BEVERLEY – MAY 16
Last year’s corresponding toteplacepot dividend:
2016: £27.20 (6 favourites – 2 winners – 2 placed – 2 unplaced)
Tuesday's Placepot permutation at Beverley:
Leg 1 (2.00): 10 (Spoof) & 11 (The Right Choice)
Leg 2 (2.30): 1 (Mt Strutter) & 8 (Whigwham)
Leg 3 (3.00): 12 (Socalites Red), 2 (Bond Bombshell) & 4 (Oriental Splendour)
Leg 4 (3.30): 7 (Gerry The Glover), 6 (Sovereign Bounty) & 3 (Jacbequick)
Leg 5 (4.00): 6 (True Romance), 3 (Miss Bates) & 4 (Ode To Glory)
Leg 6 (4.30): 2 (Rooster The Booster), 4 (Copper Baked) & 5 (The Raven Master)
Suggested stake: 324 bets to 10p stakes
Overview for Tuesday - please scroll down to the bottom of the page
2.00: I hope some of you were on my 33/1 winner Englishman at Windsor last night! Charlie Hills followed up a Chester winner last week with another gold medallist a few days later and his Poet’s Voice colt SPOOF is the obvious place to start following two half decent efforts to date. THE RIGHT CHOICE appears to be the principle Richard Fahey raider via his two declarations with Paul Hanagan doing the steering. Richard leads the way at Beverley this season, boasting a 4/17 ratio at the track, with winners recorded at 6/1, 4/1, 4/1 & 6/4* thus far. Tom Dascombe could celebrate his fourth juvenile winner of the season as PORCHY PARTY ran well enough over course and distance at the first time of asking to suggest that there could be small race victory on the horizon en route to better things.
Favourite factor: This was a new race on the Beverley card last year, 'new' in the sense that races changing from maidens to novice status are deemed to be inaugural events by the BHA. Fortunately for the majority of punters, the 7/4 market leader duly obliged.
2.30: John Quinn’s runners are regularly reaching the frame with the odd winner posted here and there, including one at the big Chester meeting last week. MR STRUTTER scored in half decent fashion at Thirsk the last day and a repeat of that showing would probably be good enough to land this weak event. In receipt of ten pounds, WHIGWHAM should offer most resistance at the business end of the contest.
Favourite factor: Six of the twelve favourites have secured toteplacepot positions via nine renewals to date, statistics which include two winners which were both returned at 15/8.
3.00: 35/40 toteplacepot positions have been secured by horses carrying 9-4 or less and I would not put anyone off a small punt on SOCIALITES RED (one of six runners that qualify via the weight stats) in another race on the card which fails to set the pulse racing. Scott Dixon has greeted three of his last eleven runners in the area reserved for winners (27 points of level stake profit during the period), with Scott’s representative having been one of the relevant gold medallists at Nottingham last week. A six pound penalty for that success is negated by a seven pound claimer who was in the plate at Colwick Park. BOND BOMBSHELL has recorded three course and distance victories under fast conditions and providing the wet stuff is not in evidence, David O’Meara’s raider can go close, the trainer having only saddled more turf winners at Ripon that he has managed here at Beverley during the course of the last five years. David’s 38 winners have produced level stake profit of over 30 points for good measure. ORIENTAL SPLENDOUR is my idea of the speculative option in the contest with Ruth Carr continuing to send out winners in what could well be a record year for the trainer. Ruth’s 14 winners this season have produced ten points of LSP.
Favourite factor: Seven of the sixteen favourites have finished in the frame to date (one winner) via 13 renewals.
Beverley record of course winners in the third event on the card:
3/7—Bond Bombshell (3 x good to firm)
1/3—Jack Luey (soft)
2/10—Thatcherite (2 x good)
3.30: Nine of the ten winners have carried a maximum burden of 9-5, whilst five-year-olds have won four of the last nine contests, with vintage representatives coming to the gig on a hat trick this time around. GERRY THE GLOVER and SOVEREIGN BOUNTY are the two entries with ticks in both of the trend boxes, with course specialist JACBEQUICK added into the Placepot mix. ‘Jac’ has gained all five successes to date at this venue.
Favourite factor: Eight of the eleven favourites have finished in the frame, statistics which include four winners.
Beverley record of course winners in the fourth contest:
2/4—Rousayan (2 x good)
5/17—Jacbequick (3 x good to firm – good – heavy)
2/4—Sovereign Bounty (good & good to firm)
1/2—Gerry The Glover (good)
4.00: Nine of the last eleven winners have carried a minimum burden of 8-13, statistics which eliminates the bottom four (of ten) horses on this occasion. The pick of the remaining six suspects will hopefully prove to be the speculative trio of TRUE ROMANCE, MISS BATES and ODE TO GLORY.
Favourite factor: Eight of the last fourteen market leaders have finished in the frame (exact science), statistics which include five winners.
4.30: Given that this is the second heat of the previous event, the three horses from the ‘superior’ sector of the handicap to home in on appear to be ROOSTER THE BOOSTER, COPPER BAKED and THE RAVEN MASTER. This trio look certain to land the dividend between them for us, if we are ‘live’ going into the finale.
Favourite factor: Thus is the second division of the previous event on the card whereby the same stats apply.
All place details offered on my pages relate to an 'exact science', whereby horses that finish third in 5/6/7 runner races (and other such scenarios) are not 'placed' regarding my statistics.
Trainers with their relevant number of runners on the Beverley card on Tuesday – followed by their ratios at the track following three meetings + profits/losses accrued:
6 runners—Richard Fahey (4/17 – Profit of 2 points)
6—Mark Johnston (2/14 – loss of 8 points)
5—Tim Easterby (0/14)
5—David O’Meara (2/16 – loss of 2 points)
4—Brian Ellison (0/2)
3—Karl Burke (2/6 – Profit of 2 points)
3—Kevin Ryan (2/9 – Profit of 6 points)
3—John Wainwright (0/2)
2—James Bethell (0/1)
2—John Butler (No runners)
2—Declan Carroll (0/3)
2—Roger Fell (0/4)
2—Ollie Pears (0/1)
2—John Quinn (0/2)
2—Nigel Tinkler (0/8)
+ 35 different trainers who each saddle just one runner on the card
84 declared runners
General overview - Corresponding Placepot dividends from last year:
Chepstow: £2.466.00 – 6 favourites – 2 winners & 4 unplaced
Sedgefield: £26.70 – 6 favourites – 4 winners – 1 placed – 1 unplaced
Southwell (NH): £74.30 – 6 favourites – 2 winners – 1 placed – 3 unplaced
Warwick: This is a new replacement meeting for Wincanton