HEREFORD – MARCH 27
Last year’s corresponding toteplacepot dividend:
2017: £753.80 (6 favourites – No winners – 1 placed – 5 unplaced)
Tuesday's Placepot permutation at Hereford:
Leg 1 (2.15): 7 (Salix) & 1 (Aardwolf)
Leg 2 (2.45): 1 (Rolling Dylan), 3 (Three Ways), 2 (Geordie Des Champs) & 5 (Jeu Du Mots)
Leg 3 (3.15): 1 (Jurby) & 2 (Westend Story)
Leg 4 (3.45): 4 (Easter In Paris), 1 (Hepburn) & 2 (Lady Robyn)
Leg 5 (4.15): 4 (Act Now) & 5 (Bridane Rebel)
Leg 6 (4.45): 3 (Jimmy Bell), 2 (Westerberry) & 5 (Pink Tara)
Suggested stake: 288 bets to 10p stakes
2.15: The first factor to mention is the overnight rain down here in the west-country which should eradicate the word “good” from the description of the ground yesterday/evening. Two winners of last year’s corresponding card return to defend their respective titles, though that’s just about all I care to remember from twelve months ago when just one favourite finished in the frame (exact science). SALIX arguably has more potential than AARDWOLF having had just the one run over timber to date, and that in a warm juvenile event at Kempton on the second day of the Christmas meeting at the Sunbury circuit. Only sent off that day as a 2/1 chance on debut, Ben Pauling’s raider is expected to prove that the initial effort was wide of the mark in terms of his potential. It’s interesting to note that there has been a little money for ROMANOR overnight which would create interest if the support is maintained later this morning.
Favourite factor: Last year’s inaugural 9/4 market leader could only beat one horse home twelve months ago in a short field contest, with horses returned at 7/1 and 10/3 filling the frame. New readers might like to know that the term short field relates to 5/6/7 runner races in which only the first two horses qualify from each way & Placepot perspectives.
2.45: Last year’s winner was returned at 33/1 and I would not put anyone off including JEU DU MOTS in their Placepot permutation this afternoon in a race which should not prove difficult to win. Lizzy Kelly’s mount receives plenty of weight from the three rivals here, an ‘edge’ which is compounded by the pilot’s useful three pound claim. Yes, ROLLING DYLAN, THREE WAYS and GEORDIE DES CHAMPS (listed in order of preference) should have enough in hand of the outsider of the party, but not enough to exclude the Nick Williams raider in this grade/company in a ‘win only’ event which could be run at a false pace.
Favourite factor: Last year’s 6/5 favourites was beaten 35 lengths when finishing third of just four finishers.
3.15: The last 26 horses saddled by Philip Hobbs have been beaten, the kind of ‘form’ that I have been talking about for some time now which gives yours truly no sense of pleasure at all. Philip is one of the good guys in the sport and this type of representation is almost unheard of back at the ranch since Philip started training 30 years ago. It will be Philip’s worst month of March in seventeen years if he does not saddle another winner before Easter Monday, though that is (seemingly) not putting people off backing his runner WESTEND STORY in this event. According to the gospel of yours truly, the potential joker in the pack is JURBY as far as Philip and his team is concerned.
Favourite factor: The 13/8 market leader was no match for the pair of 5/2 second favourites that filled the forecast positions in another short field event on the card twelve months ago.
3.45: EASTER IN PARIS returns to defend his crown and though there are more rivals in opposition on this occasion, Paddy Brennan’s mount is expected to be there or thereabouts at the business end of proceedings. Certainly her Placepot chance is there for all to see, though the declarations of HEPBURN and LADY ROBYN (to a fashion) suggest that any win stakes should be kept on the low side.
Favourite factor: Last year’s 5/2 market leader was the only horse which failed to complete the course on a wretched afternoon for favourite backers twelve
Record of the course winner in the fourth race:
1/1—Easter In Paris (good to soft)
4.15: Anthony Honeyball was unable to maintain the momentum of a wonderful run of results in mid-season which the likes of Henderson, Nicholls and other leading trainers would have been proud of at any time of the year. Anthony’s number of runners have tailed off accordingly, though ACT NOW has been offered the green light in an attempt to follow up his victory in this contest twelve months ago. RUBY YEATS will come back and win another race sooner rather than later I’ll wager, though perhaps the biggest threat to the selection this time around is BRIDANE REBEL who hails from another trainer who is enjoying a wonderful season; namely Jennie Candlish.
Favourite factor: Last year’s 10/11 runner up was the only favourite to finish in the Placepot frame, though that fact was of no interest to favourite investors on the day.
Record of the course winner in the fifth contest on the card:
1/1—Act Now (good to soft)
4.45: Ladbrokes were out on a limb earlier this morning with WESTERBERRY at 25/1 but I see that the ‘magic sign’ has cut the outsider, whilst others have also trimmed PINK TARA in the field. I believe that both horses could give each way followers a run for their respective monies, though from a win perspective, I prefer the chance of JIMMY BELL.
Favourite factor: The final 3/1 favourite on last year’s card offered a lame attempt to get punters out of jail by finishing last of the seven contenders that completed the course.
Record of the course winner in the Placepot finale:
1/5—Way Of The World (heavy)
All place details offered on my pages relate to an 'exact science', whereby horses that finish third in 5/6/7 runner races (and other such scenarios) are not 'placed' regarding my statistics.