SEDGEFIELD – OCTOBER 3
Last year’s corresponding toteplacepot dividend:
2016: £53.30 (7 favourites - 1 winner - 3 placed - 3 unplaced)
Tuesday's Placepot permutation at Sedgefield:
Leg 1 (2.00): 9 (Daring Knight), 1 (On Alberts Head) & 5 (Mathayus)
Leg 2 (2.30): 3 (Greenworldsolution), 1 (Mr Globetrotter) & 9 (Magnolia Ridge)
Leg 3 (3.05): 3 (Helmsley Lad), 1 (Boy In A Bentley) & 8 (Angel’s Envy)
Leg 4 (3.35): 3 (Western Miller) & 4 (Bordeaux Bill)
Leg 5 (4.10): 4 (Hestina) & 6 (Our Kylie)
Leg 6 (4.40): 5 (Captain Mowbray), 3 (Boss Des Mottes) & 7 (Between The Waters)
Suggested stake: 324 bets to 10p stakes
Overview for Tuesday - please scroll down to the bottom of the page
2.00: Dan Skelton has taken possession of the four-year-old Dick Turpin gelding DARING KNIGHT from Clare Ellam and in a race that should not prove difficult to win, Dan looks to have found the ideal opportunity for his newcomer. Neil Mulholland is back among the winners whereby the chance of ON ALBERTS HEAD is respected alongside the Placepot option MATHAYUS.
Favourite factor: The opening event is a new race on the Sedgefield card.
Record of course winner in the opening event:
2/7—Ever So Much (2 x good)
2.30: Jennie Candlish has secured gold and silver medals with her last two runners and the positive run can continue here with GREENWORLDSOLUTION. Still a maiden following ten assignments to date, I would not back Sean Quinlan’s mount to win the race (or any horse in the field to be honest) but having finished in the frame in three of his last six starts, GREENWORLDSOLUTION looks to be the safest Placepot option, arguably alongside MR GLOBETROTTER and MAGNOLIA RIDGE.
Favourite factor: This is the second division of the opening race.
Record of course winners in the second race:
1/10—Claude Carter (good)
3.05: If there is one massive outsider on the card that might outrun her odds today, ANGEL’S ENVY could be the horse, albeit I am clutching at straws to a fashion. Iain Jardine has (as ever) got his horses running well enough to give any of his runners a secondary glance, especially at this level. Add the fact that his five year old is ridden by a claimer who has being ‘nibbled at’ on the exchanges at one o’clock in the morning as I pen this column (the horse not the jockey), and we have a minimum stake (each way) option to at least consider. That said, I grant you that HELMSLEY LAD and BOY IN A BENTLEY are more likely winners though with just nine runners set to face the starter, Rod Chapman’s mount could sneak a place at 100/1 which is still available at the time of writing.
Favourite factor: Last year’s 2/1 market leader was flanked on both sides by 3/1 second favourites when securing a Placepot position in a ‘short field’ contest twelve months ago. New readers might like to know that the term short field relates to 5/6/7 runner races in which only the first two horses qualify from each way and Placepot perspectives.
Record of course winners in the third contest on the card:
1/1—Boy In A Bentley (good)
1/6—Hemlsley Lad (good to soft)
3.35: The stand out (competitive) race on the card by a country mile, this Novice Chase event is the type of contest to warm us up nicely for the two day Cheltenham meeting which is staged on the last weekend of this month. Owners of the seven runners in this race can only dream of such heady heights but nonetheless, four of the runners will ensure that the race will take plenty of winning from my viewpoint, the leading pair of which are nominated as WESTERN MILLER and BORDEAUX BILL. The first named Charlie Longsdon raider improved out of all recognition for taking on the bugger obstacles on debut at Stratford, whilst BORDEAUX BILL is an interesting newcomer to the discipline. The pair should almost finish ‘upsides’ via their last official hurdling figures, given the five pound claimer aboard WESTERN MILLER, notwithstanding his racecourse experience over fences which is a definite ‘edge’ over his rival. The declarations of Jacks Last Hope and Cobra De Mai suggest this is anything but a two horse race however.
Favourite factor: One of the two 9/4 joint favourites finished in the frame (without winning) in last year’s inaugural contest.
Record of course winners in the fourth race:
1/2—Eyes Of A Tiger (good)
2/2—Bordeaux Bill (good & good to soft)
1/2—Jacks Last Hope (soft)
4.10: HESTINA would look something of a Placepot banker if we could ensure that all the declarations is this ‘dead eight’ contest would face the starter but as seems to happen all too often, a non runner would take the race into dangerous waters with just two positions up for grabs. Plenty of local racegoers would be inclined to offer the same thoughts about OUR KYLIE though either way, we should get safely through to the last leg of our favourite wager by including both horses in the mix.
Favourite factor: Last year’s inaugural (Ian Williams trained) 11/10 market leader duly obliged.
Record of course winners in the fifth contest:
1/1—Our Kylie (good)
4.40: Seven of the nine gold medallists carried a minimum burden of 11-1, statistics which led me to securing last year’s 50/1 forecast via three nominations. Six-year-olds have won five recent renewals whereby I feel duty bound to include the only two horses which possess ticks in both of the trend boxes, namely CAPTAIN MOWBRAY and BOSS DES MOTTES. I am going for broke by adding the other six-year-old in the line up, given that I am not particularly drawn to anything else in the race, whereby BETWEEN THE WATERS completes my trio against the remaining eleven contenders. The reserve nomination is awarded to Sendiym given his record at the venue on this type of ground.
Favourite factor: Six of the ten favourites have secured toteplacepot positions, statistics which include three (9/4-13/8-11/8) winners.
Record of course winners in the Placepot finale:
4/14—Muwallah (2 x good to firm, good & good to soft)
3/6—Perseid (good to firm – good to soft – good)
1/8—Brother Scott (good)
6/17—Sendiym (5 x good & good to soft)
All place details offered on my pages relate to an 'exact science', whereby horses that finish third in 5/6/7 runner races (and other such scenarios) are not 'placed' regarding my statistics.
Trainers with their relevant number of runners (two or more) on the Sedgefield card on Tuesday – followed by their ratios at the track this season + profits/losses accrued:
5 runners—Brian Ellison (+2)
5—Dan Skelton (5/8 +9)
4—Iain Jardine (No previous runners this season)
3—Maurice Barnes (1/9 +17)
3—Sam England (1/5 – loss of 1 point)
3—Lisa Harrison (1/3 +14)
3—Donald McCain (5/14 +22)
3—Dianne Sayer (1/3 +3)
3—Sue Smith (1/5 – loss of 2 points)
3—Mike Sowersby (0/2)
2—Julia Brooke (0/1)
2—Barbara Butterworth (0/3)
2—Chris Grant (0/9)
2—Ben Haslam (2/6 +8)
2—Charlie Longsdon (No previous runners this season)
2—Neil Mulholland (2/6 – loss of 1 point)
2—Jamie Snowden (0/1)
2—Alistair Whillans (0/1)
+ 22 different trainers who each saddle just one runner on the card
73 declared runners
General overview - Corresponding Placepot dividends from last year:
Ayr: Meeting abandoned (those words have a familiar ring to them at Ayr)
Southwell (NH): £164.50 – 6 favourites – 4 winners & 2 unplaced
Kempton: £378.00 – 6 favourites – 2 winners & 4 unplaced