Placepot pointers – Tuesday May 10

BEVERLEY – MAY 10

Last year’s corresponding toteplacepot dividend:

2015: £563.10 (6 favourite: No winners- 3 placed- 3 unplaced)

Tuesday's Placepot permutation at Beverley: 

Leg 1 (2.00): 5 (La Asamoda), 3 (Roaring Rory) & 1 (Bit Of A Lad)

Leg 2 (2.30): 1 (Orewa) & 2 (Book Of Poetry)

Leg 3 (3.00): 5 (Final Venture), 14 (Tilsill) & 13 (Windforpower)

Leg 4 (3.30): 4 (Count Montechristo) & 9 (Pumaflor)

Leg 5 (4.00): 3 (Haraz) & 2 (Fawaareq)

Leg 6 (4.30): 4 (Like No Other), 1 (The Major) & 8 (Livella Fella)

Suggested stake: 216 bets to 10p stakes

 

Overview for Tuesday - please scroll down to the bottom of the page

 

2.00:  LA ASOMADA looks well in at the weights in the opening event in a race which will not take a great deal of winning.  David Barron's Arabian Dream filly has finished second three times via six assignments to date and if she is ever going to get her head in front where it matters most, this is an ideal opportunity.   ROARING RORY and BIT OF A LAD are the most obvious dangers in an exceptionally weak contest.

Favourite factor: Five of the eleven favourites have secured toteplacepot positions via nine renewals to date, statistics which include two (15/8) winners.

2.30: There are contrasting conditions (unless the heavens open) for course and distance winner OREWA to cope with, though Brian Ellison's Helmet raider was very impressive on debut when scoring on soft ground.  Trap three is a decent enough draw and with the sire having won with four of his five runners to date, Helmet stock appear to be juveniles to take very seriously this term.  Newcomers BOOK OF POETRY and MAJOR JUMBO could prove to be the main dangers.  Before this race was changed from a maiden to a novice event this year, some really impressive winners went on to record a number of great victories as the following sentences confirm. 2012 winner (Top Notch Tonto) was always going to struggle to follow in the footsteps of the first two winners of this event, namely Caspar Netscher and Galtymore Lad.  Caspar Netscher won two Group 2 events as a juvenile (‘Mill Reef’ and the ‘Gimcrack‘) and added Newbury’s ‘Greenham’ trial event as a three-year-old. Galtymore Lad subsequently won two Conditions events whilst finishing runner up three times in fiercely competitive events at first class venues.  To be entirely fair to Top Notch Tonto, the Thousand Words gelding went on to land a competitive Ayr Nursery event later in the year, before landing three contests in a four race period late in 2013.  The 2013 gold medallist Supplicant was scoring on his debut before going on to secure the silver medal in Royal Ascot’s ‘Windsor Castle’ event.  Later in the year, Richard Fahey’s raider landed a hat trick, with and all these impressive results are listed to ensure that you follow this year’s winner closely.  Last year's winner was also trained by Richard Fahey, the winner (Lathom) going on to win Newbury's 'Super Sprint' at odds of 28/1!

Favourite factor: This is a new race on the Beverley card, 'new' in the sense that races changing from maidens to novice status are deemed to be inaugural events by the BHA.

Beverley record of course winners in the second race:

1/1--Orewa

3.00: 33/37 toteplacepot positions have been secured by horses carrying 9-4 or less and before focusing on more logical winners, I would not put anyone off a small each way punt on FINAL VENTURE in another race on the card which fails to get the pulse racing.  Although plenty of the represented trainers have saddled winners during the last fortnight at the time of writing, the aggregate strike rate of 8.5% (19/223) fails to impress. Course and distance winner TILSILL could be well in off a handy mark if the relevant claimer can call on all seven pounds, whilst WINDFORPOWER snared the bronze medal when returned as the beaten favourite in one of two divisions of this contest twelve months ago.  The overnight reserve nomination is awarded to MAJESTIC MANANNAN.

Favourite factor: Seven of the 15 favourites have finished in the frame to date (one winner) via 12 renewals.

