EXETER – JANUARY 17
Last year’s corresponding toteplacepot dividend:
Tuesday's Placepot permutation at Exeter:
Leg 1 (1.00): 9 (Ridgeway Flyer) & 7 (Mr Clarkson)
Leg 2 (1.30): 10 (Admiral Blake), 4 (Pink Gin) & 14 (Karl Marx)
Leg 3 (2.05): 2 (New Vennture), 4 (Martha McCandles) & 6 (Chance Taken)
Leg 4 (2.40): 7 (Last Shot), 11 (Leg Lock Luke) & 9 (Winston Churchill)
Leg 5 (3.15): 5 (Obistar), 7 (Bacchanel) & 2 (Bramble Brook)
Leg 6 (3.50): 3 (Casper King) & 4 (Contre Tous)
Suggested stake: 324 bets to 10p stakes
Overview for Tuesday - please scroll down to the bottom of the page
1.00: If the ground dries out a little overnight, RIDGEWAY FLYER could be yet another Exeter winner for Harry Fry who boasts such a great record at the venue. Harry offers a 40% strike rate via 22 winners which takes some doing, especially when one of the top trainers in the country boasts 52 points of level stake profits alongside. If Harry is to be denied in the opening contest, the recent course winner MR CLARKSON is likely to be the joker in the pack, especially if the ground remains well on the soft side.
Favourite factor: The two market leaders have snared gold and silver medals thus far, the beaten favourite having done down by a short head.
Record of the course winner in the opening event:
1/1—Mr Clarkson (soft)
1.30: Four of the 13 runners saddled by Nigel Twiston-Davies have been greet by the trainer in the area reserved for winners whereby the chance of PINK GIN is respected, albeit more likely winners of this contest include ADMIRAL BLAKE and (arguably) course winner KARL MARX who has a decent enough each way record over timber, despite preferring faster ground.
Favourite factor: One of the two inaugural 5/1 joint favourites snared a Placepot position via a silver medal.
Record of the course winners in the second race:
1/5—Admiral Blake (soft)
2/9—Karl Marx (good & good to firm)
2.05: Harry Fry’s other runner on the card is NEW VENNTURE who like MARTHA MCCANDLES, deserves another chance from a Placepot perspective. Alan King’s Tobougg mare is added to the overnight mix, with CHANCE TAKEN completing my trio against the other six contenders.
Favourite factor: The inaugural 15/8 marker leader was beaten a length in the only renewal back in 2015.
Record of the course winner in the third contest ion the card:
Bobble Boru (heavy)
2.40: LAST SHOT enters my ‘last chance saloon’ from an each way/Placepot perspective, especially now that the official assessor has dropped the Venetia Williams raider three spots since the last day. There is no denying however that the ten-year-old has been frustrating of late though with Charlie Deutsch taking advantage of his five pound claim, surely LAST SHOT can reward each way investors this time around. From a win perspective, LEG LOCK LUKE and WINSTON CHURCHILL make some appeal.
Record of the course winner in the fourth event:
2/8—Tolkeins Tango (good & soft)
1/2—Headly’s Bridge (heavy)
1/4—Only Gorgeous (soft)
1/2—Last Shot (good to soft)
1/6—Ray Diamond (good to soft)
3.15: I’m pleased that I landed a half decent dividend at Plumpton on Monday to help fund the Exeter permutation as this pot might take some winning. David Pipe saddled the ‘paper favourite’ in the opening event on the card, the trainer having another half decent chance here with OBISTAR. Connections might have most to fear from the likes of BACCHANEL and BRAMBLE BROOK.
Favourite factor: This is a new race on the Exeter card
Favourite factor: This is another new race on the Exeter programme.
3.50: CASPER KING and CONTRE TOUS should dominate the finale on all known form though by the time this event is contested, any further rain could make the ground bad enough for a bookmaker’s result to ensue.
Favourite factor: The Placepot finale is the second division of the opening race on the card whereby the same stats apply; the two market leaders have snared gold and silver medals thus far, the beaten favourite having done down by a short head.
All place details offered on my pages relate to an 'exact science', whereby horses that finish third in 5/6/7 runner races (and other such scenarios) are not 'placed' regarding my statistics.
Trainers with their relevant number of runners on the Exeter card on Tuesday – followed by their five year ratio at the track + profits/losses accrued:
4 runners—Jimmy Frost (2/83 – loss of 63 points)
4—Philip Hobbs (40/211 – loss of 57 points)
4—David Pipe (28/181 – loss of 36 points)
3—Vic Dartnall (2/99 – loss of 34 points)
3—Nigel Twiston-Davies (2/46 – loss of 24 points)
3—Venetia Williams (16/80 – Profit of 24 points)
2—Alexandra Dunn (2/30 – Profit of 13 points)
2—Harry Fry (22/55 – Profit of 52 points)
2—Sue Gardner (14/115 – Profit of 4 points)
2—Mark Gillard (4/52 - loss of 29 points)
2—Nick Mitchell (0/24)
2—Neil Mulholland (3/56 – loss of 43 points)
2—Dr Jeremy Naynor (0/4)
2—Helen Nelmes (2/27 – Profit of 1 point)
2—Jackie Du Plessis (5/53 – loss of 15 points)
2—Katy Price (1/7 – loss of 3 points)
2—Jeremy Scott (7/121 – loss of 72 points)
2—Fiona Shaw (1/5 – Profit of 29 points)
2—Colin Tizzard (23/144 – loss of 35 points)
2—Richard Woollacott (4/70 – loss of 45 points)
2—Laura Young (1/48 – loss of 41 points)
+ 32 different trainers who each saddle just one runner on the card
83 declared runners
General overview - Corresponding Placepot dividends from last year:
Ayr: £17.20 – 6 favourites – 2 winners – 3 placed – 1 unplaced
Kempton: £50.20 – 6 favourites – 3 winners & 3 placed