CHELMSFORD – FEBRUARY 27
Last year’s corresponding toteplacepot dividend:
This is a new addition to the fixture list because of the adverse weather conditions
Tuesday's Placepot permutation at Chelmsford:
Leg 1 (2.15): 3 (Make Magic) & 2 (I Was Only Joking)
Leg 2 (2.45): 4 (Tigerfish), 6 (Sharp Operator) & 10 (Babette)
Leg 3 (3.15): 2 (Frozen Lake) & 4 (Gala Celebration)
Leg 4 (4.15): 6 (Dis Gift). 5 (Mambo Dancer) & 1 (Galileo’s Spear)
Leg 5 (4.20): 8 (Deeds Not Words), 6 (Jorvik Prince) & 5 (Fethiye Boy)
Leg 6 (4.55): 1 (Ovocet) & 2 (Canford Thompson)
Suggested stake: 216 bets to 10p stakes
Overview for Monday - please scroll down to the bottom of the page
2.15: There is plenty of positive money on the exchanges at the time of writing to ‘ensure’ that I WAS ONLY JOKING will struggle to reach even money early doors, with odds on quotes the order of the day. MAKE MAGIC is the alternative call from my viewpoint.
Favourite factor: This being an additional fixture on the calendar, there is no history to the meeting.
2.45: TIGERFISH could emerge as a ‘plunge horse’ when the offices open this morning looking at ‘speculative’ support in the dead of night. Either way, this is a contest which demands three selections in order to move our way into the second third of our favourite bet, offering BABETTE and SHARP OPERATOR against Outlaw Torn given the odds on offer this morning.
Course winners in the field:
3.15: I’ve taken a little of the 15/2 on offer with Skybet relating to FROZEN LAKE (topical tip) given that John O’Shea’s raider is as short as 5/1 with a few firms. There is plenty of speculative cash in the positive queue for John’s recent Kempton winner. GALA CELEBRATION is the ‘form call’ but bookmakers might have over reacted by the look of their general 6/5 offer in the dead of night
Course winners in the third race:
3.45: ‘Exchange speculators’ are out in force this morning, giving the impression that plenty of investors have taken the day off today with the weather conditions as they are. Business was slow to start with but plenty of cash is arriving in the positive queues, albeit at speculative ‘odds’, with players hoping to catch out the odd person who is only half awake out as dawn begins to break. DIS GIFT is one such horse and I’m wondering if speculators are considering that Mark Johnston’s runners might struggle to reach the course given the road conditions. In such circumstances, taking a half decent price tends to be preferable (against SP) even with a rule 4 which could be in place later this morning. Mark potentially saddles MAMBO DANCER with obvious claims, whilst GALILEO’S SPEAR might offer some Placepot value as a ‘stopping weight’ of 10-3 will put plenty of people off supporting the Sir Mark Prescott representative.
Course winner in the fourth contest on the card:
4.15: The course record of JORVIK PRINCE catches the eye in no uncertain terms at first glance, albeit Karen Tutty’s inmate has never won off anything like this current official mark of 74. Conversely, DEEDS NOT WORDS (9/1 in three places this morning) has won off a two pound higher mark than today’s ‘65’ assignment and it’s worth noting the trade race report when beaten just over three lengths at Kempton ten days ago which read that DEEDS NOT WORDS was merely “shuffled along” before what might be described as ‘nearest at finish’ at the jamstick. FETHIYE BOY is added into the Placepot equation on his debut for the Daniel Loughnane stable.
Course winners in the fifth event:
4.45: AVOCET and CANFORD THOMPSON are the obvious pair to focus on from a Placepot perspective, given that if the dividend looks worth winning going into the last leg, we can ‘lay off’ at extremely short prices if we feel the need to do so. I have no interest in the race in terms of which horse wins the contest.
All place details offered on my pages relate to an 'exact science', whereby horses that finish third in 5/6/7 runner races (and other such scenarios) are not 'placed' regarding my statistics.
Trainers with their relevant number of runners (two or more) on the Chelmsford card on Tuesday – with their seasonal figures at Chelmsford followed by their five year ratios at the track + profits/losses accrued on both counts:
3 runners—Michael Appleby (5/31 loss of 10) – 33/313 – loss of 122
3—Ian Williams (1/7 – loss of 1) – 14/69 – loss of 8
2—David Bridgwater (0/3) – 0/8
2—John Butler (0/9) – 8/66 +64
2—Tony Carroll (0/11) – 12/112 – loss of 37
2—Alex Gunn (0/4) – 0/5
2—Richard Guest (2/7 +1) – 11/62 +33
2—Mark Johnston (2/8 – loss of 2) – 39/267 – loss of 88
2—Laura Mongan (0/5) – 1/8 +7
+ 39 different trainers who each saddle just one runner on the card
56 declared runners
General overview - Corresponding Placepot dividends from last year:
Catterick: £10.50 – 6 favourites – 5 winners & 1 placed
Lingfield: £23.90 – 6 favourites – 3 winners & 3 unplaced