HEXHAM – MARCH 29
Last year’s corresponding toteplacepot dividend:
2015: £14.80 (6 favourites - 5 winners & 1 unplaced)
Tuesday's Placepot permutation at Hexham:
Leg 1 (2.00): 5 (Storm Forecast) & 2 (Farewelltocheyenne)
Leg 2 (2.30): 3 (Turtle Cask) & 2 (Whats Up Woody)
Leg 3 (3.05): 1 (Calivigny), 7 (Gully's Edge) & 6 (Billy Billy)
Leg 4 (3.40): 5 (Manballandall), 8 (Bell Weir) & 9 (Lochnell)
Leg 5 (4.15): 4 (Flaming Thistle) & 6 (Spring Over)
Leg 6 (4.50): 4 (Dr West), 6 (Plexton) & 7 (Mountain Tiger)
Suggested stake: 216 bets to 21p stakes
2.00: Malcolm Jefferson has saddled two of the last five winners and his soft ground Sedgefield winner STORM FORECAST is the first name on the team sheet accordingly, especially as Malcolm has not saddled a runner in any of the other relevant events. Six-year-olds have claimed three of the last six renewals, whilst eight of the nine winners carried a minimum burden of eleven stones, stats and facts which bring Nick Alexander's pair into the equation on both counts, namely FAREWELLTOCHEYENNE and WELL DECIDED.
Favourite factor: Eight of the nine favourites have secured Placepot positions, statistics which include six winners. That said, the three beaten favourites were casualties when sent off at 1/3-8/15-5/6. Eight of the nine winners scored at a top price of 13/2.
2.30: Dianne Sayer (TURTLE CASK) has saddled one of just the two winners to date and her dual Turtle Island winner is entitled to go close in this grade/company. Turtle Island stock perform well in the mud as a general rule whereby worsening conditions would aid and abet his chance, whilst others for the overnight mix include HARLEYS MAX and WHATS UP WOODY. George Bewley (WHATS UP WOODY) boasts excellent stats at the venue this season as you can see below.
Favourite factor: The two market leaders have offered contrasting performances this far, with an 11/4 victory recorded alongside the complete demise of the other 3/1 favourite.
Hexham record of course winners in the second race:
1/1--Whats Up Woody
3.05: Seven-year-olds lead six-year-olds 4-3 via eight renewals to date, whilst six of the last seven gold medallists have carried 10-12. The ground might be a little on the slow side for Net Work Rouge to give of his best whereby fellow seven-year-old CALIVIGNY is preferred. Dropping down the weights to the six-year-olds offers us a couple of alternative options in GULLY'S EDGE and BILLY BILLY.
Favourite factor: Six of the eight market leaders have finished in the frame (exact science), figures which include five successful favourites from a win perspective.
Hexham record of course winners in the third contest on the card:
1/1--Too Many Chiefs
3.40: Eight-year-olds have secured four of the last seven contests, whilst seven of the eight winners in total carried a maximum weight of 11-5. Putting the facts and stats together gives yours truly the chance to offer an overnight short list of MANBALLANDALL, BELL WEIR and (possibly) LOCHNELL, especially if more rain arrives for Ian Duncan's latter named representative.
Favourite factor: Only three of the eight favourites have secured Placepot positions, albeit two of them won their respective events.
Hexham record of course winners in the fourth event:
1/1--See Double You
4.15: Five of the seven winners were burdened with a maximum of 11-1 and dual course and distance winner FLAMING THISTLE could drop to exactly that mark if Grant Cockburn foregoes breakfast and is able to call on all five pounds of his claim. Others fitting the trend box by rights are SPRING OVER and NALIM and this trio should get us safely through to the last leg of our favourite bet. The overnight reserve nomination is awarded to GIBBSTOWN.
Favourite factor: Five renewals have passed without a winning favourite being recorded, whilst four of the seven market leaders finished in the frame.
Hexham record of course winners in the fifth race:
4.50: Five-year-olds lead four-year-olds 5-3 during the last decade, with older vintage raiders on offer at 4/7 before any form is taken into consideration via the number of declarations. The pick of the five-year-olds should prove to be DR WEST, PLEXTON and TIGER MOUNTAIN. The latter named pair are taken on trust in terms of potential jumping ability, whereas DR WEST was still running a big race for a 33/1 chance when unshipping his pilot at the last flight at Newcastle at the first time of asking.
Favourite factor: Favourites have won five of the last ten renewals, with seven of the twelve market leaders having claimed Placepot positions. The biggest priced winner during the study period was returned at just 9/2.
All place details offered on my pages relate to an 'exact science', whereby horses that finish third in 5/6/7 runner races (and other such scenarios) are not 'placed' regarding my statistics.
Trainers with their relevant number of runners on the Hexham card on Tuesday:
5--Nick Alexander (2/10 at Hexham this season)
3--George Bewley (5/16)
3--Susan Corbett (2/15)
3--Malcolm Jefferson (1/9)
2--Stuart Crawford (0/3)
2--Ian Duncan (0/3)
2--Sara Ender (0/4)
2--Joanne Foster (--)
2--Jonathan Haynes (1/13)
2--Fergal O'Brien (1/3)
2--Dianne Sayer (1/2)
2--Paul Stafford (0/2)
+ 25 different trainers who each saddle just one runner on the card
55 declared runners