PONTEFRACT – APRIL 11
Last year’s corresponding toteplacepot dividend:
2016: £505.90 (7 favourites – 1 winner – 1 placed – 5 unplaced)
Tuesday's Placepot permutation at Pontefract:
Leg 1 (2.10): 10 (All You), 4 (Sunnua) & 6 (Billy Roberts)
Leg 2 (2.40): 2 (Above Normal) & 1 (Asana Sana)
Leg 3 (3.10): 8 (Hemingway) & 1 (Brian The Snail)
Leg 4 (3.40): 8 (La Fritillaire), 1 (Medicine Hat) & 4 (Gran Paradiso)
Leg 5 (4.10): 11 (Imshivallah), 12 (Bahama Moon) & 9 (Final)
Leg 6 (4.40): 2 (Always Thankful) & 3 (Chicago Star)
Suggested stake: 216 bets to 10p stakes
Overview for Tuesday - please scroll down to the bottom of the page
2.10: David O’Meara will want to eradicate his poor 0/28 at the track last year and what better way to do that than to win the opening race of the season with ALL YOU, who won on debut last year. ALL YOU will hopefully get the better of SUNNUA and BILLY ROBERTS at the business end of proceedings. The latter named pair represent the four-year-old vintage which has won both renewals, whilst claiming three of the six available Placepot positions thus far. That said, ALL YOU appears to have the call via the form book.
Favourite factor: Two of the three favourites have secured Placepot positions via two renewals, statistics which include one 9/4 winners from a win perspective.
Pontefract record of course winners in the opening event:
2/6—Trinity Star (good & good to firm)
2.40: For as long as I can recall a race on this card has been named after Luca Cumani’s Derby winner High Rise who won on his three-year-old debut here at Pontefract. Next year will witness the 30th anniversary of his great Epsom success. ASANA SANTA ran well enough on debut at Lingfield to suggest that a victory would not take too long to achieve, though the declaration of ABOVE NORMAL might thwart the John Gosden raider this time around. Saeed Bin Suroor’s newcomer hails from a yard which has saddled six of their last eleven runners to winning effect. A spokesperson for the yard this time last year intimated that ABOVE NORMAL might be exactly as the name implies, stating that this “a real stamp of a horse”.
Favourite factor: This is a new race on the Pontefract card.
3.10: 11 of the 18 horses to have finished in the frame to date have carried a maximum burden of nine stones, statistics which include five of the six winners at 10/1-9/1-4/1-4/1***-11/4. HEMINGWAY (surely called ‘Ernie’ back at the ranch) boasts an unbeaten ratio here whereby Kevin Ryan’s raider is the first name on the team sheet. BRIAN THE SNAIL is the only non-qualifier on this occasion though having also won his only race to date at the venue, Richard Fahey’s representative could add to Richard’s recent tally if ‘Ernie’ is not on top form.
Favourite factor: Six of the nine favourites have secured toteplacepot positions via six renewals thus far, with one of the 4/1 co favourites being the first favourite to oblige two years ago. That was followed by last year’s successful 7/2 market leader.
Pontefract record of course winners in the third race:
1/1—Brian The Snail (good to firm)
1/1—Hemingway (good to firm)
3.40: The type of staying event at Pontefract which seems to haunt every meeting at one of the most underrated tracks in the land in my humble opinion. LA FRITILLAIRE strikes yours truly as the type of younger horse that might be ‘more willing’ than some of the other runners here who have completed tens of circuits of Pontefract Park between them down the years. James Given saddled a couple of winners at the venue last year (+10 LSP) and the trainer can make a great start to the year ‘oop north’. Connections might have most to fear from MEDICINE HAT and GRAN PARADISO this time around.
Favourite factor: Nine of the 12 market leaders have secured toteplacepot positions, statistics which include three winners at 5/2-5/2-2/1 within the last seven years.
Pontefract record of course winners in the fourth contest:
1/1—Medicine Hat (good)
2/26—Riptide (good & good to firm)
1/2—La Fritillaire (good to soft)
1/13—Tuscan Gold (good to firm)
2/16—Madam Lilibet (soft & heavy)
4.10: Horses carrying weights of 9-1 or less have secured 20 of the last 27 available toteplacepot positions to date, stats which include seven winners at odds of 20/1-16/1-9/1-9/1-9/2-4/1-9/4. IMSHIVALLAH jumps of the page via the 10 qualifiers, especially as Paul Hanagan’s mount has won on all three visits to the track. Ground conditions should be ideal too, whereby IMSHIVALLAH looks to be one of the better bets on the card. Other potential winners include dual good ground winner FINAL and course and distance winner BAHAMA MOON.
Favourite factor: Five of the ten favourites have claimed toteplacepot positions, statistics which include two (9/2 & 9/4) winners.
Pontefract record of course winners in the fifth race:
1/2—Empress Ali (soft)
3/3—Imshivallah (2 x good to firm & good)
1/1—Bahama Moon (soft)
4.40: Four of the last six favourites have won this toteplacepot finale with the other two winners during the period scoring at 15/8 and 3/1. Ismail Mohammed wins with his fair share of favourites and there is every chance that his Showcasing filly ALWAYS THANKFUL will be well to the fore in both the market and subsequently in the Placepot finale. CHICAGO STAR is the main threat from what we have witnessed thus far, whilst Suited looks a tad overpriced at 14/1 in the trade press, given his fourth placed debut when beaten less than five lengths.
Favourite factor: Nine of the eighteen favourites have troubled the judge (seven winners) via seventeen renewals.
All place details offered on my pages relate to an 'exact science', whereby horses that finish third in 5/6/7 runner races (and other such scenarios) are not 'placed' regarding my statistics.
Trainers with their relevant number of runners on the Pontefract card on Tuesday – followed by their five year ratio at the track + profits/losses accrued:
6 runners – Tim Easterby (3/36 – loss of 5 points)
6—Richard Fahey (11/64 – Profit of 7 points)
5—Karl Burke (1/21 – loss of 12 points)
4—Michael Dods (1/31 – loss of 25 points)
4—Micky Hammond (0/31)
3—Michael Appleby (2/22 – loss of 1 point)
3—Mick Easterby (1/22 – loss of 7 points)
3—Brian Ellison (1/18 – loss of 9 points)
3—James Given (2/12 – Profit of 10 points)
3—Mark Johnston (12/42 (loss of 1 point)
3—Kevin Ryan (5/33 – Slight profit)
2—David Barron (2/14 – loss of 6 points)
2—Ruth Carr (2/16 – Profit of 5 points)
2—Mick Channon (3/13 – Slight profit)
2—Tom Dascombe (0/10)
2—Ann Duffield (1/15 – loss of 7 points)
2—Roger Fell (0/2)
2—Richard Guest (3/17 – Profit of 16 points)
2—Stuart Kittow (0/1)
2—John Quinn (3/21 – loss of 6 points)
2—Tom Tate (2/7 – Profit of 9 points)
2—Mark Walford (0/6)
2—Sharon Watt (0/9)
+ 30 different trainers who each saddle just one runner on the card
97 declared runners
General overview - Corresponding Placepot dividends from last year:
Exeter: £111.30 – 8 favourites – 2 winners – 4 placed – 2 unplaced