FFOS LAS – APRIL 15
Last year’s corresponding toteplacepot dividend:
This is a new meeting on the racing calendar
Tuesday's Placepot permutation at Ffos Las:
Leg 1 (2.15): 4 (Zambesi Queen), 8 (Topmeup) & 7 (Diminutive)
Leg 2 (2.45): 1 (Indomeneo) & 3 (Isle Of Man)
Leg 3 (3.15): 1 (Liva), 4 (Simply Breathless), 2 (Ventura Dragon) & 3 (Airshow)
Leg 4 (3.45): 10 (Ancient Longing) & 6 (Hawridge Flyer)
Leg 5 (4.15): 2 (Katabatika) & 4 (Trauttman)
Leg 6 (4.45): 3 (Catcher On The Go), 5 (Moabit) & 8 (Thistimenextyear)
Suggested stake: 288 bets to 10p stakes
Overview for Tuesday - please scroll down to the bottom of the page
2.15: DIMINUTIVE is the only course winner in the field and the fact that the victory was gained under soft conditions suggests that the Fast Company representative might outrun her 25/1 price tag at the time of writing. That said, more logical winners in the line up include ZAMBEZI QUEEN and TOPMEUP. Paul Cole (ZAMBEZI QUEEN) has sent out two of his last three runners to winning effect.
Favourite factor: There is no history attached to this meeting
Record of the course winner in the opening race:
2.45: Try as hard as I might, I cannot find a previous runner for Richard Fahey at this venue whereby the declaration of his INDOMENEO makes for interesting reading. A winner of two of his last three assignments, Richard’s Piccolo colt has the benefit of a seven pound claimer to reduce the welter 9-13 burden. Clive Cox appears to have found a decent opportunity for his Exceed And Excel newcomer ISLE OF MAN who is well related in terms of previous winners. Clive’s late (April 29) foal is preferred to Livingstones Quest as the main danger to the tentative selection.
3.15: Given the way that Placepot dividends are greatly enhanced by ‘win only’ events (for obvious reasons), it would be churlish to try and pick over the form issues of the four runners in this contest. The general advice is usually to include all four runners in your permutation before retiring to the bar, in the hope that the horse with the least units prevails, a scenario which is not as infrequent as you might imagine. This is (of course) an expensive way of being involved with your bet today but if we are playing up winnings (as is the case from Windsor last night), the speculative option is most certainly the way to proceed.
Record of the course winner in the third race on the card:
3.45: Following no less than 41 assignments under the other code of our favourite sport, STILL BELIEVING makes his flat debut this afternoon, though the distance slightly short of a mile and a half raises the odd eyebrow or two in this dwelling. Support for the Evan Williams raider throughout the day would change my mind but given that I do not have that option via this service, I prefer to stick with ANCIENT LONGING and HAWRIDGE FLYER. Either way, this pair should see us safely through to the next leg, whilst confirming that I would not get involved in this race other than the Placepot investment.
4.15: Hughie Morrison’s Inmates are running well enough from an each way perspective of late, though winners elude the team just now, whereby I would only accommodate KATABATIKA in Placepot terms, preferring to swerve the contest as far as selecting a winner is concerned. TRAUTTMAN is presumably named after the famous Manchester City goalkeeper who would put today’s ‘starlets’ to shame in terms of feigning injury and all the other antics that ‘professional’ players get up to these days. Bert played the last 17 minutes of the 1956 Cup Final (when men were men) with a broken neck to protect his team’s 3-1 lead and was eventually awarded the CBE for his services to football. I digress, eventually wishing to include TRAUTTMAN in my Placepot permutation this afternoon.
4.45: An interesting sixth leg which suggests that the skinny 5/4 odds about VEILED SECRET might be worth passing up, a view which Bet365 obviously agree by going out on a limb at 6/4 at the time of writing. In case the difference between the two prices don’t appear to be that different, it’s worth pointing out that the differential between the quote is similar to a horse being backed down from 9/1 to 6/1. Paul Nicholls has won with six of his last 17 runners, with his representative MOABIT having won four of her eight races on the level thus far. STERNRUBIN has split the layers in terms of the price of the projected second favourite (anything between 7/2 and 5/1), whilst the declarations of CATCHER ON THE GO and THISTIMENEXTYEAR add interest to proceedings.
Record of the course winners in the Placepot finale:
1/1—Catcher On The Go (heavy)
All place details offered on my pages relate to an 'exact science', whereby horses that finish third in 5/6/7 runner races (and other such scenarios) are not 'placed' regarding my statistics.
Trainers with their relevant number of runners on the Ffos Las card on Tuesday – followed by their ratios at the track this season + profits/losses accrued:
6 runners—David Evans (1/13 – loss of 9 points)
3—Peter Bowen (1/1 – Profit of 3 points)
3—Hughie Morrison (0/2)
3—Evan Williams (2/13 – Profit of 4 points)
2—Clive Cox (0/3)
2—Nickki Evans (2/29 – loss of 9 points)
2—Richard Fahey (No previous runners)
2—Stuart Kittow (0/1)
2—Dan Kubler (0/1)
2—John McConnell (1/3 – slight loss)
2—Rod Millman (0/2)
2—Richard Price (0/2)
+ 20 different trainers who each saddle just one runner on the card
51 declared runners
General overview - Corresponding Placepot dividends from last year:
Nottingham: £120.60 – 8 favourites – 2 winners – 1 placed – 5 unplaced
Thirsk: £31.90 – 6 favourites – 2 winners – 3 placed – 1 unplaced
Chelmsford: This is a new fixture on the racing calendar