MARKET RASEN – FEBRUARY 6
Last year’s corresponding toteplacepot dividend:
2017: £10.10 (All six favourites won!)
Tuesday's Placepot permutation at Market Rasen:
Leg 1 (1.50): 1 (Oistrakh Le Noir) & 2 (Antunes)
Leg 2 (2.20): 3 (Flemerina) & 2 (Stoical Patient)
Leg 3 (2.55): 3 (Knight In Dubai), 4 (Burrows Edge) & 2 (Herewego Herewego)
Leg 4 (3.25): 6 (Generous Day), 7 (Future Security) & 2 (Board Of Trade)
Leg 5 (4.00): 1 (Just Minded), 4 (Phoeniciana), 3 (Minella Tweet) & 2 (Bigpipenotobacee)
Leg 6 (4.30): 1 (Sir Jack Yeats) & 6 (Warden Hill)
Suggested stake: 288 bets to 10p stakes
Overview for Tuesday - please scroll down to the bottom of the page
1.50: Ben Pauling saddled a 7/1 treble at Southwell yesterday via just four runners with Daryl Jacob aboard two of the short priced winners. The pair team up again with OISTRAKH LE NOIR and it will take a half decent newcomer to take full advantage of the six pound concession this afternoon following a good Ascot debut in this green and (mostly) pleasant land. Harry Skelton’s Nathanial colt ANTUNES looks set to follow the favourite home now that Sable Island has been withdrawn.
Favourite factor: The inaugural 4/5 market leader found the 5/4 second favourite too good (beaten by a short head), though the pair finished 17 lengths clear of the rest of the field when securing Placepot positions. Last year’s 1/4 market leader made up for the initial defeat.
2.20: Another trainer at the top of her form on Monday was Sue Smith whose two runners obliged on the Newcastle card, whereby FLEMERINA is the first name on the team sheet in the second race. STOICAL PATIENT has already registered three steeplechase victories though her sketchy jumping finally caught up with the Shantou mare the last day. Success at local tracks Plumpton and Fontwell for Gary Moore’s raider are were fairly easy to come by but the long trip north is another test entirely, as is the five pound concession to the selection.
Favourite factor: This is a new race on the Market Rasen card.
Course winner in the field:
2.55: It’s interesting to witness Barry Geraghty riding against a Nicky Henderson inmate here, with HEREWEGO HEREWEGO wearing the McManus silks for trainer Alan King. His Warwick victory suggests that Alan’s Kalanisi gelding deserves his place in the field, though in KNIGHT IN DUBAI and Nicky’s beaten favourite BURROWS EDGE, Barry could have his work cut out turning for home. It's worth noting that James Bowen (7/14) has won 50% of his mounts for Nicky Henderson thus far!
Favourite factor: Two of the three favourites thus far have snared Placepot positions, statistics which include last year’s successful 9/4 market leader.
Course winner in the third contest on the card:
1/1—Dans Le Vent (good to soft)
3.25: Course winner GENEROUS DAY won well when most of us weren’t looking in on Boxing Day and there is every chance that this longer trip will suit Henry Oliver’s Daylami gelding. That said, this in an intriguing contest with FUTURE SECURITY and BOARD OF TRADE also having been declared. The latter named pair (listed in order of preference) both have to overcome long breaks but if not too ring rusty, this duo could make the marginal selection pull out all the stops.
Favourite factor: In what seems to be a running theme on this card, two of the three market leaders have secured Placepot positions thus far. Last year’s frame was filled by horses returned at 15/8*, 11/2 & 13/2.
Course winner in the fourth event:
1/2—Generous Day (soft)
4.00: The non runner (Romulus Du Donjon) takes this event into ‘win only’ territory and I have little (if no) hesitation is offer all four horses into the Placepot mix, hoping that the horse with the least numbers of units wins the day. For the record, the quartet is listed in fractional order of preference as JUST MINDED, PHOENICIANA, MINELLA TWEET and BIGPIPENOTOBACEE.
Favourite factor: Two of the three market leaders secured Placepot positions by winning their respective events at 6/4 & 11/8. The other 11/8 favourite was beaten in a ‘win only’ contest.
Course winners in the fifth race:
1/2—Just Minded (soft)
4.30: With over two hundred rides under NH rules, James King is much the most experienced pilot here and that could make all the difference aboard SIR JACK YEATS when the whips are raised at the business end of the contest. Toby Lerone has been disappointing for some time now, whereby WARDEN HILL is preferred, possessing definite claims of following up his ‘between the flags’ victory last month.
Favourite factor: Both 4/9 and 4/6 market leaders have prevailed thus far.
Course winner in the Placepot finale:
1/1—Warden Hill (good)
All place details offered on my pages relate to an 'exact science', whereby horses that finish third in 5/6/7 runner races (and other such scenarios) are not 'placed' regarding my statistics.
Trainers with their relevant number of runners (two or more) on the Market Rasen card on Tuesday – followed by their ratios at the track this season (in brackets) and their five-year stats + profits/losses accrued on both counts:
4 runners—Dan Skelton (15/44 +30) – 36/128 +28
2—Mick Channon (0/1) – 4/14 +11
2—Paul Henderson (First runners at the track this season) – 2/7 +2
2—Alan King (5/12 +19) – 10/76 – loss of 18
2—Olly Murphy (4/15 +11) – 4/15 +11
2—Oliver Sherwood (0/2) – 5/26 – loss of 14
2—Sue Smith (1/12 – loss of 7) – 9/76 – loss of 42
2—Lucy Wadham (0/5) – 2/46 – loss of 40
+ 22 different trainers who each saddle just one runner on the card
40 declared runners
General overview - Corresponding Placepot dividends from last year:
Sedgefield: £49.90 – 6 favourites – 2 winners – 1 placed – 3 unplaced
Southwell: This is essentially a new meeting