LINGFIELD - NOVEMBER 14
Last year’s corresponding toteplacepot dividend:
2016: £16.20 (6 favourites 5 winners & 1 unplaced
Tuesday's Placepot permutation at Lingfield:
Leg 1 (12.50): 7 (Royalewhit), 6 (Oborne Lady) & 2 (Bullfrog)
Leg 2 (1.20): 7 (Jabulani) & 3 (Buckby Boy)
Leg 3 (1.50): 2 (Greyed A), 5 (Arden Denis) & 6 (Le Coeur Net)
Leg 4 (2.20): 7 (Amadeus Rox) & 1 (Capitoul)
Leg 5 (2.50): 1 (Creivehill), 5 (Un Prophete) & 7 (De Faoithesdream)
Leg 6 (3.20): 4 (Boyhood) & 2 (Gabrial The Great)
Suggested stake: 216 bets to 10p stakes
Overview for Tuesday - please scroll down to the bottom of the page
12.50: The first thing to note is that some trainers (see the list at the foot of the column) have outstanding ratios at this venue, with Dan Skelton, Dr Richard Newland and Nigel Twiston-Davies standing out from the crowd. The unusual aspect of this meeting is the fact that it starts with an NH flat race as opposed to other venues where such races are usually staged at the other end of the programme. UPw3ards and onward by informing that four-year-olds lead the five-year olds 3-2 via just the five contests thus far, figures confirmed on the Placepot front by a ratio of 10-4. OBORNE LADY has been the subject of some support overnight, whilst ROYALEWHIT and BULLFROG should figure prominently in a low grade affair.
Favourite factor: Five of the six favourites have claimed Placepot positions via six renewals to date, statistics which include four winners.
1.20: With market leaders offering a good recent record in the race (particularly from a Placepot perspective), JABULANI appears to be the call here. Nigel Twiston-Davies boasts a 28% strike rate at the track during the study period for good measure, a ratio which results from six winners. Dan Skelton’s record is event better whereby the 16/1 alternative each way option about BUCKBY BOY is another route to go if you don’t like relying on favourites.
Favourite factor: Four favourites have won via eight contests during the last decade. All eight market leaders have finished in the frame (exact science), whilst seven gold medallists have scored at a top price of 13/2.
1.50: Dr Richard Newland was one of the names offered in dispatches in the opening event and with Richard Johnson having been booked aboard his representative GREYED A here, it’s hardly surprising that the six-year-old has been back overnight, almost right across the board it seems. All four gold medallists have carried a minimum burden of 11-8 and others who fit the weight trends with claims include ARDEN DENIS and LE COEUR NET.
Favourite factor: All four winners have scored at a top price of 3/1 thus far, with two of the four market leaders having prevailed. That said, the two beaten favourites finished out of the money.
Record of the course winner in the field:
1/1—Greyed A (soft)
2.20: Two of the younger runners in the line up make most appeal here, namely AMADEUS ROX and CAPITOUL. This is a race in which flat jockey try their hand on the other side of the sport whereby caution is the name of the game, certainly from a win perspective. That said, the two named horses boast obvious Placepot claims, even in this ‘short field’ event. New readers might like to know that the term short field relates to 5/6/7 runner races in which only the first two horses qualify from each way and Placepot perspectives.
Favourite factor: We had to wait until the seventh renewal for a successful favourite to be posted, albeit that four of the earlier winners scored at a top price of 9/2. Four of the last seven favourites missed out on toteplacepot positions.
2.50: DE FAOITHESDREAM pops up every now and then and this is certainly his grade if in the mood to dominate from the front which he is capable of doing on a going day. If not, the door will be left open for the likes of CREIVEHILL and UN PROPHETE to take full advantage. The pair is listed in marginal order of preference.
Favourite factor: Last year’s successful 11/8 favourite made up for the complete demise of the inaugural 11/4 market leader.
Record of the course winner in the fifth event:
3.20: AWAY FOR SLATES has to overcome a twenty month break from the track, which should enable the likes of BOYHOOD and GABRIAL THE GREAT to dominate the business end of proceedings in a run of the mill Placepot finale.
Favourite factor: The inaugural 11/4 market leader snared a Placepot position finishing behind horses sent off at 7/1 and 6/1, before last year’s 5/4 favourite obliged.
Record of the course winners in the Placepot finale:
1/2—Sirop De Menthe (heavy)
1/1—Molly Carew (heavy)
All place details offered on my pages relate to an 'exact science', whereby horses that finish third in 5/6/7 runner races (and other such scenarios) are not 'placed' regarding my statistics.
Trainers with their relevant number of runners (two or more) on the Lingfield card on Tuesday – followed by 5 year stats & profits/losses accrued:
5 runners—Gary Moore (9/94 – loss of 26 points)
4—Neil Mulholland (3/23 +26)
3—Zoe Davison (1/23 – loss of 17 points)
3—Tom George (0/4)
2—Kim Baley (0/4)
2—Alex Hales (1/8 – loss of 4 points)
2—Anthony Honeyball (3/9 +4)
2—Alan King (1/6 – loss of 1 point)
2—Emma Lavelle (2/9 +1)
2—Seamus Mullins (4/32 – loss of 15 points)
2—Dr Richard Newland (4/6 +4)
2—Richard Rowe (2/17 – loss of 5 points)
2—Dan Skelton (5/10 +15)
2—Suzi Smith (1/6 +3)
2—Nigel Twiston-Davies (6/21 +24)
2—Tim Vaughan (4/20 – loss of 7 points)
2—Lucy Wadham (3/10 +3)
2—Evan Williams (3/13 – Level profit/loss during the period)
+ 21 different trainers who each saddle just one runner on the card
64 declared runners
General overview - Corresponding Placepot dividends from last year:
Huntingdon: £6,529.30 – 6 favourites – 2 winners & 4 unplaced
Worcester: This is a new fixture on the racing calendar