PONTEFRACT – APRIL 5
Last year’s corresponding toteplacepot dividend:
2015: £249.90 (9 favourites: 2 winners - 3 placed - 4 unplaced)
Tuesday's Placepot permutation at Pontefract:
Leg 1 (2.00): 2 (Tafahom), 4 (Lopes Dancer) & 10 (Mops Angel)
Leg 2 (2.35): 3 (Four Mile Beach) & 1 (Brorocco)
Leg 3 (3.10): 3 (Haley Bop), 9 (Ancient Astronaut) & 8 (Stamp Hill)
Leg 4 (3.45): 10 (Roc De Prince), 8 (Surprise Vendor) & 5 (Almost Gemini)
Leg 5 (4.20): 8 (Invictus) & 10 (Energia Flavius)
Leg 6 (4.55): 1 (Canford Lilli) & 8 (Shahaama)
Suggested stake: 216 bets to 10p stakes
2.00: Four and five-year-olds have (equally) shared eight of the ten contests thus far. Horses carrying weights of 8-10 or less have claimed 14 of the 29 available toteplacepot positions to date (including winners at 20/1-16/1-11/1-10/1) whereby the bottom two horses in the handicap should not be entirely overlooked. The pick of the pair will hopefully prove to MOPS ANGEL who won on his only previous start here at Pontefract this month three years ago. TAFAHOM represents Mick Easterby who did well with his runners at Pontefract last year (see stats below), whilst LOPES DANCER has finished in front of 23 rivals via just five assignments to date with just 13 beating Alan Swinbank's raider home.
Favourite factor: Six of the 12 market leaders have secured toteplacepot positions to date (three winners) via ten renewals.
Pontefract record of course winners in the opening event:
2.35: How can be it 18 years since High Rise won the Epsom Derby, whose name is honoured in this event? Libertarian (three years ago) ran second in the 'Blue Riband' having won this event, though I very much doubt we have a representative here capable of making the frame at Epsom two months hence. Mark Johnston has his team in fine fettle whereby FOUR MILE BEACH might be up to winning the contest, with connections probably having most to fear from the likes of BROROCCO and (possibly) FOLLY BERGERE. Sir Michael Stoute saddled one of the beaten odds on chances in this event (see favourite stats below) whereby Michael's entry Du Moto is overlooked, especially as the Newmarket raider will not offer value for money in all probability.
Favourite factor: Two of the three favourites have finished in the frame to date, stats which include one (15/8) winner. The two beaten favourites were odds on chances at 10/11 and 4/6, races which were won by two outsiders at 100/1 & 22/1.
3.10: Ten of the 15 horses to have finished in the frame to date have carried a maximum burden of nine stones, statistics which include all five winners at 10/1-9/1-4/1-4/1***-11/4 and the pick of this year’s 'dead eight qualifiers’ might prove to be HALEY BOP, STAMP HILL and ANCIENT ASTRONAUT. All three horses mentioned in dispatches have won under soft conditions, and the latter named raider is unexposed to say the least, albeit I marginally prefer HALEY BOP.
Favourite factor: Five of the eight favourites have secured toteplacepot positions via five renewals thus far, with one of the 4/1 co favourites being the first favourite to oblige twelve months ago.
3.45: The type of staying event at Pontefract which seems to haunt every meeting at one of the most underrated tracks in the land in my humble opinion. SURPRISE VENDOR has won the last two renewals of this event and it is impossible to leave Stuart Coltherd's raider out of the equation, particularly as the yard have been among the winners of late. Dual purpose raider ROC DE PRINCE will appreciate conditions and Joe Fanning's mount is the each way alternative option from my viewpoint ahead of Ken Slack's 'dark horse' ALMOST GEMINI, who was given a spin over timber a few weeks ago. Two and a half years have slipped by since the Dylan Thomas representative contested a flat race and Ken must be given credit for finding a race that the seven-year-old could win on his best form.
Favourite factor: Nine of the 11 market leaders have secured toteplacepot positions, statistics which include three winners at 5/2-5/2-2/1 within the last six years.
Pontefract record of course winners in the fourth contest:
4.20: INVICTUS, SILVERY MOON and ENERGIA FLAVIO are short listed for the penultimate toteplacepot event on the card for the following reason. Horses carrying weights of 9-1 or less have secured 18 of the last 24 available toteplacepot positions to date, stats which include seven winners at odds of 20/1-16/1-9/1-9/1-9/2-4/1-9/4. All three of the afore mentioned horses are among five ‘qualifiers’ this time around, the overnight reserve nomination being awarded to MASTER OF FINANCE. Richard Fahey has saddled three of the last seven winners and the trainer saddles ENERGIA FLAVIO this time around. MASTER OF FINANCE is another runner on the card defending his crown in this contest, though Mark Johnston's raider sits two pounds above the superior weight barrier on this occasion.
Favourite factor: Five of the nine favourites have claimed toteplacepot positions, statistics which include two (9/2 & 9/4) winners.
Pontefract record of course winners in the fifth race:
1/2--Master Of Finance
4.55: Four of the last five favourites have won this toteplacepot finale and I would not be at all surprised if CANFORD LILLI went close in this grade/company, especially as two of Eve Johnson-Houghton's last three runners have won. MAKE MUSIC might offer most resistance, whilst SHAHAAMA completes my trio against the other seven contenders. The latter named Showcasing representative is trained by Mick Channon who can do little wrong just now (six of his last thirteen runners had won at the time of writing), whereby the newcomer has to enter the overnight mix.
Favourite factor: Nine of the seventeen favourites have troubled the judge (seven winners) via sixteen renewals.
All place details offered on my pages relate to an 'exact science', whereby horses that finish third in 5/6/7 runner races (and other such scenarios) are not 'placed' regarding my statistics.
Trainers with their relevant number of runners on the Pontefract card on Tuesday:
5--Micky Hammond (3/39 at Pontefract last season)
4--Tim Easterby (5/34)
4--Mark Johnston (4/34)
4--David O'Meara (3/35)
3--Andrew Balding (0/1)
3--Karl Burke (3/14)
3--Mick Easterby (5/15)
3--Richard Fahey (12/54)
3--Jedd O'Keeffe (2/13)
3--John Quinn (1/14)
3--Kevin Ryan (2/27)
2--Michael Appleby (0/13)
2--Keith Dalgleish (1/10)
2--Tom Dascombe (2/14)
2--James Eustace (2/5)
2--Richard Guest (1/17)
2--Sharon Watt (0/6)
+ 25 different trainers who each saddle just one runner on the card
75 declared runners