWERFUL DREAM and LOUMARIN.
Favourite factor: Only one of the last six favourites (winner at 2/1) has claimed a Placepot position.
Record of the course winners in the first race:
2.20: Five-year-olds have held the edge via five renewals from just 20% of the total number of runners. Four of the seven vintage representatives have finished in the frame, statistics which include two (13/2 & 2/5) winners. DRAGO is the lone vintage representative this time around and the beaten favourite and course and distance winner could be given another chance in this grade/company. That said, MR RED CLUBS also boasts a decent record here at Wolverhampton, whilst ANTON CHIGURH returns to defend his crown from twelve months back.
Favourite factor: The five winners to date have scored at a top price of 13/2, whilst two of the five favourites have secured Placepot positions, statistics which include one (2/5) winner.
Record of the course winners in the second contest on the card:
7/16—Mr Red Clubs
2.55: It’s unusual to see the price of 15/8 offered right across the markets given its ‘fraction’ but that’s what is on offer at the time of writing for LADY TURPIN following a recent Southwell success. The problem I have is that four course winners take on Richard Fahey’s raider, whereby I marginally prefer the likes of SURROUND SOUND and DUNQUIN.
Favourite factor: The two favourites have missed out on Placepot positions behind horses which filled frame at 6-1-28/1-4/1 in the first instance and 9/2-25/1-10/1 twelve months ago.
Wolverhampton record of course winners in the third event:
3.25: There are plenty of leading stables represented here, despite the fact that this is a Class 6 event. Ralph Beckett (BESSEMER LADY) and Mark Johnston (THE LAST DEBUTANTE) are two such handlers who see this obvious opportunity of winning this event before moving their raiders up in grade.
Favourite factor: Three of the five favourites have finished in the frame, statistics which include two (8/11 & 11/8) winners.
Wolverhampton record of course winners in the fourth event:
4.00: LORD COOPER confirmed placings last time out when striking up successive victories, despite being six pounds worse off the Jet Setting. This progressive three-year-old might still be a few ounces ahead of the official handicapper, with connections probably having most to fear from fellow course and distance winner DEREK DUVAL, whose three pound claimer could ensure a tight finish, potentially receiving six pounds from the selection.
Favourite factor: All four market leaders have finished in the frame via three renewals to date, statistics which include two winners.
Wolverhampton record of course winners in the fifth race:
4.30: Although the seven experienced runners have not run too badly in the main thus far, the bar has not been set very high whereby newcomers SHIFT CROSS and HIDDEN CHARMS should both go well at the first time of asking. DUSKY MAID is taken to run into a place late doors.
Favourite factor: Both (4/5 & 10/11) favourites have prevailed this far.
All place details offered on my pages relate to an 'exact science', whereby horses that finish third in 5/6/7 runner races (and other such scenarios) are not 'placed' regarding my statistics.
Trainers with their relevant number of runners on the Wolverhampton card on Thursday – followed by their ratios this season + profits/losses accrued:
4 runners—Mick Appleby (11/90 – loss of 29 points)
2—Marco Botti (3/16 - - loss of 4 points)
2—Karl Burke (2/20 – loss of 5 points)
2—Chris Dwyer (2/8 – Profit of 18 points)
2—Tim Easterby (0/6)
2—Clare Ellam (0/13)
2—Geoff Harker (0/1)
2—Richard Hughes (2/26 – loss of 19 points)
2—Dean Ivory (2/31 – loss of 20 points)
2—William Muir (2/13 – Profit of 5 points)
2—David O’Meara (12/54 – Profit of 41 points)
2—Ian Williams (11/46 – Profit of 41 points)
2—Stuart Williams (4/34 – loss of 17 points)
+ 39 different trainers who each saddle just one runner on the card
67 declared runners
General overview - Corresponding Placepot dividends from last year:
Chepstow: £435.80 – 8 favourites – 2 winners – 2 placed – 4 unplaced
Chelmsford: £610.00 – 7 favourites – 2 winners – 2 placed – 3 unplaced
Ludlow: £103.60 – 6 favourites – 2 winners – 2 plac