SALISBURY – JUNE 7
Last year’s corresponding toteplacepot dividend:
2015: £65.00 (6 favourites: 3 winners - 1 placed - 2 placed)
Tuesday's Placepot permutation at Salisbury:
Leg 1 (2.15): 9 (Moneyoryourlife) & 1 (Angel Down)
Leg 2 (2.45): 9 (See You When) & 5 (Ehtiraas)
Leg 3 (3.15): 4 (Dubai Dream), 8 (Marbooh) & 5 (Horrah)
Leg 4 (3.45): 5 (Justice Lady) & 3 (Star Jeanie)
Leg 5 (4.15): 8 (Sunscape), 5 (Bombilate) & 6 (Sightline)
Leg 6 (4.45): 7 (Dylan's Storm), 8 (Blenheim Warrior) & 4 (Start Seven)
Suggested stake: 216 bets to 10p stakes
Overview for Tuesday - please scroll down to the bottom of the page
2.15: I will start my confirming that there are no course winners involved in the first six races at Salisbury on Tuesday, just in case you thought that I had not bothered to look! Upwards and onward by informing ‘Team Hannon’ has secured three of the last eleven renewals of the juvenile event which opened the card, presumably before the 'Novice Effect, came into play. Either way, it's worth noting the 'modern' Richard Hannon stats which can be found below in the Salisbury 'overview' sector. Reading those words, it impossible to ignore Richard's Dick Turpin raider MONEYORYOURLIFE, albeit I know that Henry Candy thinks a lot of his newcomer ANGEL DOWN. Through fellow debutante AFFAIR and HELLOFAHASTE and we have an interesting race to assess.
Favourite factor: 12 of the 17 favourites have secured toteplacepot positions via the last 15 renewals during which time, four clear market leaders and two joint favourites have obliged.
2.45: Three-year-olds have secured 14 of the 15 available toteplacepot positions to date (stats include four of the five winners), albeit via the thick end of 88% (56/64) of the total number of runners. In this type of mixed vintage race however, those number merely paper over the cracks of older raiders trying to beat younger rivals who invariably win the day, irrespective of the ratios involved. And so it will prove again here I'll wager, with the likes of SEE YOU WHEN, EHTIRASS and the Roger Varian newcomer OPEN 'N SHUT in the line up. SEE YOU WHEN represents the Hannon yard (alongside The Invisible Dog) which has secured the last two renewals when represented.
Favourite factor: Four of the fiver favourites have secured toteplacepot positions to date, statistics which include two (4/5 & 13/8) gold medallists.
3.15: Richard Hannon saddles DUBAI DREAM and Roccor here, though both horses night have a job on to cope with MARBOOH and HORRAH, the latter named raider representing Roger Charlton who was suggesting last year that his Royal Applause raider would be winning races. John Gosden descrbed KHOR AL UDAID as "naturally athletic" during the a stable visit around fifteen months ago though to date, John's Invincible Spirit raider has not shown a great deal of athleticism. But for John being the trainer, I would not have mentioned the February foal.
Favourite factor: This is the second division of the previous event on the card, wjhereby the same stats apply.
3.45: Showers are due to fall overnight and possibly into tomorrow down here in the west country and David Elsworth would probably appreciate some of the wet stuff for his Dream Ahead representative JUSTICE LADY, with most of the stock seemingly appreciating some give in the ground. Scoring at the first time of asking on Lingfield's Polytrack surface, JUSTICE LADY followed up with a decent effort before not doing a great deal wrong in her turf debut on her third start. STAR JEANIE and SACRED HARP are feared most.
Favourite factor: Both favourites have snared silver medals thus far alongside Placepot positions.
4.15: Three-year-olds have won nine of the eleven renewals to date whilst seven of the last eight winners carried a maximum burden of 9-4. Throw in the fact that Hughie Morrison has trained two of the last seven winners and Hughie’s three-year-old raider SUNSCAPE jumps off the page off a mark of 8-6, especially with Paul Hanagan booked to ride. Ralph Beckett is another represented trainer who might like some rain to fall for his soft ground Beverley winner SIGHTLINE. Others for sonsideration include BOMBILATE and NATURAL BEAUTY.
Favourite factor: Six of the eleven market leaders have finished in the frame, statistics which include two winners.
4.45: Four-year-olds have secured eight victories during the last thirteen years, whilst ten of the last twelve gold medallists have carried a minimum burden of 8-13. We are left with six runners to consider taking the trends into account, the pick of which could prove to be DYLAN'S STORM, BLENHEIM WARRIOR and START SEVEN. The market should tell us plenty on Tuesday morning.
Favourite factor: Two favourites have prevailed via the last ten contests during which time, just three of the last nine market leaders have secured toteplacepot positions.
All place details offered on my pages relate to an 'exact science', whereby horses that finish third in 5/6/7 runner races (and other such scenarios) are not 'placed' regarding my statistics.
Trainers with their relevant number of runners on the Salisbury card on Tuesday:
7--Richard Hannon (35/195 at Salisbury during the last five years at Salisbury and the figures for 2016: 2/17)
5--Tony Carroll (2/14 - 1st runners at Salisbury this season)
4--Clive Cox (11/91 - 0/4)
4--Henry Candy (6/77 - 0/5)
4--Sylvester Kirk (3/42 - 1/5)
3--Andrew Balding (21/148 - 3/13)
3--Rod Millman (10/103 - 0/7
3--Hughie Morrison (6/59 - 0/3)
3--Tony Newcombe (6/59 - 0/3)
2--Geiorge Baker (1/46 - 0/2)
2--Ralph Beckett (22/125 - 1/5)
2--John Bridger (2/56 - 0/4)
2--David Elsworth (6/30 - 0/2)
2--John Gosden (11/45 - 1/2)
2--Simon Hodgson (0/5 - 1st runners)
2--Richard Hughes (0/8 - 0/6)
2--Roger Ingram (0/9 - 1st runners)
2--Stuart Kittow (3/42 - 1/5)
2--Stan Moore (0/31 - 0/1)
2--William Muir (5/32 - 0/1)
2--Willie Musson (1/2 - 1st runners)
2--Richard Price (2/14 - 0/2)
+ 34 different trainers who each saddle just one runner on the card
96 declared runners
Corresponding Placepot dividends from last year:
Fontwell: £269.30 (6 favourites - No winners - 3 placed - 3 unplaced)
Lingfield: £28.90 (6 favourites - 2 winners - 2 placed - 2 unplaced)
Southwell (NH): £ 45.70 (6 favourites - 2 winners - 2 placed - 2 unplaced)
Five year record of represented trainers in the relevant juvenile event which opens the programme at 2.15
It's worth noting that Richard Hannon has saddled 71.4% of his 35 winners at the track via the two-year-old sector from less than 49% of his total number of runners since taking over the license from his father. Richard (2/4) is the only represented trainer to have saddled juvenile winners at Salisbury this season.
3/22--Henry Candy (Angel Down)
0/8--Stuart Kittow (Skilful Lord)
1st 2YO runner for Willie Musson for at least five years (Broughtons Story)
3/21--Rod Millman (Hawridge Glory & Hellofahaste)
0/1--Tony Carroll (Kath's Boy)
2/19--Sylvester Kirk (Mr Hobbs & Woodukheleyfit)
0/21--Stan Moore (Battle Of Wits)
0/15--Michael Blanshard (Famous Dynasty)
25/95--Richard Hannon (Moneyoryourlife)
2/28--Eve Johnson Houghton (Waves)
0/11--Hughie Morrison (Affair)
5/35--Clive Cox (Ariena)