LINGFIELD - NOVEMBER 28
Last year’s corresponding toteplacepot dividend:
2016: £21.60 (7 favourites - 2 winners - 2 placed - 3 unplaced)
Tuesday's Placepot permutation at Lingfield:
Leg 1 (1.00): 5 (Its Got Legs) & 1 (Cavernous)
Leg 2 (1.30): 1 (Al Shahir) & 4 (Fairmount)
Leg 3 (2.00): 7 (Sir Hubert), 2 (Becauseshesaidso) & 3 (Point N Shoot)
Leg 4 (2.30): 1 (Alice Pink), 6 (Naranja) & 4 (Miss Adventure)
Leg 5 (3.00): 8 (Allchilledout), 5 (Two Smokin Barrells) & 4 (Chef D’Oeuvre)
Leg 6 (3.30): 8 (Molly Carew), 5 (Corlay) & 2 (Spiritofthegames)
Suggested stake: 216 bets to 10p stakes
Overview for Tuesday - please scroll down to the bottom of the page
1.00: A poor contest to start the meeting on a decidedly ordinary day which would struggle to live up to its name as the ‘Sport of Kings’! Winners are winners in any class however and the opening event looks to be a potential match between ITS GOT LEGS and CAVERNOUS. The pair is listed in order of preference simply because of the experience gained by the first named entry. That said, if CAVERNOUS (brother to the very useful Willoughby Court) hacks up by a distance, it would not come as a complete surprise, especially with Ben Pauling having saddled seven of his last nineteen runners to winning effect, stats which have produced 34 points of level stake profit.
Favourite factor: The inaugural 8/15 favourite finished out of the money, the ‘short field’ frame being filled by horses which were returned at 25/1 & 6/1. The majority of punters gained their revenge twelve months ago however when the 9/4 market leader scored in facile fashion. New readers might like to learn that the term ‘short field’ relates to 5/6/7 runners races in which only the first two horses home qualify from each way/Placepot perspectives.
1.30: Although this is another extremely average event, it’s worth noting that the three winners to date have hailed from top yards, the most recent of which was Dan Skelton’s stable which is represented today by AL SHAHIR. Harry’s mount was the 6/4 favourite in a Class 3 event last time out where we can expect far shorter odds for this drop down in grade. A winner under heavy conditions at Newcastle when winning his only race (of five in total) in a bumper event, AL SHAHIR beat Wig Wam Wiggle by eight lengths on that occasion, with the runner up having scored the other day at Hexham to frank the form. Martin Keighley’s form at Lingfield is better than most (see current and five year ratios below) whereby FAIRMOUNT might chase the selection home, albeit at a respectable distance.
Favourite factor: The three favourites have snared a gold medal and two of the silver variety thus far alongside Placepot positions.
2.00: Richard Rowe’s only runner on the card is SIR HUBERT which makes for interesting reading as Richard has saddled two of the three winners of this event to date, the trainer not having been representative in the other renewal. Offered at 9/1 right across the board in the dead of night as I write this column, it will interesting to see if any money arrives for the seven-year-old Multiplex gelding who goes chasing for the first time this afternoon. BECAUSESHESAIDSO is regarded as the main threat (Charlie Deutsch takes off a useful three pounds), whilst POINT N SHOOT is preferred of the two course winners in the line up.
Favourite factor: Only one favourite (silver medallist) has finished in the money thus far via three renewals.
Record of the course winners in the third race:
1/2—Point N Shoot (heavy)
1/2—Touch Screen (soft)
2.30: Five-year-olds have won three of the four renewals to date which suggests that NARANJA should go close, though Gavin Sheehan will be hoping for a better ride aboard Jamie Snowden’s raider than was the case on the beaten 11/8 favourite twelve months ago. ALICE PINK is the ‘dark horse’ in the race, whilst Phil Middleton can do little wrong in the training ranks at present whereby the chance of MISS ADVENTURE demands respect at a big price. Money has arrived for Queen Of The Wind overnight which makes for interesting reading given that Colin Tizzard snared a nice 10/1 winner (Mister Malarky) for yours truly at Kempton yesterday. I’m unsure whether the current 16/1 quote (almost right across the board) will still be in place by the time the offices start receiving calls later this morning.
Favourite factor: Three of the four favourites have secured Placepot positions, stats which include two (5/6 and even money) winners.
3.00: ALLCHILLEDOUT was a beaten favourite on the card last year and it looks as though punters with long memories are looking for a return at much bigger odds today as Colin Tizzard’s eight-year-old Alflora gelding has been backed overnight. TWO SMOKIN BARRELLS has her ground, especially with the chase course reportedly being softer than the hurdle track today. All three of the Warren Greatrex runners were beaten on the corresponding card last year but with Warren firing in more than his fair share of winners recently, his lone entry (course winner) CHEF D’OEUVRE has to be included in my short list.
Favourite factor: Two of the three market leaders (via just two renewals) have secured Placepot positions, statistics which include one successful 9/4 (joint) favourite.
Record of the course winners in the fifth contest on the card:
2/3—Solstice Star (soft & heavy)
1/1—Chef D’Oeuvre (heavy)
3.30: I think we know that Song Light is going to pop up one of these days but he entered my ‘last chance saloon’ last time out and I have little option but to look elsewhere. Now could be the time to cash in in accordingly guys! Dual soft/heavy ground winner MOLLY CAREW demands respect, whilst CORLAY could be anything representing the famous McManus colours. ARDMAYLE is a very big price considering the conditions, though I guess SPIRITOFTHEGAMES is a more logical option.
Favourite factor: The inaugural 5/4 favourite duly obliged, before last year’s 2/1 market leader found one two good when snaring a Placepot position.
Record of the course winners in the Placepot finale:
1/1—Molly Carew (heavy)
All place details offered on my pages relate to an 'exact science', whereby horses that finish third in 5/6/7 runner races (and other such scenarios) are not 'placed' regarding my statistics.
Trainers with their relevant number of runners (two or more) on the Lingfield card on Tuesday – followed by this seasons ratios (in brackets) and then five years stats at the course + level stake profits/losses accrued relating to both periods:
4 runners—Laura Mongan (No runners this season) – 0/9 last five years
4—Gary Moore (0/4) – 9/73 – loss of 17 points
4—Neil Mulholland (0/3) – 3/26 +23
3—Martin Keighley (1/1 +14) – 4/9 +14
3—Seamus Mullins (0/1) – 4/33 – loss of 16 points
2—Nick Gifford – (0/1) – 0/7
2—Mark Gillard (1/1 +12) – 1/13 – level profit/loss
2—Chris Gordon (0/1) – 7/32 – loss of four points
2—Paul Henderson (No runners) – 2/11 – loss of 2 points
2—Ben Pauling (No runners) – 1/3 – slight loss
2—Dan Skelton (0/2) – 5/12 +13
2—Roger Teal (No runners in either period)
2—Colin Tizzard (No runners) – 2/10 – loss of 3 points)
+ 25 different trainers who each saddle just one runner on the card
59 declared runners
General overview - Corresponding Placepot dividends from last year:
Sedgefield: £63.90 – 6 favourites – 3 winners – 2 placed – 1 unplaced
Southwell A/W: Meeting abandoned