BANGOR – OCTOBER 31
Last year’s corresponding toteplacepot dividend:
2016: £118.00 (9 favourites - 2 winners - 2 placed - 5 unplaced)
Tuesday's Placepot permutation at Bangor:
Leg 1 (12.55): 6 (Dostal Phil) & 10 (Turtle Wars)
Leg 2 (1.25): 2 (Modus) & 1 (Gibalfaro)
Leg 3 (2.00): 2 (Pennywell), 4 (Sauvignon) & 5 (Walter Oneeightone)
Leg 4 (2.30): 7 (Ballycool), 1 (Deise Vu) & 6 (Alpine Secret)
Leg 5 (3.05): 6 (War Creation), 2 (Grand Turina) & 4 (Man Look)
Leg 6 (3.35): 4 (Haul Away) & 8 (Stylish Moment)
Suggested stake: 216 bets to 10p stakes
Overview for Tuesday - please scroll down to the bottom of the page
12.55: Four-year-olds have won both contests thus far though to be entirely honest, vintage representatives have let the side down by failing to offer additional Placepot positions between them. Four-year-old DOSTAL PHIL would not have to be overly smart to go very close here on his first assignment in this green and pleasant land. Philip Hobbs knows the time of day and the famous McManus colours look set to strike gold again, unless Nicky Henderson’s recent import TURTLE WARS is a little out of the ordinary. At least Nicky’s raider is not drifting like a barge on the exchanges overnight, unlike Jonjo’s raider Mad For Action who might otherwise have been given a chance sporting the famous Magnier/Smith/Tabor silks. 26 on the ‘machine’ at the time of writing does not augur well for his chance at the first time of asking.
Favourite factor: The two favourites to date secured gold and bronze medals alongside Placepot positions.
1.25: Fair play to John Groucott and connections for taking on two sets of leading connections here, though it looks as though Midnight Target will only pay for part of the expenses on the day. You should never be frightened of taking on one horse as the old adage suggests, but the leading pair would give John’s representative a 25 length start if ‘sport’ dominated the business rather than money. MODUS and GIBRALFARO are the two ‘big guns’ on show here, or at least they could have been classed that way if the latter named Alan King representative had lived up to the hype his initial successes at Kempton and Ascot attracted the thick end of two years ago. Eight subsequent events have failed to add to the winning tally though at just five years of age, Wayne Hutchinson’s mount is young enough to carve out a decent future over the bigger obstacles. MODUS is a couple of years older, though he is marginally less exposed than his rival whereby the age difference is not worth taking too seriously regarding what both horses might/might not achieve over fences.
Favourite factor: One of the two favourites secured a Placepot position by winning the second renewal at even money, following the demise of the inaugural market leader at the same price when finishing third in a ‘short field’ race. New readers might like to know that the term short field relates to 5/6/7 runner races in which only the first two horses home qualify from each way and Placepot perspectives.
2.00: Seven-year-olds have won both contests though in PENNYWELL, Warren Greatrex has declared the only vintage representative in the field. If Warren’s mare is to oblige, readers might want to take note of the 10/3 quote by Bet365 at the time of writing, as the stable’s horses have a habit of shortening in price before scoring, especially after returning from a long absence. Pennywell runs off a lower mark than when last seen some eighteen months ago, whereby the trainer is to be congratulated for finding such a good opportunity for ‘Thomas’ to ride his seventh winner which would be his fifth success over timber if that scenario evolves. WALTER ONEEIGHTONE enters my ‘last chance saloon’, whilst the Placepot chance (at the very least) is there for all to see regarding the Skelton entry SAUVIGNON.
Favourite factor: Two of the three favourites have finished in the money via two renewals, snaring Placepot positions via a winner at 7/2 and a runner up at 5/2**.
Record of the course winner in the third race
1/11—Tribal Dance (good)
2.30: BALLYCOOL is the first named raider mentioned in dispatches here, mainly because of the relevant trainer Lucinda Russell who continues to be underrated by media reports in my considered opinion. Lucinda bagged a 31/1 double at Ayr yesterday (albeit via eight runners), whilst the Scottish based trainer boasts a 29% record here at Bangor via four winners during the last five years, scorers which have produce seven points of level stake profit. DEISE VU and ALPINE SECRET are the obvious dangers.
Favourite factor: The inaugural 5/4 favourite duly obliged, only for last year’s 5/2 market leader to finish out of the frame.
Record of the course winner in the fourth event:
1/3—Ballycool (good to soft)
3.05: GRAND TURINA retains potential for sure though from a win perspective, I usually wait until the ground turns consistently soft before backing horses from the Venetia Williams yard. That does not rule out her Placepot chance here of course, though more obvious winners include WAR CREATION and (arguably) MAN LOOK.
Favourite factor: This is a new race on the Bangor card.
3.35: Four-year-olds saddled by leading trainers (Alan King and Harry Fry) have won the two contests to date and HAUL AWAY (Nicky Henderson) and STYLISH MOMENT (Alan King) should certainly land the Placepot dividend for us if are still ‘live’ going into our finale. HAUL AWAY looks to be the clear pick of Nicky Henderson’s two runners on the card, albeit the declaration of a hood detracts from total commitment to Nicky’s Stowaway gelding. Five pound claimer Ned Curtis boasts a 33% strike rate for the trainer however which negates the slight negative vibe that originally hit yours truly when looking up the details of the four-year-old. STYLISH MOMENT carries the colours of Trevor Hemmings who just loves greeting winners in this part of the world and the entry immediately caught the eye accordingly.
Favourite factor: The inaugural 7/4 marker leader snared a Placepot position by claiming a silver medal before all three 3/1 co favourites finished out with the washing twelve months later. The frame was filled by horses returned at 10/1, 14/1 and 15/2.
All place details offered on my pages relate to an 'exact science', whereby horses that finish third in 5/6/7 runner races (and other such scenarios) are not 'placed' regarding my statistics.
Trainers with their relevant number of runners (two or more) on the Bangor card on Tuesday – followed by their ratios at the track this season + level stake profit/losses accrued:
4 runners—Oliver Greenall (0/3)
3—Sarah-Jayne Davies (1/10 – loss of 5 points)
3—John Groucott (0/3)
3—Nicky Henderson (0/2)
3—Nick Kent (No previous runners here this season)
2—Jenny Candlish (0/7)
2—Henry Daly (1/2 +17)
2—Alan King (1/3 +4)
2—Neil Mulholland (0/3)
2—Henry Oliver (0/4)
2—Jonjo O’Neill (1/13 – loss of 10 points)
2—John O’Shea (0/6)
2—Ben Pauling (No previous runners here this season)
2—Katy Price (0/4)
2—Nigel Twiston-Davies (0/3)
2—Venetia Williams (0/1)
+ 23 different trainers who each saddle just one runner on the card
61 declared runners
General overview - Corresponding Placepot dividends from last year:
Catterick: £154.50 – 6 favourites – 4 winners & 2 placed
Chepstow: £20.20 – 6 favourites – 1 winner – 2 placed – 3 unplaced
Wolverhampton: This is a new fixture on the racing calendar