LUDLOW - OCTOBER 20
Last year’s corresponding toteplacepot dividend:
2015: £2,234.80 (6 favourites - 3 winners & 3 unplaced)
Thursday's Placepot permutation at Ludlow:
Leg 1 (2.00): 4 (Inn The Bull) & 3 (Hazaman)
Leg 2 (2.30): 2 (Bennachie), 5 (Hepijeu) & 10 (King’s Song)
Leg 3 (3.05): 4 (Nicholas Chauvin), 1 (Canicallyouback) & 7 (I’dliketheoption)
Leg 4 (3.40): 4 (Dominada) & 3 (Lilac Tree)
Leg 5 (4.15): 1 (Lillian), 3 (Atalanta Blaze) & 4 (Beyond Measure)
Leg 6 (4.50): 4 (She’s Late) & 7 (Edeiff’s Lad)
Suggested stake: 216 bets to 10p stakes
Overview for Thursday - please scroll down to the bottom of the page
2.00: The NH season really begins to take shape now with the two day (Showcase) meeting at Cheltenham starting tomorrow, quickly followed by Aintree's first (proper) meeting since Grand National day being staged on Sunday. In the meantime we have to make do with Ludlow, but each and every track in the land has its attractions and this venue is situated in a really beautiful part of the country. Upwards and onward by suggesting that INN THE BULL should overcome NH inexperience to get the better of HAZAMAN in a race that should not take a great deal of winning.
Favourite factor: Last year’s inaugural 8/13 favourite finished out of the frame behind the impressive 16/1 winner (Wolf Of Windlesham), who was kick starting a run of four victories via his next five assignments, successes which included a victory at the Paddy Power meeting at Cheltenham next time out.
2.30: Only seven seven-year-olds have contested this event to date, claiming four toteplacepot positions in the process. Not represented in one of the four renewals this far, seven-year-olds won two of the contests at 8/1 & 5/2*. Horses carrying 11-2 or more have secured seven of the eleven available toteplacepot positions and with BENNACHIE being the only seven-year-old in the field, Tim Vaughan’s raider possesses tick in both boxes, despite the three pound claimer in the saddle. Tim Vaughan’s stable companion CASPIAN PIPER is another to consider, alongside HEPIJEU and KING’S SONG.
Favourite factor: Two of the four favourites have won their respective events at 5/2 & 15/8, though search parties are still out looking for the other pair of market leaders that missed out on Placepot positions.
3.05: The type of race that I absolutely love from a Placepot perspective, with just two potential places up for grabs in a seven strong field. This is the type of event that we find so often on NH cards at Sandown which historically produce great Placepot dividends pro ratia to the number of runners on a card. My trio against the other four contenders on this occasion consists of NICHOLAS CHAUVIN, CANICALLYOUBACK and I’DLIKE THEOPTION and having stated what I have, let’s hope this is not the only race on the card which lets us down in terms of securing a dividend!
Favourite factor: Both favourites had failed to claim toteplacepot positions before last year’s 4/9 market leader prevailed.
3.40: Six-year-old LILAC TREE represents the vintage which has won both contests to date, though Richard Rowe’s Dubawi raider is likely to find DOMINADA too hot to handle in this contest. Brian Ellison’s Mastercraftsman gelding blew the opposition away at Market Rasen last week whereby the progressive four-year-old is impossible to oppose if you are considering a win best, though be prepared to take a ‘skinny’ price about the selection.
Favourite factor: One of the two favourites to date secured a toteplacepot position by winning its respective event at odds of 11/4.
4.15: This six runner ‘short field’ contest is another race on the card which is assured of destroying thousands of Placepot dreams, with yours truly trying to offset that scenario by offering LILLIAN, ATALANTA BLAZE and BEYOND MEASURE against the other three declarations. New readers might like to know that the term 'short field' relates to races in which five, six and seven runners contest an event, having to finish in the first two to ‘qualify’ from each way/toteplacepot perspectives.
Favourite factor: Two of the four favourites have secured toteplacepot positions having won their respective events at 11/8 & 11/10.
4.50: There was not a penny piece played or laid on the exchanges in this event at the time of writing and given the inexperienced riders assembled for the toteplacepot finale, I cannot pretend that I am surprised. Tentative types for the overnight mix include SHE’S LATE, EDEIFF’S LAD and COEUR DE FOU, though overnight activity on the machines can only add some interest to proceedings in the toteplacepot finale.
Favourite factor: Only one of four favourites to date (via three renewals) has finished in the frame (no winners).
All place details offered on my pages relate to an 'exact science', whereby horses that finish third in 5/6/7 runner races (and other such scenarios) are not 'placed' regarding my statistics.
Trainers with their relevant number of runners on the Ludlow card on Thursday:
5 runners—Evan Williams (0/2 this season at Ludlow – 39/235 five year stat)
3—Jonjo O’Neill (0/3 – 7/65)
2—Bob Buckler (0/2 – 3/25)
2—Chris Down (0/2 – 3/25)
2—Alan King (0/1 – 5/35)
2—Charlie Longsdon (0/2 – 6/51)
2—Tim Vaughan (None – 8/62)
+ 56 different trainers who each saddle just one runner on the card
38 declared runners
General overview - Corresponding Placepot dividends from last year:
Carlisle: £87.90 – 6 favourites – 3 winners – 2 placed – 1 unplaced
Chelmsford: £ 25.60 – 6 favourites – 3 winners – 2 placed – 1 unplaced
Newton Abbot: This is a new fixture on the calendar