CATTERICK – MAY 3
Last year’s corresponding toteplacepot dividend:
2015: £57.10 (8 favourites: 2 winners - 3 placed - 3 unplaced)
Tuesday's Placepot permutation at Catterick:
Leg 1 (5.55): 3 (Clem Fandango) & 4 (Limbrick)
Leg 2 (6.25): 6 (Fillydelphia), 7 (Rising Rainbow) & 8 (Tatting)
Leg 3 (6.55): 7 (Musdam) & 6 (Just Hiss)
Leg 4 (7.25): 8 (Favourite Treat), 5 (Jay Kay) & 6 (Ski Blast)
Leg 5 (7.55): 4 (Pertius), 7 (Exclusive Contract) & 5 (Silver Shuffle)
Leg 6 (8.25): 5 (Hit The Lights) & 8 (Mister Mannanan)
Suggested stake: 216 bets to 10p stakes
Overview for Tuesday - please scroll down to the bottom of the page
5.55: This is the first juvenile race at Catterick this season despite two previous fixtures at the track. You can find five year trainer statistics relating to two-year-olds in the secion at the bottom of the page. The ratios suggest that LIMBRICK, ACCLADORA and BEST BID should run well, albeit CLEM FANDANGO is respected following a fine first effort at Beverley for in form trainer Keith Dalgleish. Keith boasted a 21% strike rate via twelve winners since the start of April at the time of writing, before Bank Holiday Monday's sport was contested. These figures are Keith's best stats since February 2014 in terms of a mass of runners throughout the period, 56 in this instance.
Favourite factor: This is a new race with which to open proceedings at Catterick.
6.25: Five-year-olds have won four of the last seven renewals, whilst seven of the last eight gold medallists were burdened with a maximum weight of nine stones. All three vintage representative this time around fit the weight trend, whereby course and distance winner FILLYDELPHIA is the call over 'dark horse' RISING RAINBOW and TESTING. If the vintage is to be denied on this occasion, TATTING could prove to be the joker in the pack, albeit Conor Dore's Street Cry gelding is (seemingly) a far better performer away from turf.
Favourite factor: Six of the last eleven market leaders have finished in the frame, statistics which include four winners. Ten of the last twelve winners have been sent off at 9/1 or less, the last seven gold medallists having been sent off at a top price of 9/2.
Catterick record of course winners in the second race:
6.55: Three-year-olds lead the four-year-olds 6-2 following just the eight renewals to date, whilst younger representatives have secured 15 of the 23 available toteplacepot positions. The pick of the quartet of relevant representatives (three-year-olds are 5/4 to secure the race before the form book is taken into account) should hopefully prove to be MUSDAM ahead of JUST HISS. Of the other pair of relevant entries, Michael Appleby's Rail Link newcomer OYSTER CARD is preferred to Tallulah Fleur.
Favourite factor: Six of the seven favourites have finished in the frame, though just two (4/5 & 1/7) market leaders have prevailed from a win perspective with one ’jolly’ withdrawn from the relevant contest before a new market could be formed. The shortest priced remaining contender finished in the frame, much to the relief of investors who has banked on the un-named favourite from a toteplacepot perspective. Seven of the eight winners scored at a top price of 4/1.
7.25: Eight of the last ten winners have carried weights of 9-3 or less, whilst the biggest priced winner had been sent off at 8/1 before last year's 14/1 gold medallist came to the aid of the majority of the bookmakers. Six-year-olds have secured three of the last seven renewals. That’s the stats and facts put to bed, hoping that FAVOURITE TREAT (drawn 8 of 11 on yielding/soft ground at the time of writing) and SKI BLAST (5) figure prominently at the very least. Sixteen ounces separate JAY KAY (3) and the 'superior' handicap section but I might just bend my own rules to accommodate Karl Burke's lone raider on the card, the trainer having secured a 15/2 double at last year's corresponding meeting.
Favourite factor: Four of the ten favourites have claimed toteplacepot positions thus far, with just one successful (2/1) market leader having been recorded to date.
