LEICESTER – JANUARY 24
Latest corresponding toteplacepot dividend:
2016: £39.60 (9 favourites - 5 winners - 1 placed - 3 unplaced)
Tuesday's Placepot permutation at Leicester:
Leg 1 (1.20): 1 (Sister Sybil), 4 (Little Acord) & 5 (Llantara)
Leg 2 (1.50): 7 (Fly Home Harry), 5 (Arquebusier) & 6 (Crown Hill)
Leg 3 (2.20): 7 (Tagrita), 1 (Desert Queen) & 5 (La Vaticane)
Leg 4 (2.50): 1 (Ballyarthur) & 3 (Midnight Merlot)
Leg 5 (3.20): 1 (A Hare Breath) & 4 (Romain De Senam)
Leg 6 (3.50): 5 (Dormouse) & 7 (Nebula Storm)
Suggested stake: 216 bets to 10p stakes
Overview for Tuesday - please scroll down to the bottom of the page
1.20: Six-year-olds have won four of the five renewals thus far, with vintage representatives on offer at 5/4 before the form book is consulted. My preferred trio (listed in order of preference) at the overnight stage is SISTER SYBIL, LITTLE ACORD and LLANTARA.
Favourite factor: The five favourites have secured one gold and two silver medals alongside toteplacepot positions, with search parties still out looking for the other (8/15 & 4/6) market leaders.
1.50: All five winners have carried 11-3 to date, stats which eliminate the bottom two horses in the handicap. It’s a little surprising to find hat trick seeker FLY HOME HARRY fitted with ‘first time pieces’ following two victories but if Alan Swinbank believes this will lead to further improvement, Paul Moloney’s mount would have to go close in this grade/company. Course winner ARQUEBUSIER is also short listed alongside CROWN HILL.
Favourite factor: Five of the eight favourites have finished in the frame (exact science), statistics which include one winner.
Course winners in the second race:
2/3—Global Dream (2 x heavy)
1/2—Midnight Jade (good)
2.20: Paul Nicholls has been experiencing his quietest time of the season, though his 3/5 ratio here at Leicester during the last five years suggests that TAGRITA will be there or thereabouts. DESERT QUEEN and LA VATICANE are feared most.
Favourite factor: This is a new race on the Leicester card
Course winners in the third event:
1/2—Kassis (good to soft)
2.50: Five-year-olds have won the last three events when represented, though only Noel Williams (MIDNIGHT MERLOT) is wise to the ‘edge’ on this occasion. We don’t know a great deal about Ian Popham’s mount but let’s be honest, Noel could hardly have found a better race with which to test his Midnight Legend gelding again. That said, beaten favourite BALLYARTHUR is surely worth another try in a race which will not take a great deal of winning.
Favourite factor: The seven contests thus far have produced a top priced scorer of 9/1, though just two market leaders have prevailed. Four of the seven favourites have claimed Placepot positions.
3.20: Although both horses figure well down the pecking order on their respective yards, A HARE BREATH (Ben Pauling) and ROMAIN DE SENAM (Paul Nicholls) appear to have this event between them in a less than intriguing ‘win only’ event. Ben’s recent soft ground winner might just improve again now that confidence has been restored by another success.
Favourite factor: Three of the four favourites have won their respective events at 1/2, 4/6 & 8/11, though the other 11/10 market leader finished last of four in a 'win only' contest.
3.50: The 12 represented trainers ‘boast’ aggregate recent stats of 1/50 between them which makes this Placepot finale a difficult race to assess. By his high standards, Richard Johnston is due to ride a winner for Anabel Murphy after three rides for the trainer and course winner DORMOUSE could provide that elusive victory. NEBULA STORM has to be considered, especially with three pound claimer Harry Cobden in the plate.
Favourite factor: Two of the three 4/1 co favourites snared Placepot positions in the inaugural contest twelve months ago, stats which included the winner of the contest.
Course winners in the Placepot finale:
1/3—Trapper Peak (good to soft)
All place details offered on my pages relate to an 'exact science', whereby horses that finish third in 5/6/7 runner races (and other such scenarios) are not 'placed' regarding my statistics.
Trainers with their relevant number of runners on the Leicester card on Tuesday – followed by their five year ratio at the track + profits/losses accrued:
3 runners—Fergal O’Brien (1/6 – Profit of 5 points)
2—Tony Carroll (4/62 – loss of 32 points)
2—Conor Dore (0/3)
2—James Evans (0/4)
2—Nikki Evans (0/1)
2—Harry Fry (0/2)
2—Warren Greatrex (0/6)
2—Barry Leavy (1/13 – loss of 1 point)
2—Donald McCain (3/22 – loss of 1 point)
2—Gary Moore (2/13 - level)
2—Anabel K Murphy (0/4)
2—Paul Nicholls (3/5 – Profit of 2 points)
2—Ben Pauling (1/11 – loss of 5 points)
2—Oliver Sherwood (3/14 – loss of 6 points)
2—Jamie Snowden (1/9 – loss of 3 points)
2—Nigel Twiston-Davies (17/71 – Profit of 17 points)
+ 31 different trainers who each saddle just one runner on the card
64 declared runners
General overview - Corresponding Placepot dividends from last year:
Wetherby: £1,028.00 – 6 favourites – 2 winners – 1 placed – 3 unplaced
Southwell: £1.605.80 – 8 favourites – No winners – 1 placed – 7 unplaced