WARWICK – SEPTEMBER 29
Thursday's Placepot permutation at Warwick:
Leg 1 (2.00): 1 (Peter The Mayo Man) & 12 (What A Diva)
Leg 2 (2.30): 1 (Admiral Kid), 5 (Wholestone) & 2 (Alf N Dor)
Leg 3 (3.05): 1 (Foundation Man), 3 (High Aspirations) & 2 (The Snappy Poet)
Leg 4 (3.40): 2 (Miss Estella), 3 (Crickel Wood) & 6 (Northern Meeting)
Leg 5 (4.10): 3 (Ready Token) & 2 (Benzel)
Leg 6 (4.45): 1 (Mahlers Star) & 3 (Vivas)
Suggested stake: 216 bets to 10p stakes
Overview for Thursday - please scroll down to the bottom of the page
2.00: Neil Mulholland has declared four of the six horses that were still in the mix at the penultimate entry stage and the first of them PETER THE MAYO MAN has definite claims following his facile win at Worcester on good ground seventeen days ago. WHAT A DIVA and ACCORD might offer most resistance at the business end of the contest.
Favourite factor: Two extremes of results thus far as the (11/8) favourite won one of the two races to date, though a 1/6 hot pot was beaten half a length by a 50/1 chance in the other contest! Both market leaders secured Placepot positions in the process.
2.30: Neil Mulholland holds another chance early on the card with ADMIRAL KID who makes his British debut here. This looks to be a tougher assignment than stable companion Peter The Mayo Man faces in the opening event however, with WHOLESTONE and ALF N DOR also having been declared.
Favourite factor: Five-year-old 4/9 favourites (trained by Charlie Longsdon) have won both races thus far.
3.05: Nine-year-olds have won both contests thus far, though I fully appreciate that two renewals hardly constitutes a developing trend. Upwards and onward in positive mode however by suggesting that the lone vintage representative FOUNDATION MAN will be included in my Placepot mix, possibly accompanied by HIGH ASPIRATIONS and my each way call THE SNAPPY POET, who won at the first time of asking last season. Badgers Retreat returns to defend his crown but eight subsequent efforts hardly inspire confidence.
Favourite factor: One of the two favourites has claimed a Placepot position by winning its respective event.
Record of course winners in the third event:
1/2--Arctic Ben (good to soft)
1/3—Badgers Retreat (good)
3.35: Six-year-olds carrying 11-9 have claimed both prizes thus far and the weight pattern suggests that MISS ESTELLA and CRICKLE WOOD should finish in front of the other vintage raider NORTHERN MEETING. That said, I will include all three horses in an interesting ‘short field’ event. BARMAN might not represent value for money come flag fall but it’s worth noting that Nicky Henderson saddles the only horse that he had entered at the meeting back at the weekend. New readers might want to know that the term short field relates to 5/6/7 runners races in which only the first two horses home qualify from each way/Placepot perspectives.
Favourite factor: The two favourites have secured gold and silver medals alongside Placepot positions.
Record of course winners in the fourth contest on the card:
1/3—Crickel Wood (good to soft)
1/1—Satanic Beat (good)
4.10: Horses carrying a minimum burden of 11-3 have secured all four available Placepot positions to date, statistics which include winners at 9/1 & 7/2. Two of the three qualifiers boast obvious claims and listing the pair in order of preference, READY TOKEN is taken to get the better of BENZEL close home.
Favourite factor: Only one of the three favourites have finished in the frame (exact science) via two renewals thus far.
Record of course winners in the fifth race:
1/4--Ready Token (good to soft)
4.45: Six-year-olds have secured three of the four available Placepot positions via just 35.7% of the total number of runners, stats which include both winners at 6/1 & 13/8*. The lone vintage representative is MAHLERS STAR who is the last of the three David Bridgwater raiders on the card and from my viewpoint, David’s Mahler gelding holds the best chance of the trio on Thursday. Others included in the overnight mix include VIVAS and DEAUVILLE DANCER.
Favourite factor: One of the two favourites (winner at 13/8) has finished in the money in the Placepot finale thus far.
All place details offered on my pages relate to an 'exact science', whereby horses that finish third in 5/6/7 runner races (and other such scenarios) are not 'placed' regarding my statistics.
Trainers with their relevant number of runners on the Warwick card on Thursday:
5—Charlie Longdson (4/10 at Warwick – Profit of 13 points to level stakes)
4—Neil Mulholland (1/4 – Level on the season at Warwick to date)
3—David Bridgwater (---)
3—Jonjo O’Neill (0/12)
2—Peter Bowen (0/4)
2—David Dennis (2/9 – Profit of 2 points)
2—Chris Gordon (0/4)
2—Sophie Leech (0/3)
2—Phil Middleton (0/1)
2—J Moon (---)
2—Jeremy Scott (0/1)
2—Oliver Sherwood (0/2)
2—Dan Skelton (3/10 – Level)
+ 18 different trainers who each saddle just one runner on the card
51 declared runners
General overview - Corresponding Placepot dividends from last year:
Brighton: This is a new fixture on the calendar
Chelmsford: £53.30 – 6 favourites – 2 winners – 3 placed – 1 unplaced
Newcastle: This is now a new A/W meeting