HEXHAM – MARCH 28
Last year’s corresponding toteplacepot dividend:
2016: £68.70 (6 favourites – 2 winners – 1 placed – 3 unplaced)
Tuesday's Placepot permutation at Hexham:
Leg 1 (2.00): 4 (Storm Forecast) & 5 (Well Above Par)
Leg 2 (2.30): 3 (Verko), 4 (Silverton) & 5 (Oak Vintage)
Leg 3 (3.00): 1 (King Of Fashion) & 3 (Pinch Of Ginger)
Leg 4 (3.30): 7 (Modulus), 8 (Hollywood All Star) & 1 (Ryedale Racer)
Leg 5 (4.00): 1 (Gibbstown), 4 (Cleve Cottage) & 2 (Smuggler’s Stash)
Leg 6 (4.30): 8 (Dunly) & 9 (Teescomponents Lad)
Suggested stake: 216 bets to 10p stakes
Overview for Tuesday - please scroll down to the bottom of the page
2.00: Malcolm Jefferson has saddled two of the last six winners and his soft ground Sedgefield winner STORM FORECAST is the first name on the team sheet accordingly, especially as Malcolm’s six year-old snared the silver medal in this event twelve months ago. WELL ABOVE PAR is the obvious danger.
Favourite factor: Nine of the ten favourites have secured Placepot positions, statistics which include seven winners. That said, the three beaten favourites were casualties when sent off at 1/3-8/15-5/6. Nine of the tenwinners scored at a top price of 13/2.
2.30: Out of interest, the two outsiders in the field have received some support overnight, possibly suggesting that there is a lack of confidence in the market leaders is what appears to be a competitive event. The outsiderd are listed in marginal order of preference as SILVERTON and OAK VINTAGE. A more obvious winner in the field is VERKO from my viewpoint, with Micky Hammond’s eight-year-old completing my tentative trio against the other six contenders.
Favourite factor: Two of the three favourites have secured Placepot positions thus far, statistics which include an 11/4 winner.
Record of the course winners in the second race:
1/1—Master Rajeem (heavy)
1/4—Verko (good to soft)
3.00: Six and seven-year-olds have secured eight of the nine renewals to date and the trend can continue with seven-year-old KING OF FASHION seemingly only having to stay upright in order the snare the swag against just three rivals. Donald McCain saddles PINCH OF GINGER however, with the stable always having to be respected at this venue (see figures below). Out of interest, KING OF FASHION could have been named after yours truly because let’s face it, ‘hipsters’ invariably fit any occasion!
Favourite factor: Seven of the nine market leaders have finished in the frame (exact science), figures which include six successful favourites from a win perspective.
3.30: Eight-year-olds have secured four of the last eight contests, whilst eight of the nine winners in total carried a maximum weight of 11-5. Putting the facts and stats together offers a short list of MODULUS, HOLLYWOOD ALL STAR and RYEDALE RACER. Last year’s winner See Double You returns to defend his crown but at fourteen years of age, the Saddlers’ Hall raider looks up against it here, especially given his recent lack of form.
Favourite factor: Only three of the nine favourites have secured Placepot positions, albeit two of them won their respective events.
Record of the course winners in the fourth contest on the card:
2/5—Ryedale Racer (soft & heavy)
4/12—Tikkandemicky (3 x heavy & good to soft)
2/3—See Double You (soft & heavy)
4/15—Beyond Temptation (2 x good to soft & 2 x heavy)
4.00: Six of the eight winners were burdened with a maximum of 11-1 and with returning title holder GIBBSTOWN running from the ‘superior’ sector of the handicap, the trend looks set to be extended. Other of interest include CLEVE COTTAGE and SMUGGLER’S STASH.
Favourite factor: Six renewals have passed without a winning favourite being recorded, whilst four of the eight market leaders finished in the frame.
Record of the course winners in the fifth event:
3/6—Gibbstown (2 x soft & good to soft)
1/3—Smuggler’s Stash (heavy)
1/6—The Bishop (heavy)
1/2—Hattans Hill (soft)
4.30: Five-year-olds lead four-year-olds 5-4 during the last eleven years, with the ‘younger set’ on offer at 7/2 before any form is taken into consideration via the number of declarations. Both the relevant entries DUNLY and TEESCOMPONENTS LAD hold definite chances from my viewpoint, especially from a Placepot perspective.
Favourite factor: Favourites have won five of the last eleven renewals, with seven of the thirteen market leaders having claimed Placepot positions. The biggest priced winner during the study period was returned at just 6/1.
All place details offered on my pages relate to an 'exact science', whereby horses that finish third in 5/6/7 runner races (and other such scenarios) are not 'placed' regarding my statistics.
Trainers with their relevant number of runners on the Hexham card on Tuesday – followed by their ratios at the track this season + profits/losses accrued:
4 runners—Lucinda Russell (6/40 – Profit of 12 points)
3—Kenny Johnson (0/12)
2—Nick Alexander (1/14 – loss of 11 points)
2—Ian Duncan (0/2)
2—Jonathan Haynes (3/20 – Profit of 2 points)
2—Malcolm Jefferson (5/17 – loss of 4 points)
2—Donald McCain (5/17—Profit of 4 points)
2—Lucy Normile (No previous runners)
2—Paul Stafford (0/7)
+ 25 different trainers who each saddle just one runner on the card
46 declared runners
General overview - Corresponding Placepot dividends from last year:
Southwell: £34.90 – 7 runners – 3 winners – 1 placed – 3 unplaced
Wolverhampton: 6 runners – 2 winners – 1 placed – 3 unplaced