Placepot Pointers

Placepot Pointers – Tuesday 12th December

LINGFIELD – DECEMBER 12

 

Last year’s corresponding toteplacepot dividend:

2016: £197.40 (6 favourites – 1 winner – 2 placed – 3 unplaced)

 

Tuesday's Placepot permutation at Lingfield: 

Leg 1 (11.30): 5 (Mother Of Dragons) & 3 (Inuk)

Leg 2 (12.00): 3 (Gold Club), 1 (Indian Affair) & 7 (Strictly Carter)

Leg 3 (12.30): 1 (Mr Freeze) & 2 (Merdon Castle)

Leg 4 (1.00): 6 (Very Honest) & 7 (Pretty Bubles)

Leg 5 (1.35): 8 (Emenem), 1 (Kyllacky Gala) & 9 (Van Huysen)

Leg 6 (2.10): 3 (Royal Birth), 8 (Shamshon) & 2 (Gracious John)

Suggested stake: 216 bets to 10p stakes

 

Overview for Tuesday - please scroll down to the bottom of the page

 

11.30: Apologies for the late running of this service from Platform two this morning!  Were were away for the weekend and got 'snowed in' in the Cotswolds - the road outside the caravan camp was closed to fallen tress though thankfully, we had lots of alcohol with us to keep us warm!  Upwards and onward - In what is surely a match in an extremely weak event, MOTHER OF DRAGONS should not be hard pressed to score at leisure against INUK who is clearly superior to the other three on paper.  The first named favourite is eleven pounds clear of Inuk on official ratings, albeit a claimer closes that gap to just 64 ounces.  The fact that Inuk is also a recent winner against Mother Of Dragons who remains a maiden after eleven assignments suggests that the market should not be as wide as 8/15 & 2/1 (best odds at the time of writing) whereby aside from a bet on our favourite wager, cash should be safely under lock and key until horses of better ability run later on the card.

Favourite factor: Four favourites have won during the last decade during which time, the biggest priced winner was returned at just 9/1. Nine of the ten market leaders secured Placepot positions.  Four years have passed since the last market leader obliged but that said, the biggest priced winner scores at just 4/1 during that period.

 

12.00: Three-year-olds have won three of the six renewals thus far, whilst five of the gold medallists carried a minimum weight of nine stones. The form of the two junior raiders in the field suggests that I am going to have to swerve the trend here as far as vintage representatives are concerned and with a little money appearing for the likes of GOLD CLUB and INDIAN AFFAIR at the time of writing, this pair are the first names on the team sheet, followed by STRICTLY CARTER in an unappealing event.

Favourite factor: Five of the eight market leaders have secured Placepot positions, statistics which include one (5/2) winner.

Record of the course winners in the second race:

1/3—Kyllukey

1/2—Wild Flower

 

12.30: The appropriately named MR FREEZE has come in for quite a bit of support with a lot of firms this morning, whereby the three-year-old raider is given a chance on two other counts as well, being well berthed in the one stall, notwithstanding this grade/company representing a drop in class.  That aside, MERDON CASTLE would have been a confident call, though I guess that BILLYOAKES also boasts claims on the best of his form.

Favourite factor: Five of the eight market leaders have secured Placepot positions, statistics which include one (5/2) winner.

Record of the course winners in the third contest on the card:

3/15—Malaysian Boleh

1/20—Compton Prince

 

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1.00: Last year’s winner PRETTY BUBBLES won this event twelve months ago off a twelve pound higher mark but against that, it is a sobering thought that this was her only victory via nine assignments at Lingfield to date.  VERY HONEST is consistent from a Placepot perspective and is preferred to Show Stealer accordingly, albeit Rae Guests’s projected favourite should not be far away at the business end of the contest.

Favourite factor: Last year’s inaugural 6/4 favourite sneaked into the frame behind horses which filled the Placepot positions at 6/1 & 33/1.

Record of the course winners in the field:

2/11—Diamond Lady

1/3—Very Honest

1/9—Pretty Bubbles

 

1.35: VAN HUYSEN won this event twelve months ago and whilst I would suggest that his general 25/1 quote this time around is not far away from an accurate assessment in terms of winning the contest, another Placepot position is not entirely ruled out of the equation, especially as a three time winner at the track.  More logical gold medallists include EMENEM and KYLLACHY GALA.  If you don’t fancy the front pair in the market and feel that last year’s winner has too much to do, Bronze Angel (2/3 at the course and a well-drawn contender) is another double figure priced option to consider.

Favourite factor: Four of the six favourites have claimed Placepot positions via five renewals, statistics which include two (7/4** & 2/1) winners.

Record of the course winners in the fifth event:

2/3—Bronze Angel

1/2—Noble Peace

1/2—Emenem

3/14—Van Huysen

 

2.10: Last year’s winner GRACIOUS JOHN can rarely (if ever) be ignored in this grade/company and his Placepot chance is there for all to see.  That said, Stuart Williams has the best record at this corresponding meeting in recent years and given that the popular trainer held four entries on the card at the weekend, Stuart has declared just two entries and they both contest this event.  SHAMSHON is much the better drawn in trap one, though ROYAL BIRTH boasts stats of 2/4 from the track and not wishing to get into an argument between the pair, I’m adding both inmates into the Placepot mix.  Alsvinder is marginally ruled out of the Placepot permutation this time around.

Favourite factor: Last year’s inaugural 2/1 favourite missed out on a Placepot position behind horses which filled the frame at 10/3, 14/1 & 16/1.

Record of the course winners in the Placepot finale:

2/6—Gracious John

2/4—Royal Birth

1/6—Zac Brown

1/5—Kasbeh

2/10—Come On Dave

 

All place details offered on my pages relate to an 'exact science', whereby horses that finish third in 5/6/7 runner races (and other such scenarios) are not 'placed' regarding my statistics.

 

Trainers with their relevant number of runners (two or more on the Lingfield card on Tuesday – followed by their five year ratio at the track + profits/losses accrued:

4 runners—Milton Bradley (12/177 – loss of 89 points)

3—Phil McEntee (17/180 – loss of26 points)

2—Michael Attwater (30/369 – loss of 69 points)

2—Alan Bailey (12/155 – loss of 38 points)

2—John Bridger (16/279 - - loss of 108 points)

2—John Butler 14/87 – loss of 1 point)

2—Simon Dow (34/270 +14)

2—Mark Gillard (0/3)

2—Ron Hodges (5/49 +3)

2—Jamie Osborne (33/247 – loss of 12 points)

2—Charlie Wallis (1/24 – loss of 13 points)

2—Stuart Williams (37/212 +4)

+ 40 different trainers who each saddle just one runner on the card

56 declared runners

 

General overview - Corresponding Placepot dividends from last year:

Ayr: £46.60 – 6 favourites – 3 winners – 1 placed – 2 unplaced

Wolverhampton: This is a new fixture on the racing calendar

 

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