EXETER – MARCH 8
Last year’s corresponding toteplacepot dividend:
2015: £597.10 (6 favourites: 1 winners--1 placed--4 unplaced)
Average Placepot dividend (all codes) in 2016 (calendar year): £611.54
Average NH Placepot dividend in 2016: £878.52
Average Exeter Placepot dividend in 2016: £388.50 (3 meetings)
Tuesday’s Placepot permutation at Exeter:
Leg 1 (2.00): 7 (Still Together) & 8 (Fort Carson)
Leg 2 (2.30): 6 (Sidbury Hill), 1 (Dancing Shadow) & 4 (Epic Warrior)
Leg 3 (3.05): 2 (Kap Jazz), 10 (Precvious Ground) & 3 (Knight Of the Realm)
Leg 4 (3.40): 1 (Whataknight) & 2 (You Say What)
Leg 5 (4.10): 5 (The Mumper) & 6 (Bears Rails)
Leg 6 (4.40): 1 (Rene’s Girl) & 3 (Eardisdland)
Suggested stake: 144 bets to 20p stakes
2.00: Six-year-olds have the best record in this contest, having secured four of the ten available Placepot positions whilst winning two of the four events at 8/1 & 4/1. David Pipe boasts stats of 5/17 in March at the time of writing, with David having declared the only six-year-old runner in the contest, namely STILL TOGETHER. Neil King also has his team in good form whereby the chance of FORT CARSON is respected alongside BLADOUN, the other David Pipe runner in the race.
Favourite factor: Only one of the four market leaders has secured a toteplacepot position (winner of the relevant contest) thus far.
Exeter record of course winners in the opening event:
2/6--Thundering Home (C&D)
2.35: Seven-year-olds lead the eight-year-olds 6-4 via the 14 available toteplacepot/each way positions to date, though it is the older raiders who lead 3-1 from a win perspective. SIDBURY HILL is the lone eight-year-old in the line-up this time around, whilst the pick of the four seven-year-olds should prove to be DANCING SHADOW and EPIC WARRIOR.
Favourite factor: Three of the six market leaders (two gold and one silver medallist) have secured toteplacepot positions to date.
3.05: Venetia Williams (KAP JAZZ) is the only represented trainer to have saddled winners (four in total) during the last fortnight at the time of writing, whilst aggregate stats via the other eight handler amount to 0/25. KAP JAZZ has snared a medal of each colour via nine assignments to date, with connections probably having most to fear from the two C/D winners in the field, namely PRECIOUS GROUND and KNIGHT OFTHE REALM. Both horses offer each way alternative options to the marginal selection KAP JAZZ.
Favourite factor: This is the first of three new races on the Exeter card.
Exeter record of course winners in the third race:
1/2--Knight ofthe Realm (C&D winner)
1/7--Precious Ground (C&D winner)
3.40: All seven winners have scored at odds of 5/1 or less and the likes of WHATAKNIGHT and YOU SAY WHAT should continue the trend between them. Both horses have 'trends' on their respective sides, with WHATAKNIGHT representing Harry Fry who has won with five of his last ten runners, whilst YOU SAT WHAT is a course and distance winner from just the one assignment at Haldon thus far. The fact that Neil King (stats of 2/3 here this season) trains YOU SAY WHAT adds interest to his declaration.
Favourite factor: Five of the eight favourites to date have secured toteplacepot positions, statistics which include three of the last four winners.
Exeter record of course winners in the fourth contest:
1/1--You Say What (C&D winner)
4.10: I sided with THE MUMPER when Alan King's raider justified 6/4 favouritism at Market Rasen last time out, though the silver medallist that day let the form down next time out. Wayne Hutchinson's mount has secured four Placepot positions via six steeplechase assignments thus far and that should the minimum expectation for connections on Tuesday, especially as THE MUMPER was 'only' raised five pounds for the recent seven length success under similar conditions to those forecast at Exeter. Others to consider include BEARS RAILS and KINGS CROSS.
Favourite factor: Another new race on the Exeter programme.
Exeter record of course winners in the fifth event:
2/7--Tolkeins Tango (C&D winner)
4.40: Although Dan Skelton has been securing plenty of winners of late, it's worth noting that Dan saddled seven beaten favourites between the 4th and the 6th March, whereby taking too short a price about RENE'S GIRL could prove dangerous, albeit his Presenting mare looks to have an obvious chance. EARDISLAND is the likeliest danger, especially as Philip Hobbs saddles just the one runner on the card. Philip boasts stats of 8/23 in hurdle events at Exeter this season.
Favourite factor: The toteplacepot finale is the last of the new races on Tuesday.
All place details offered on my pages relate to an 'exact science', whereby horses that finish third in 5/6/7 runner races (and other such scenarios) are not placed regarding my statistics.
Trainers with their relevant number of runners on the Exeter card on Tuesday:
3--Vic Dartnall (Exeter stats this season: 0/10)
3--Nigel Hawke (0/8)
3--David Pipe (1/24)
3--Colin Tizzard (2/21)
2--Kim Bailey (0/5)
2--Ben Case (0/2)
2--Rebecca Curtis (1/4)
2--Neil King (2/3)
2--Neil Mulholland (1/12)
2--Robert Stephens (0/3)
2--Venetia Williams (5/15)
+ 21 different trainers who each saddle just one runner on the card
47 declared runners