SANDOWN – MAY 26
Last year’s corresponding toteplacepot dividend:
2015: £29.90 (6 favourites: 3 winners & 3 unplaced)
Thursday's Placepot permutation at Sandown:
Leg 1 (6.00): 10 (Speculator), 1 (Inniscastle Lad) & 11 (Choral Festival)
Leg 2 (6.35): 6 (Chupalla), 4 (Mehmas) & 3 (Global Applause)
Leg 3 (7.05): 4 (Burmese) & 2 (Max Dynamite)
Leg 4 (7.40): 7 (Western Hymn) & 3 (Intilaaq)
Leg 5 (8.15): 3 (Forge) & 5 (Royal Artillery)
Leg 6 (8.45): 12 (Postbag), 3 (Jacon Black) & 14 (Chevalier)
Suggested stake: 216 bets to 10p stakes
Overview for Thursday - please scroll down to the bottom of the page
6.00: Four-year-olds have secured 14 of the 25 available toteplacepot positions, statistics which include four of the last seven winners (16/1-10/1-13/2-7/2). There are six representatives to assess this year, the pick of which will hopefully prove to be SPECULATOR, INNISCASTLE LAD and (possibly) SAINT HONORE. The trio is listed in order of preference at the overnight stage. If the vintage trend goes base over apex on this occasion, course and distance winner CHORAL FESTIVAL could run well, especially with John Bridger having been among the winners of late.
Favourite factor: The nine favourites thus far have snared four gold, one silver and a bronze medal between them.
Sandown record of course winners in the opening race:
1/1--Karam Albaari (good)
1/9--Choral Festival (soft)
6.35: ’Team Hannon’ has celebrated victory in six of the last nine renewals of the National Stakes though that said, the stable has also saddled three beaten favourites in the contest since 2009. Richard has declared both MEHMAS and TOMILY (listed in order of preference), though the Hannon team have plenty to deal with this time around as the contest to be one of the most competitive renewals of this event for some time. The two fillies (CHUPALLA and JULE IN THE CROWN) certainly deserve to be in the line up, while Ed Dunlop's Mayson colt GLOBAL APPLAUSE is very well regarded back at the ranch.
Favourite factor: Five of the last eighteen favourites have won whilst nine market leaders have secured toteplacepot positions during the study period.
7.05: Four-year-olds have won 16 of the last 32 renewals, despite the fact that the vintage was not represented two years ago! Even now, just one four-year-old has been offered the green light, as Marcus Tregoning has seen the light by declaring BURMESE. William Buick's mount closed out last season by snaring a hat trick before returning this time with a fine effort as a 12/1 chance when beaten less than three lengths in Ascot's Sagaro event. Connections have MAX DYNAMITE to far here, given his runner up effort in the Melbourne Cup last time out. Over six months have lapsed since that time however, whereby race fitness might bring the pair close together at the business end of the contest.
Favourite factor: 11 of the last 21 favourites have secured toteplacepot positions, statistics which include four winners.
7.40: Four and five-year-olds have dominated this ‘Brigadier Gerard’ event of late, securing 15 of the last 19 renewals between them. Four-year-olds lead the way with 12 victories during the extended study period, which includes ten of the last fourteen contests. Five-year-old WESTERN HYMN won this event twelve months ago and though he gives the impression that he saves a little something for himself, there is no doubting the ability of John Gosden' raider. Four-year-old representatives TIME TEST, SCOTTISH and INTILAAQ add plenty of interest to proceedings. TIME TEST is asked to give five pounds to decent opposition without the aid of race fitness whereby a victory here would elevate his status in no uncertain terms.
Favourite factor: Five of the last 16 favourites have won this Group 3 contest, whilst ten of the market leaders claimed toteplacepot positions during the period.
Sandown record of course winners in the fourth race:
1/2--Time Test (good to soft)
3/5--Western Hymn (good - good to firm - soft)
8.15: Sir Michael Stoute has saddled three of the last ten winners, notwithstanding his record in the contest (by a big margin) given Michael's ten successes down the years. FORGE has been offered the green light on this occasion though this looks to be a tough ask on just his third assignment. That said, Michael's Dubawi colt romped home by five lengths at Doncaster and any amount of improvement would make him a serious contender, despite CYMRIC and ZONDERLAND being in opposition. ROYAL ARTILLERY is an even 'darker' horse than FORGE, with Ryan Moore's mount coming to the gig on a 1/1 ratio thus far.
Favourite factor: Eight clear market leaders and one joint favourite have won this Listed event during the last nineteen years. Fourteen of the last twenty one market leaders have claimed toteplacepot positions.
Sandown record of course winners in the fifth contest:
2/2--Cymric (good to firm & soft)
8.45: Four-year-olds have claimed 14 of the last 23 gold medals (including nine of the last fourteen) and the pick of the vintage representatives on this occasion should prove to be POSTBAG, HEATSTROKE and CHEVALIER in a fascinating toteplacepot finale. That said, JACOB BLACK won this event last year and with Keith Dalgleish having his horses in fine form, the Amadeus Wolf representative should figure prominently.
Favourite factor: Eight clear market leaders and one joint favourite have won during the study period, whilst 13 of the 19 favourites have claimed toteplacepot positions. Nine of the last twelve favourites have claimed six gold and three silver medals between them, though it’s worth pointing out that an 8/13 chance was one of those beaten market leaders.
Sandown record of course winners in the toteplacepot finale:
1/1--Highland Coliri (good to firm)
1/3--Jacob Black (good to firm)
2/15--Directorship (good to firm & good to soft)
1/4--Secret Art (good)
2/3--Chevalier (good to firm & good to soft)
All place details offered on my pages relate to an 'exact science', whereby horses that finish third in 5/6/7 runner races (and other such scenarios) are not 'placed' regarding my statistics.
Trainers with their relevant number of runners on the Sandown card on Thursday:
4--Richard Hannon (18/136 at Sandown during the last five years and 2/7 this season)
3--John Gosden (30/133 & 1/7)
2--Andrew Balding (20/156 & 0/4)
2--Ed Dunlop (1/31 & 0/1)
2--Mark Johnston (7/86 & 0/5)
2--Gary Moore (0/27 & 0/1)
2--Jamie Osborne (0/17 & 0/1)
+ 33 different trainers who each saddle just one runner on the card
50 declared runners
Five year trainer records with juveniles at Sandown with runners in the National Stakes at 6.35:
3/35--Andrew Balding (Bohemian Flame) - 0/1 with two-year-olds at Sandown this season
2/7--Hugo Palmer (Copper Knight) - 0/1
0/10--Ed Dunlop (Global Applause) - No two-year-old runners at the track this season
10/52--Richard Hannon (Mehmas & Tomily) - 1/1
3/23--Mark Johnston (Chupalla) - No two-year-old runners
5/28--Mick Channon (Jule In The Crown) - 0/1