SOUTHWELL (A/W) – MARCH 6
Last year’s corresponding toteplacepot dividend:
2017: £140.80 (6 favourites – No winners – 3 placed – 3 unplaced)
Tuesday's Placepot permutation at Southwell:
Leg 1 (2.20): 3 (Archimedes), 7 (Sir Hector) & 2 (Crosse Fire)
Leg 2 (2.50): 2 (Avocet) & 1 (Ochos Rios)
Leg 3 (3.20): 1 (Samtu), 6 (Katie Gale) & 3 (The Resdev Way)
Leg 4 (3.50): 5 (Napping) & 1 (Captain Bob)
Leg 5 (4.20): 8 (Zaeem), 1 (Mister Music) & 3 (Trading Punchers)
Leg 6 (4.50): 1 (Ertidaad) & 3 (Princess Way)
Suggested stake: 216 bets to 10p stakes
2.20: A dead eight puzzle for openers in a race which would take on a different dimension should a non runner rear its ugly head before flag fall. ARCHIMEDES looks the safest Placepot option in the dead of night, though the likes of SIR HECTOR and CROSSSE FIRE should not be far away when the jockeys start raising their whips in earnest.
Favourite factor: This is a new race with which to start proceedings.
Record of the course winners in the opening event:
2.50: Hat trick seeker AVOCET should take the beating here on all known form, with OCHOS RIOS fancied ahead of Lean On Pete at the prices on offer this morning. AVOCET scored at the first time of asking on Fibresand the last day and there seems little reason to desert Olly Murphy’s five-year-old mare who has shown sparkling form of late.
Favourite factor: Four clear market leaders have won during the last decade alongside a successful joint favourite.
Record of the course winners in the second race:
2/16—Lean On Pete
1/8—Go On Gal
3.20: SAMTU has won this race on both occasions when declared (2017/2015) and trainer Marjorie Fife is sure to have her seven-year-old Teofilo gelding ready to run for his life again and given the standard of opposition, I am taking ‘Sam’ to land the treble. I was made to pay for opposing Cousin Khee the other day though I have (evidently) not learned my lesson as I am siding with KATIE GALE and THE RESDEV WAY as the main dangers to the selection.
Favourite factor: Four of the seven favourites (via six renewals) have secured Placepot positions though from a win perspective, just one (5/2) ‘jolly’ has prevailed.
Record of the course winners in the third contest on the card:
3.50: Like Avocet earlier on the card, Olly Murphy looks to have placed NAPPING to potentially winning effect and I can only muster up enough energy to suggest that CAPTAIN BOB is the one for forecast players. I’m fully expecting this pair to fight out the finish a few lengths clear of today’s rivals, the pick of which might prove to be Coiste Bodhar.
Favourite factor: This is another new race on the Southwell programme.
Record of the course winner in the field:
4.20: ZAEEM finished six lengths behind MISTER MUSIC the last day but is far better off in the weights this time around as nine pounds for a six length defeat (even allowing for the jockey claim) is enough to being the pair together from my viewpoint. The fact that you can obtain twice the price for the selection over the other horse does not make a great deal of sense, even though I take the 2/2 record by Mister Music at the track into account. Zaeem’s record (see below) is none too shabby either. The additional furlong compared to when the pair last met should suit both horses who have won plenty of races over the longer trip between them. TRADING PUNCHES is added into the Placepot equation in case the form of the afore-mentioned Fibresand event breaks down.
Record of the course winners in the penultimate leg:
2/15—Boots And Spurs
4.50: I’m hoping that PRINCESS WAY emerges as the main threat to ERTIDAAD as Suzi Best’s latter name raider going in search of a hat trick with the stable in fabulous form just now. 43 points of level stake profit has emerged from Suzi’s four recent winners via her last eleven runners and her Kodiac gelding should take the beating again, whilst his Placepot chance is there for all to see.
Favourite factor: The third of the new events on the Southwell programme.
Record of the course winners in the Placepot finale:
All place details offered on my pages relate to an 'exact science', whereby horses that finish third in 5/6/7 runner races (and other such scenarios) are not 'placed' regarding my statistics.
Trainers with their relevant number of runners (two or more) on the Southwell card on Tuesday – followed by their ratios at the track this season and then their five year figures + profits/losses accrued on both fronts:
5 runners—Scott Dixon (4/41 +10) – 46/475 +39
4—Michael Appleby (6/56 – loss of 32 points) – 103/657 – loss of 176
4—Phil Kirby (2/15 +2) – 8/53 – loss of 14)
3—David C Griffiths (6/22 +5) – 13/95 – loss of 15
2—David Brown (2/13 – loss of 4) – 14/59 – loss of 2
2—Michael Chapman (0/9) – 2/18 – loss of 8
2—Michael Easterby (1/8 +9) – 5/94 – loss of 50
2—David Evans (1/17 +9) – 28/192 +6
2—Julia Feilden (1/9 – level profit/loss this season) – 11/91 – loss of 14
2—Ivan Furtado (4/12 +23) – 10/66 – loss of 2
2—Olly Murphy (1/1 +3) – 1/1 +3
2—Derek Shaw (2/15 loss of 8) – 32/229 +49
+ 26 different trainers who each saddle just one runner on the card
58 declared runners