WOLVERHAMPTON – JANUARY 31
Last year’s corresponding toteplacepot dividend:
2016: £26.10 (6 favourites – 3 winners – 2 placed – 1 unplaced)
Tuesday's Placepot permutation at Wolverhampton:
Leg 1 (2.10): 4 (Autumn Tonic), 7 (Pillar) & 8 (Castlerea Tess)
Leg 2 (2.45): 4 (Oor Jock), 2 (Pushkin Museum) & 1 (Lightsome)
Leg 3 (3.20): 1 (Dandy Flame) & 3 (Wentwell Yesterday)
Leg 4 (3.50): 5 (Fast Play) & 1 (Oratorio’s Joy)
Leg 5 (4.20): 5 (Moamar), 3 (Enfolding) & 2 (Poetic Force)
Leg 6 (4.50): 2 (Coillte Caitlin) & 6 (Gleaming Girl)
Suggested stake: 216 bets to 10p stakes
Overview for Tuesday - please scroll down to the bottom of the page
2.10: Irish trainer Adrian McGuinness has a runner in each of the two divisions of this first event on the card, though PILLAR does not have the most obvious chance (from a win perspective) in the first heat. That said, Adrian’s ratio of 3/4 at the venue this season ensures that we take the declaration seriously. Connections probably have most to fear from AUTUMN TONIC and CASTLEREA TESS who are ridden by the most experienced riders in this race for amateur pilots.
Favourite factor: Four of the last five market leaders have won, the other market leader missing out on a Placepot position by a head. It’s not been all good news for the majority of punters however, given that the two previous winners scored at 25/1 & 20/1.
Course winners in the opening event:
1/27—Very First Blade
2.45: Adrian’s representative in the second division is course winner OOR JOCK who appears to have PUSHKIN MUSEUM and beaten favourite LIGHTSOME to beat. Simon Walker (Autumn Tonic & Pushkin Museum in the respective events) looks to have a fine chance in both heats, whilst LIGHTSOME could be given another chance in this grade/company.
Favourite factor: This is the second division of the opening race whereby the same stats apply.
Course winners in the second race:
3.20: William Haggas has not hung about with DANDY FLAME who comes here on a hat trick having won at Lingfield four days ago. Jamie Osborne has his team in fine form as well, whereby the main threat should prove to be WENTWELL YESTERDAY. Adam Kirkby’s mount (Dandy Flame) has only won his two recent races by an aggregate distance of a length and a half but even so, there was never a doubt that he was going to score on either occasion.
Favourite factor: Favourites have won six of the last 11 renewals, with the biggest priced winner returned at a top price of 15/2. All three market leaders which failed to win via the last nine contests missed out on Placepot positions.
Course winners in the third contest on the card:
3.50: Richard Hughes has been knocking out some winners of late and his recent Lingfield winner FAST PLAY could prove to be the value for money call in an interesting contest. A winner of two of her last five races (runner up on another occasion), FAST PLAY is a mare in form who could be worth a chance at an each way price. With Timmy Murphy booked to ride again, ORATORIO’S JOY could follow up following a facile course and distance victory eleven days ago. Four-year-olds have won five of the last eight contests, whereby HIGH ON LIGHT receives the overnight reserve nomination.
Favourite factor: All eight winners have scored at a top price of 7/1, with five gold medallists having been returned at 3/1 or less, statistics which include two winning favourites. Five of the last six market leaders have finished in the frame.
Course winners in the fourth event:
4.20: With five pounds separating the same number of runners, this race will take some unravelling, whereby three selections might be needed to be secure Placepot positions, especially if a non-runner rears its ugly head which would turn the race in to a ‘win only’ contest. MOAMAR, ENFOLDING and POETIC FORCE are listed in marginal order of preference.
Favourite factor: Six of the last seven favourites have prevailed, the other market leader having found just one too good for him.
Course winners in the fifth race:
4.50: GLEAMING GIRL and COILLTE CAINLIN will hopefully prove to be the value for money alternatives to AVBSOLUTE BLAST at the head of the handicap. I concede that Absolute Blast boasts a favourite’s chance in the contest, but this is a more competitive event that first meets the eye from my viewpiont; hence the somewhat speculative call.
Favourite factor: Last year’s inaugural 15/8 favourite snared a Placepot position by claiming the bronze medal.
Course winners in the Placepot finale:
All place details offered on my pages relate to an 'exact science', whereby horses that finish third in 5/6/7 runner races (and other such scenarios) are not 'placed' regarding my statistics.
Trainers with their relevant number of runners on the Wolverhampton card on Tuesday – followed by their ratios at the track this season + profits/losses accrued:
3—Michael Appleby (2/50 – loss of 40 points)
3—David Evans (8/64 – loss of 20 points)
3—Richard Fahey (3/49 – loss of 28 points)
2—David Barron (2/10 – Profit of 27 points)
2—Marjorie Fife (1/6 – Profit of 1 point)
2—Iain Jardine (2/12 – loss of 6 points)
2—Mark Johnston (3/42 – loss of 13 points)
2—Adrian McGuinness (3/4 – Profit of 4 points)
2—Jamie Osborne (5/26 – loss of 1 point)
2—John O’Shea (1/21 – loss of 13 points)
2—David Simcock (7/20 – Profit of 10 points)
+ 39 different trainers who each saddle just one runner on the card
64 declared runners
General overview - Corresponding Placepot dividends from last year:
The meeting at Lingfield was abandoned, whilst the Southwell fixture on Tuesday is a new meeting on the calendar