Recent draw details starting the with last year's renewal (7 furlongs):
11-9-7 (10 ran-soft)
1-11-6 (11 ran-good)
5-3 (6 ran-good to firm)
10-7-3 (11 ran-good to soft)
3-9-1 (10 ran-good to firm)
2-5 (7 ran-firm)
6-13-11 (10 ran-good to firm)
4-1-3 (12 ran-good)
12-10-11 (10 ran-firm)
3-7-5 (12 ran-good to firm)
Catterick record of course winners in the fourth contest on the card:
1.9--Dr Red Eye
7.55: The last eight winners have carried weights of 8-12 or more, statistics which unfortunately only eliminates the bottom three (possibly four via a claim) horses in the handicap from my viewpoint. Upwards and onward in positive mode however by suggesting that we could do worse than to side with the three trainers that produced the relevant winners, namely Micky Hammond (PERTUIS), Ollie Pears (EXCLUSIVE CONTRACT) and Wilf Storey (FAIR TRADE). The trio race from the right end of the handicap according to the trends, as does the overnight reserve nomination SILVER SHUFFLE.
Favourite factor: Nine renewals have slipped by since a favourite won this event during which time, five of the twelve market leaders have secured toteplacepot positions.
Catterick record of course winners in the fifth event:
8.25: The previous nine winners had carried weights of 9-2 or less before last year's successful (9/4) favourite humped 9-7 to victory. Four horses fit the previous trend if we take a claim into account which is worth doing, as a seven pound apprentice rides HIT THE LIGHTS who has a fine (3/5) course record. The pick of the original trio in the 'superior' sector of the weights might prove to be MAJESTIC MANNANAN (one of three David Nicholls runners in the contest) and GROUNDWORKER. Will you please form an orderly queue to back the 'trend fitter' that I have left out of the equation, namely Prigsnov Dancer!
Favourite factor: Eight of the twelve market leaders have claimed toteplacepot positions, statistics which include five successful favourites.
Catterick record of course winners in the toteplacepot finale:
3/5--Hit the Lights
All place details offered on my pages relate to an 'exact science', whereby horses that finish third in 5/6/7 runner races (and other such scenarios) are not 'placed' regarding my statistics.
Trainers with their relevant number of runners on the Catterick card on Tuesday:
3--Conor Dore (0/3 at Catterick this season)
3--David Nicholls (2/4)
2--Michael Appleby (1/4)
2--Ron Barr (--)
2--Antony Brittain (--)
2--Michael Chapman (--)
2--Ann Duffield (0/2)
2--Michael Easterby (2/7)
2--Ivan Furtado (0/1)
2--Micky Hammond (2/5)
2--Patrick Holmes (0/2)
2--Phil Kirby (0/8)
2--Paul Midgley (0/5)
2--David O'Meara (0/2)
+ 30 different trainers who each saddle just one runner on the card
60 declared runners
Corresponding Placepot dividends from last year:
Brighton: £91.00 (7 favourites - 3 winners - 1 placed - 3 unplaced)
Leading trainer at Brighton this year: Mick Channon (3/8) - 3 runners there on Tuesday
Exeter: £91.10 (6 favourites - 2 winners - 1 placed - 3 unplaced)
Fakenham: £75.90 (6 favourites - 4 winners - 1 placed - 1 unplaced)
Sedgefield: £502.30 (8 favourites - 1 winner - 2 placed - 5 unplaced)
Tuesday marks the start of the juvenile season at Catterick - trainer stats during the last five years relating to two-year-olds:
Mark Johnston (Accladora) - 8/46
John Quinn (Best Bid) - 3/31
Keith Dalgleish (Clem Fandango) - 2/20
Richard Fahey (Limbrick) - 19/57
Paul Midgley (Merry Banter) - 0/14
Brian Ellison (Miss Monro) - 1/7
Ann Duffield (Poppy Pivot) - 3/49
Tom Dascombe (Red Shanghai) - 0/7
With just one runner on the card (Jay Kay - 7.25), Karl Burke cannot match last year's 15/2 double at the corresponding fixture