Placepot Pointers

Placepot Pointers – Tuesday May 2

NOTTINGHAM – MAY 2 

 

Last year’s corresponding toteplacepot dividend:

2016: £144.20 (6 favourites: No winners – 2 placed – 4 unplaced)

 

Tuesday's Placepot permutation at Nottingham: 

Leg 1 (2.10): 1 (Aquadabra) & 6 (Queen Penn)

Leg 2 (2.40): 4 (Khitaamy), 7 (Harmonise) & 2 (Desert Explorer)

Leg 3 (3.10): 4 (Manton Grange, 3 (Passing Star) & 5 (Therthaar)

Leg 4 (3.45): 1 (Lincoln Rocks) & 6 (La Casa Tarifa)

Leg 5 (4.20): 1 (Plead), 7 (Secret Soul) & 3 (Carol)

Leg 6 (4.50): 1 (Brigadoon) & 2 (Rowlestone Lass)

Suggested stake: 216 bets to 10p stakes

 

Overview for Tuesday - please scroll down to the bottom of the page

 

2.10: Mick Channon’s Born To Sea filly AQUADABRA has done little wrong via two assignments to date, securing bronze medals on each occasion.  There has been money for Mick’s late foal overnight and given her May 10 birth date, AQUADABRA deserves plenty of credit thus far.  Richard Fahey has been firing in plenty of winners of late (albeit only via a modest strike rate) whereby his Dark Angel newcomer QUEEN PENN deserves plenty of respect.

Favourite factor: This is a new race with which to open proceedings.

 

2.40: KHITAAMY catches the eye here as an Ed Dunlop newcomer who has little to beat from what we have witnessed thus far.  HARMONISE sets the standard from my viewpoint, whilst Eve Johnson Houghton has saddled a couple a winners recently which also brings DESERT EXPLORER into the equation.

Favourite factor: Both (7/2 & 2/1) favourites had finished out with the washing until last year’s 11/8 market leader scraped into the frame by finishing third in a dead eight contest.

 

3.10: Seven of the eight available Placepot positions have been claimed by horses carrying a minimum burden of 9-1, via 64% of the total number of runners, statistics which include all three (20/1, 6/1 & 9/4*) winners.  If we adhere to the weight trends, we can reduce the field from eleven down to eight, the pick of which will hopefully prove to be MANTON GRANGE, PASSING STAR and THERTHAAR.  The trio is listed in order of preference at the time of writing.

Favourite factor: Two of the three favourites have claimed Placepot positions with winning their respective events.

 

3.45: Two of the three winners have scored at 12/1 when the race has been contested here at Nottingham, with last year’s outsider (Miss Van Gogh) being the first horse named in my analysis.  A winner of four of her last nine races, LINCOLN ROCKS is a wonderfully consistent filly who deserves more success.  ‘Following fillies in form’ is one of the more accurate and successful adages in the world of racing and in LA CASA TARIFA, we have the ideal example with Mark Johnston’s Casamento filly attempting a quick hat trick.

Favourite factor: Only one of the four market leaders has finished in the frame thus far (no winners).

 

4.20: Some of the ‘middle ground’ horses have come in for support overnight and from a Placepot perspective, runners priced between 5/1 and 9/1 are invariably worth a second look from a value for money perspective. If we can successfully ignore more fancied runners we are well on the way to secure decent dividends. The relevant trio that make most appeal here are listed as PLEAD, SECRET SOUL and CAROL.

Favourite factor: Last year’s inaugural 4/9 favourite was beaten by the minimum margin when securing a Placepot position.

Record of the course winner in the fifth race:

1/1--Canberra Cliffs (good to firm)

 

Your first 30 days for just £1

4.50: Eight of the twelve horses to have secured toteplacepot positions carried a minimum burden of nine stones, as did all four (16/1-3/1-11/3-5/4) winners of the contest thus far.  This hardly represents a trend I know though with little else to work with, my short listed duo against the other nine runners hail from the 'superior' sector of the handicap, namely BRIGADOON and ROWLESTONE LASS. Richard Price (Rowlestone Lass) saddled a winner at Bath yesterday, whilst Michael Appleby (Brigadoon) saddled more turf winners at Nottingham last year than at any other venue.

Favourite factor:  Two of the four favourites claimed toteplacepot positions thus far by winning their respective events at 3/1 and 5/4.

Record of course winners in the Placepot finale:

5/13—Hallstatt (3 x good & 2 x good to firm)

 

All place details offered on my pages relate to an 'exact science', whereby horses that finish third in 5/6/7 runner races (and other such scenarios) are not 'placed' regarding my statistics.

 

All place details offered on my pages relate to an 'exact science', whereby horses that finish third in 5/6/7 runner races (and other such scenarios) are not 'placed' regarding my statistics.

 

Trainers with their relevant number of runners on the Nottingham card on Tuesday – followed by their ratios at the track last season + profits/losses accrued:

4 runners—Richard Fahey (10/49 – Profit of 23 points)

3—Michael Appleby (6/49 – Profit of 32 points)

3—Mick Channon (3/25 - loss of 5 points)

3—Richard Price (0/7)

3—Ed Walker (1/9 – loss of 3 points)

2—George Baker (0/9)

2—Michael Bell (0/12)

2—Ed Dunlop (0/10)

2—Richard Hannon (4/33 – loss of 23 points)

2—Gay Kelleway (0/3)

2—John Mackie (1/16 – loss of 10 points)

2—Alan Swinbank (0/3)

+ 33 different trainers who each saddle just one runner on the card

63 declared runners

 

General overview - Corresponding Placepot dividends from last year:

Brighton: £2,342.50 – 10 favourites – 3 winners – 1 placed – 6 unplaced

Yarmouth: Meeting was transferred to Lingfield last year

Chelmsford: £22.00 – 6 favourites – 4 winners – 1 placed – 1 unplaced

Wolverhampton: £168.90 – 6 favourites – 2 winners – 2 placed – 2 unplaced

 

 

Your first 30 days for just £1