KEMPTON – APRIL 4
No corresponding meeting last year:
Tuesday's Placepot permutation at Kempton:
Leg 1 (2.00): 5 (Burning Heat) & 4 (Argyle)
Leg 2 (2.30): 1 (Bivouac) & 3 (Laurium)
Leg 3 (3.05): 3 (Jaisalmer) & 6 (Wealth Des Mottes)
Leg 4 (3.40): 1 (Bugsie Malone), 2 (Wilberdragon) & 5 (Broncho Billy)
Leg 5 (4.10): 4 (Timeforwest), 3 (Milan Express) & 2 (Thegirlfrommilan)
Leg 6 (4.45): 3 (Sergio), 4 (Landscape) & 1 (Jebs gamble)
Suggested stake: 216 bets to 10p stakes
Overview for Tuesday - please scroll down to the bottom of the page
2.00: High on numbers but extremely short on potential winners, MAN FROM MARS is the most likely horse to fish out of the pond from a Placepot perspective, though as a beaten novice in all six assignments to date, the 5/4 quote does not make attracting reading from my viewpoint. I successfully warned against taking a short price about the projected favourite yesterday in a similar contest and this time around, better value for money can be found by looking at the chances of BURNING HEAT and ARGYLE according to the gospel of yours truly.
Favourite factor: There is no history attached to this meeting.
2.30: I did not get the chance to look at the Newton Abbot card before it was abandoned but it’s logical to believe that Paul Nicholls would have been denied plenty of opportunities to home in on Nicky Henderson’s lead at the of the trainers championship. Both trainers are represented here, with Nicky holding the whip hand via BIVOUAC and LAURIUM, with Paul saddling FAVORITO BUCK’S. If Newton Abbot is one Paul’s ‘stamping grounds’, Nicky is very much the main man at this venue, with over twice as many winners saddled than Paul from around the same number of runners in recent years.
Record of the course winner in the second race:
3.05: This race offers Paul a definite chance of ‘biting’ back with the champion trainer having declared WEALTH DES MOTTES. JAISALMER is another alternative option again the projected odds on favourite LASER LIGHT who fails to represent value for money from my viewpoint.
3.40: BUGSIE MALONE defends an unbeaten record at the track (albeit via the one assignment) and though I would not back Chris Gordon’s representative with your money, alternative options are in short supply. WILBERDRAGON and BRONCHO BILLY are others to consider over your morning brunch. The first named option represents the Charlie Longsdon/Richard Johnson bandwagon which invariably offer investors a decent run for their money, whilst Broncho Billy hails from Jonjo’s yard which targets this important week to winning effect year on year.
Record of the course winners in the fourth event:
1/1—Bugsie Malone (good)
1/11—Cloudy Bob (good)
4.10: Talking of Jonjo O’Neill, TIMEFORWEST is a more obvious winner on the Kempton card with connections probably having most to fear from MILAN EXPRESS and possibly THE GIRLFROM MILAN. Jonjo’s raider is one of the best potential mares the trainer has had in his ranks in recent seasons and her hat trick is very much on the cards in this grade/company.
4.45: SERGIO, LANDSCAPE and JEBS GAMBLE should secured the Placepot dividend for us if we make it through to the last leg of our favourite wager. We landed the Kelso ‘pot yesterday and providing a couple of the shorter priced runners finish out of the money today, more profit can be secured.
All place details offered on my pages relate to an 'exact science', whereby horses that finish third in 5/6/7 runner races (and other such scenarios) are not 'placed' regarding my statistics.
Trainers with their relevant number of runners on the Kempton card on Tuesday:
4 runners—Robin Dickin
+ 27 different trainers who each saddle just one runner on the card
63 declared runners
General overview - Corresponding Placepot dividends from last year:
Southwell (A/W) - £22.30 – 6 favourites – 2 winners – 2 placed – 2 unplaced