Beverley record of course winners in the third event on the card:

1/2--Taffetta

1/2--China Excels

1/11--Tinsill

2/8--Incomparable

3.30: Eight of the nine winners have carried a maximum burden of 9-5 whereby we have twelve of the fourteen horses to assess.  My short list consists of COUNT MONTECHRISTO, Brian Ellison's dual purpose entry REGAL WAYS and three time (fast ground) winner PUMAFLOR.  COUNT MONTECHRISTO was made favourite on his last four assignments last terms and finally earned a deserved win to wrap up his season following four successive funner up efforts.  Kevin Ryan's raider is an interesting declaration, given that he is asked to carry just one pound more than when scoring by six lengths at Hamilton on good ground.

Favourite factor: Eight of the ten favourites have finished in the frame, statistics which include four winners.

Beverley record of course winners in the fourth contest:

3/7--Hulcet

2/6--Border Bandit

4.00: HARAZ has run well on his last three efforts under fast conditions when beaten by and aggregate of seven and a quarter lengths and with David O'Meara having started the season so well here at Beverley (see stats below), Daniel Tudhope's mount is the first name on the team sheet.  Connections might have most to fear from the likes of HEIR TO A THRONE and FAWAAREQ.

Favourite factor: Eight of the eleven favourites have secured toteplacepot positions, statics which include four winners.

4.30: Eight of the last ten winners of the toteplacepot finale have carried a minimum burden of 8-13, statistics which unfortunately eliminates just the one horse on this occasion. The pick of the ten suspects on this occasion will hopefully prove to be beaten favourite LIKE NO OTHER, top weight THE MAJOR and LIVELLA FELLA.

Favourite factor: Eight of the last fourteen market leaders have finished in the frame (exact science), statistics which include five winners.

 

All place details offered on my pages relate to an 'exact science', whereby horses that finish third in 5/6/7 runner races (and other such scenarios) are not 'placed' regarding my statistics.

 

Trainers with their relevant number of runners on the Beverley card on Tuesday:

6--Kevin Ryan (0/9 at Beverley this season)

5--Brian Ellison (2/4)

3--Michael Bell (0/2)

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3--Tim Easterby (0/9)

3--Richard Fahey (2/11)

3--Mark Johnston (1/12)

3--David O'Meara (4/8)

2--Michael Appleby (0/3)

2--Rebecca Bastiman (0/3)

2--David Brown (--)

2--Tony Coyle (0/3)

2--Keith Dalgleish (0/2)

2--Scott Dixon (0/1)

2--David Loughnane (0/3)

2--Ollie Pears (0/3)

2--Bryan Smart (0/1)

2--Alan Swinbank (1/5)

2--Nigel Tinkler (0/3)

2--Mark Tompkins (--)

2--Tracy Waggott (0/3)

+ 23 different trainers who each saddle just one runner on the card

75 declared runners

 

General overview: 

Corresponding Placepot dividends from last year: 

Sedgefield: £26.70 (6 favourites - 4 winners - 1 placed - 1 unplaced)

Southwell (NH): £74.30 (6 favourites - 2 winners - 1 placed - 3 unplaced)

Wincanton: £34.40 (6 favourites - 3 winners & 3 unplaced)

Other meeting: Brighton

 

Beverley Overview: 

Leading trainer at Beverley this season: 

4/8--David O'Meara (6/1-11/2-5/1-7/2) - 3 runners on Tuesday: Ray Donovan (2.30) - Hard To Handel (3.30) - Haraz (4.00)

Record of represented trainers in two-year-old races during the last five years:

2.30 at Beverley on Tuesday:

8/29--Brian Ellison (Orewa)

12/57--Mark Johnston (Book Of Poetry)

16/92--Richard Fahey (Carson City)

0/3--Steph Hollinshead (Commander Blue)

6/41--Kevin Ryan (Major Jumbo)

1/25--David O'Meara (Ray Donovan)

4/100--Tim Easterby (Ventura Secret)

1/23--Ollie Pears (Melaniemillie)

2/28--Bryan Smart (Sheila's Return)

 

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